The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@andrew-camp fingers crossed for lots of goals! (well at least 2 and I will be happy)
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@kevyn-clark said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I fancy a slightly cautious over 1.5 goals in the Westerlo vs Deinze game in Belgium at 17:45
Westerlo have seen over 1.5 goals in each of their last 5 games, all competitions, as have Deinze in each of their last 5 away games, all competitions so I guess this is a significant positive.
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@kevyn-clark said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I fancy a slightly cautious over 1.5 goals in the Westerlo vs Deinze game in Belgium at 17:45
I looked at that game Kevin, but the home team conceding percentages were too high for me.
I'm settling on either Spurs Southampton in Premiership, or Bournemouth Birmingham in The championship.Brum concede 80% of the time first and while Bournemouth are on a sticky patch at the moment, they are always likely to score at home, especially given they lost to the Wood on Sunday.
I did the Al Wakhra game v Qatar, LTD but exited after 45 Minutes for a small loss. As it happens it looks the right call,Qatar scored first, they were the dog and soon after Wakhra had a man sent off. Though Wakhra dominated the 1st half, there were no shots on target, which was behind my decison to exit
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@andrew-camp said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@kevyn-clark said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin Too true indeed I was cursing when a goal was disallowed in the 89th or so minute, then they scored a minute or so later, then I was calling them the best team in the world
Opponents had a goal chalked off in the first half too.
ah, i was wondering what it was for market to be suspended and then reinstated some 60 secs later with no change in odds
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@andrew-camp I hadn't realised that, I had to pop out for a while and wasn't paying attention, bad form on my part
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@kevyn-clark said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin Too true indeed I was cursing when a goal was disallowed in the 89th or so minute, then they scored a minute or so later, then I was calling them the best team in the world
Opponents had a goal chalked off in the first half too.
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I fancy a slightly cautious over 1.5 goals in the Westerlo vs Deinze game in Belgium at 17:45
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@kevyn-clark better late than never!
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My goodness they left it late but Al-Sadd 2-0 Umm Salal
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Seen stats around Xmas time that 65% of A League goals are scored SH... fairly close to the norm (I believe)... An important stat to consider is that over 96% of games go over 0.5 goals... Great for my Split Stake, many might be too early for Ryan's
Thats useful info to have Alan, I've only been in a couple of them so far and the trend does seem to be SHG, by the few, which is unreal
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@mick-mcmahon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
3% Club: Wednesday, 09th February 2022 - Day 4
Hi Keith - Looking at the villa/leeds game, the odds are 4.9. Do you adjust your staking for really high odds or power though trusting in your strike rate?
Only use what you are comfortable with losing. 4.9 using £5.00 stake will £19.50 - roughly 10% of my starting bankroll. I don't expect people to use that high amount of liability - especially for a selection that isn't their own.
That's kinda what I've been doing - laying 3%
£6.86 @ 4.9 for the Leeds game and @ 4.8 for spurs.
Working so far though
because they're not my own selections.. -
@kevyn-clark said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@dave-hayes A lot of those Aussie games have a ton a 2nd half goals
Seen stats around Xmas time that 65% of A League goals are scored SH... fairly close to the norm (I believe)... An important stat to consider is that over 96% of games go over 0.5 goals... Great for my Split Stake, many might be too early for Ryan's
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@dave-hayes said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@dave-hayes Great info Dave
Thanks Stuart, but what info is Great?
re Al Sadd managers and goal history.
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@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@dave-hayes Great info Dave
Thanks Stuart, but what info is Great?
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@dave-hayes Great info Dave
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@kevyn-clark said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Now I have said it out loud I have probably massivley jinxed it
No I don;'t think so. Look at the QSL table and Al Sadd are top Overall and on Home form, with an average of 4 Goals per game scoring.If not LTD then why not the goals markets.Its what I do when the game is a good trade but odds are way high for LTD.
Or just back Al Sadd to Win
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@mick-mcmahon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
3% Club: Wednesday, 09th February 2022 - Day 4
Hi Keith - Looking at the villa/leeds game, the odds are 4.9. Do you adjust your staking for really high odds or power though trusting in your strike rate?
Only use what you are comfortable with losing. 4.9 using £5.00 stake will £19.50 - roughly 10% of my starting bankroll. I don't expect people to use that high amount of liability - especially for a selection that isn't their own.
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@kevyn-clark said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@dave-hayes that is a very astute observation, I need to give Ryan's video a watch I think.
Its good content and made me think that before I came to BTC, I sed to go for similar type odds myself doing LTUD.
I actually adjusted two of my filters on the strength of that and have got a decent chunk of games to choose from
the game itself is not live on BF, but they show the graphics only, which doesn't help much if yu like live action.
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Now I have said it out loud I have probably massivley jinxed it
