The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Not good IPS in the Brisbane match, game looks quite slow... Will check start of SH to see if they inject more pace before setting up My SHG trade... Will move on if not happy with IPS or early goal... Will post here if I enter.
Looks like poor weather might be playing a negative role in this game... Will check this out with live pictures start of SH
Not convinced with pace but 2 SONT in first 15mins of SH, as it's A-League will give them the benefit of doubt... Entered first stake at 2.58... Will trade circa 0.5pts
2-1 and a full 0.2pts green to take into the days trading -
I got into it during the AFCON recently where laying under 2.5 and 1.5 netted me a few hundred quid over the course of the tournament. I'm also following the filter which is again proving to be successful so far.
I don't have stats or anything to back this up but I tend to back the unders at the start of a game and exit if there is an early goal or I make 50% profit. Once I get more games under my belt, I will be able to see if I should be leaving the 0-0 in play longer which I suspect might be the case.
It does mess with your head a little as I think as humans we are predisposed to want something to happen so sitting there hoping the score stays 0-0 is quite an odd experience. Also very frustrating when you see the green amount growing and then suddenly you see the SUSPENDED message and you're kicking yourself.
It's a strategy I'd love to learn more about though and will watch and read with interest.
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@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Any unders traders in here? Just wondering how you find the UK leagues? One test I am doing on under 2.5 goals made 2pts profit (to 1pt stake) yesterday, would have been 11pts profit without the UK leagues!
I'm led to believe trading unders can be profitable but it really messes with my head... From memory your old filter did quite well???
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@kevyn-clark The game warmed up nicely mate and stats seemed to suggest Brisbane caught Macarther on the break... Be surprised if Macarther don't score
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Not good IPS in the Brisbane match, game looks quite slow... Will check start of SH to see if they inject more pace before setting up My SHG trade... Will move on if not happy with IPS or early goal... Will post here if I enter.
Looks like poor weather might be playing a negative role in this game... Will check this out with live pictures start of SH
Not convinced with pace but 2 SONT in first 15mins of SH, as it's A-League will give them the benefit of doubt... Entered first stake at 2.58... Will trade circa 0.5pts
Only 1 part matched so again removed red to scratch trade or 0.2pts green (0.1 whole pt... Only trading 0.5pts) on/if 2nd goal
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@alan-steward Brisbane Roar 2-0 Macarthur FC, like a prophet
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Not good IPS in the Brisbane match, game looks quite slow... Will check start of SH to see if they inject more pace before setting up My SHG trade... Will move on if not happy with IPS or early goal... Will post here if I enter.
Looks like poor weather might be playing a negative role in this game... Will check this out with live pictures start of SH
Not convinced with pace but 2 SONT in first 15mins of SH, as it's A-League will give them the benefit of doubt... Entered first stake at 2.58... Will trade circa 0.5pts
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Morning Traders, I woke up late and missed most of the A league action
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Not good IPS in the Brisbane match, game looks quite slow... Will check start of SH to see if they inject more pace before setting up My SHG trade... Will move on if not happy with IPS or early goal... Will post here if I enter.
Looks like poor weather might be playing a negative role in this game... Will check this out with live pictures start of SH
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Strong IPS finish in FH with the CCM match (A-League)... Have queued 0.5pts stake on My SHG trade (sig link)
Only 1 part matched so removed red... scratch or 0.19pts green (0.95 whole pts, traded half stakes) if second goal
Made sure of scratch but got to love a late goal for green
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@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@paul-adams-0 nice one did not even know that!
thought you guys were the pro's? :face_with_tears_of_joy:
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@ryan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@paul-adams-0 I need to check dark mode out haven’t see that yet!
go to styles menu at the top...choose carbon
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@paul-adams-0 I need to check dark mode out haven’t see that yet!
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@ryan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@paul-adams-0 Fairbot all day for me. Used it for years never let me down.
yeah i'm going to stick with it. for the price its great value. and theres a dark mode theme. love it :face_with_tears_of_joy:
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@mick-mcmahon this is a different one buddy, the selections for my LTD are on the members filters it’s called Ryan betgreen buddy.
I don’t aim to win x I trade out when there’s goals matey that triggers my exit point.
I think the advice @Martin gives people is great about seeing this as an investment, trading is a longer term game. I think this helps mindset.
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@paul-adams-0 Fairbot all day for me. Used it for years never let me down.
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@ryan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
My HT LTD/HT LCS for today
Hi Ryan, is this the stat to use for your selections.
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/lay-draw-kick-ryans-betgreen-strategy
Finally rooted around in the loft and found some old pc bits and built an old machine to sit there just for automation. Going to give fairbot a go.
Hoping not to get too personal, but how much do you aim to make on a Ltd trade?
I'm still new at this so maybe a little short sighted yet, but just the BTC subs plus a fairbot subs is a deficit to climb out of before making anything each month.
