The BTC Football Trading Thread

Akiva Anderson

@james-rome said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

everton in huge trouble now awful run in to can see burnley staying up now

Hope so!!

? Offline

everton in huge trouble now awful run in to can see burnley staying up now

Akiva Anderson

@keith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Tomorrow's selections

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

10:05 - Melbourne City v Sydney
11:00 - Júbilo Iwata v Kawasaki Frontale
19:45 - Nottingham Forest v Coventry City

Layla tov

Melbourne city is a winner

Late goal in Japan! Boom!

Notts Forest makes it a winning treble. Great tipping again @Keith-Anderson

(Wonderful!) !נהדר

(Good night!) !לילה טוב

? Offline

@keith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Tomorrow's selections

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

10:05 - Melbourne City v Sydney
11:00 - Júbilo Iwata v Kawasaki Frontale
19:45 - Nottingham Forest v Coventry City

Layla tov

Melbourne city is a winner

Late goal in Japan! Boom!

Notts Forest makes it a winning treble. Great tipping again @Keith-Anderson

Stuart Wallace

Thank you guys (and Keith) for recommending the A league - just keeps on giving !

? Offline

@keith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Tomorrow's selections

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

10:05 - Melbourne City v Sydney
11:00 - Júbilo Iwata v Kawasaki Frontale
19:45 - Nottingham Forest v Coventry City

Layla tov

Melbourne city is a winner

Late goal in Japan! Boom!

Andrew Macdonald

@keith absolutely smashed them 2nd half

? Offline

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Tomorrow's selections

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

10:05 - Melbourne City v Sydney
11:00 - Júbilo Iwata v Kawasaki Frontale
19:45 - Nottingham Forest v Coventry City

Layla tov

Melbourne city is a winner

Martin

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Tomorrow's selections

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

10:05 - Melbourne City v Sydney
11:00 - Júbilo Iwata v Kawasaki Frontale
19:45 - Nottingham Forest v Coventry City

Layla tov

got the Aussie game for FHG and SHG so hope you are right and goals are plentiful!

Ryan

Hey guys,

Nothing from me today

Akiva Anderson

Tomorrow's selections

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

10:05 - Melbourne City v Sydney
11:00 - Júbilo Iwata v Kawasaki Frontale
19:45 - Nottingham Forest v Coventry City

Layla tov

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

I didn't expect to get another qualifier tonight but here we go anyway. I keep saying and telling myself that you can't trade scared so placing it and going for a shower haha!

LCS Wrexham 3-0

Finished with a win. Todays setback amounts to around 10% and probably recoverable with a run of 9 more straight wins.....

Gone from being just under 4% up to just over 6% down this month.

? Offline

@keith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

19:45 - Morecambe v Oxford United
20:00 - Benfica v Liverpool

I also like the Lay price for Under 1.5 Goals in the Preston v Blackpool match. Only 3.1 for a derby match

Boom Morecambe done in 15 mins!

Liverpool game a winner as well
Great tipping @Keith-Anderson

Richard Latimer

I didn't expect to get another qualifier tonight but here we go anyway. I keep saying and telling myself that you can't trade scared so placing it and going for a shower haha!

LCS Wrexham 3-0

Matt Wood

Well 3 o1.5 placed today, none matched as early goals, 2 winners so far and I think the Liverpool game will be a winner too. Cue a toddler style sulk from me

? Offline

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS Hamburger 2-0

Absolutely makes sense that these lot are making me sweat on a 3rd expensive loss on the trot!

Finally stop the rot

Well done Richard I was on this one as it was also on the trading angles thread for 2nd half goal

? Offline

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

19:45 - Morecambe v Oxford United
20:00 - Benfica v Liverpool

I also like the Lay price for Under 1.5 Goals in the Preston v Blackpool match. Only 3.1 for a derby match

Boom Morecambe done in 15 mins!

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS Hamburger 2-0

Absolutely makes sense that these lot are making me sweat on a 3rd expensive loss on the trot!

Finally stop the rot

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS Hamburger 2-0

Absolutely makes sense that these lot are making me sweat on a 3rd expensive loss on the trot!

? Offline

@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@mark-maguire said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@Keith if it helps I think that it boils down to a matter of preference - some people prefer the liabilities of backing at a certain level of odds where they see value, others like to lay (this means the liability can look a bit scarier than some are comfortable with)

But with @Keith-Anderson (whose been crazy generous with the amount of picks he's shared on here), its a choice of backing Over 1.5 or laying Under 1.5.

To take the example of the Morecambe match he's suggested then the current choice is:

Back over 1.5 at odds of 1.24 - a tenner will give you 2.40 less commission

or lay Under 1.5 with a tenner odds are 5.1 so risk is £41 to win a tenner less commission (you could back 40 quid to win the same amount but again preference)

Thanks @Mark-Maguire and @Keith-Anderson much appreciated. Good luck all

Just to expand on Mark’s point a bit more, it doesn’t matter if you back or lay because it’s the same market. In his example you back with a tenner to win £2.40. Or you could lay with a tenner to win £2.40 (roughly). Or you could back the overs with £41 and win £10. The most important element is your total liability.

If you have a smaller bank it could be easier to back as you’re fixing your liability at a lower level. Using the above example again but with £1 stakes. If you back overs the maximum you will lose is £1. If you lay you’ll lose £4. If you had £100 bank that’s 1% or 4%. Are you comfortable risking 1% or 4% on a trade?

Hopefully that helps and just a thought exercise when you look at markets from different angles.
Cheers @Dan-MacKinnon makes a lot of sense mate