The BTC Football Trading Thread

Dan MacKinnon

@keith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@mark-maguire said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@Keith if it helps I think that it boils down to a matter of preference - some people prefer the liabilities of backing at a certain level of odds where they see value, others like to lay (this means the liability can look a bit scarier than some are comfortable with)

But with @Keith-Anderson (whose been crazy generous with the amount of picks he's shared on here), its a choice of backing Over 1.5 or laying Under 1.5.

To take the example of the Morecambe match he's suggested then the current choice is:

Back over 1.5 at odds of 1.24 - a tenner will give you 2.40 less commission

or lay Under 1.5 with a tenner odds are 5.1 so risk is £41 to win a tenner less commission (you could back 40 quid to win the same amount but again preference)

Thanks @Mark-Maguire and @Keith-Anderson much appreciated. Good luck all

Just to expand on Mark’s point a bit more, it doesn’t matter if you back or lay because it’s the same market. In his example you back with a tenner to win £2.40. Or you could lay with a tenner to win £2.40 (roughly). Or you could back the overs with £41 and win £10. The most important element is your total liability.

If you have a smaller bank it could be easier to back as you’re fixing your liability at a lower level. Using the above example again but with £1 stakes. If you back overs the maximum you will lose is £1. If you lay you’ll lose £4. If you had £100 bank that’s 1% or 4%. Are you comfortable risking 1% or 4% on a trade?

Hopefully that helps and just a thought exercise when you look at markets from different angles.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

2nd time lucky today:

LCS Aubstadt (Ger Regionalliga Bavaria) 0-1

I'm having an absolute pig of a day!

Richard Latimer

LCS Hamburger 2-0

Richard Latimer

2nd time lucky today:

LCS Aubstadt (Ger Regionalliga Bavaria) 0-1

? Offline

Cheers @Mark-Maguire this is so refreshing to see mate. I'm going to like it here I can tell already

Mark Maguire

@Keith likewise good luck, for what its worth I'm still progressing and I learned very early on to take advantage of the knowledge on here by asking and asking again, its helped me ridiculously so my advice is don't hold back

? Offline

@mark-maguire said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@Keith if it helps I think that it boils down to a matter of preference - some people prefer the liabilities of backing at a certain level of odds where they see value, others like to lay (this means the liability can look a bit scarier than some are comfortable with)

But with @Keith-Anderson (whose been crazy generous with the amount of picks he's shared on here), its a choice of backing Over 1.5 or laying Under 1.5.

To take the example of the Morecambe match he's suggested then the current choice is:

Back over 1.5 at odds of 1.24 - a tenner will give you 2.40 less commission

or lay Under 1.5 with a tenner odds are 5.1 so risk is £41 to win a tenner less commission (you could back 40 quid to win the same amount but again preference)

Thanks @Mark-Maguire and @Keith-Anderson much appreciated. Good luck all

Mark Maguire

@Keith if it helps I think that it boils down to a matter of preference - some people prefer the liabilities of backing at a certain level of odds where they see value, others like to lay (this means the liability can look a bit scarier than some are comfortable with)

But with @Keith-Anderson (whose been crazy generous with the amount of picks he's shared on here), its a choice of backing Over 1.5 or laying Under 1.5.

To take the example of the Morecambe match he's suggested then the current choice is:

Back over 1.5 at odds of 1.24 - a tenner will give you 2.40 less commission

or lay Under 1.5 with a tenner odds are 5.1 so risk is £41 to win a tenner less commission (you could back 40 quid to win the same amount but again preference)

Akiva Anderson

@keith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

19:45 - Morecambe v Oxford United
20:00 - Benfica v Liverpool

I also like the Lay price for Under 1.5 Goals in the Preston v Blackpool match. Only 3.1 for a derby match

Hi Keith
I'm new to the forum so apologies if this has already been answered but is there any reason why you recommend laying under 1.5 goals as opposed to backing over 1.5?
Looking forward to following these

No reason whatsoever!

Richard Latimer

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS Geylang (Singapore) 2-2

Another example of the lack of SHG currently

Where the odds big on that one? Normally is for Singapore

Not huge. 6.2

That's quite good for those two teams

Are you getting your normal good runs at present?

? Offline

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

19:45 - Morecambe v Oxford United
20:00 - Benfica v Liverpool

I also like the Lay price for Under 1.5 Goals in the Preston v Blackpool match. Only 3.1 for a derby match

Hi Keith
I'm new to the forum so apologies if this has already been answered but is there any reason why you recommend laying under 1.5 goals as opposed to backing over 1.5?
Looking forward to following these

Richard Latimer

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS Geylang (Singapore) 2-2

Another example of the lack of SHG currently

Where the odds big on that one? Normally is for Singapore

Not huge. 6.2

That's quite good for those two teams

Probably indicates why neither of them were able to score!

Akiva Anderson

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS Geylang (Singapore) 2-2

Another example of the lack of SHG currently

Where the odds big on that one? Normally is for Singapore

Not huge. 6.2

That's quite good for those two teams

Richard Latimer

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS Geylang (Singapore) 2-2

Another example of the lack of SHG currently

Where the odds big on that one? Normally is for Singapore

Not huge. 6.2

Richard Latimer

Historical data is good but doesn't always translate. Year has been so up and down so far!

Akiva Anderson

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS Geylang (Singapore) 2-2

Another example of the lack of SHG currently

Where the odds big on that one? Normally is for Singapore

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS Geylang (Singapore) 2-2

Another example of the lack of SHG currently

Sean Fitzgerald

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@Everyone

Not sure if this has been done before, but what football team does everyone support?

My local team is: Glentoran

My Premier League team is: Liverpool

Local Team: Central Coast Mariners (A-League)

Premier League: Aston Villa (Bozza was at Villa when I first started following English football and I’ve stuck with them ever since)

Richard Latimer

LCS Geylang (Singapore) 2-2

Stuart Wallace

@keith-anderson Another derby ...Wimbledon v Charlton at 3.0