The BTC Football Trading Thread

Stuart Wallace

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@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

If anybody is trading St Gillois v Beerschot ....play has been stopped due to crowd trouble ...both teams back in dressing room

Looks like game has been abandoned

In situations like this when a game has been abandoned, does anyone know how it takes Betfair to refund the voided bets ?

Apparently if the game is not rescheduled then up to 48 hours. The last abandoned game I was on they voided the bets within 12 hours I think

Stuart Wallace

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

If anybody is trading St Gillois v Beerschot ....play has been stopped due to crowd trouble ...both teams back in dressing room

Looks like game has been abandoned

In situations like this when a game has been abandoned, does anyone know how it takes Betfair to refund the voided bets ?

Stuart Wallace

This post is deleted!

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@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

If anybody is trading St Gillois v Beerschot ....play has been stopped due to crowd trouble ...both teams back in dressing room

Looks like game has been abandoned

Just as well nothing riding on it, last set of fixtures before league splits into Championship and relegation groups

Stuart Wallace

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

If anybody is trading St Gillois v Beerschot ....play has been stopped due to crowd trouble ...both teams back in dressing room

Looks like game has been abandoned

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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

14:00 - Monaco v Troyes
16:30 - Manchester City v Liverpool
17:30 - Cobresal v Audax Italiano
18:30 - RB Leipzig v Hoffenheim

3/4 today mate well done again

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@martin-walker Thanks I am now keeping a track of my average odds so I will work out what my strike rate needs to be and see if I indeed do have any edge

Richard Latimer

LCS Leipzig 3-0

Stuart Wallace

If anybody is trading St Gillois v Beerschot ....play has been stopped due to crowd trouble ...both teams back in dressing room

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@richard-latimer Boom! Thanks

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS Club Brugge 1-0

2-0

Richard Latimer

LCS Club Brugge 1-0

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Interesting discussion one point I woud make would be that we're now reaching the stage of the season where alot of teams have little to play for where motivation can be brought into question I would start stearing clear of these teams - looks like @Martin has a video on You Tube at 8pm tonight on this subject.

Also some leagues are about to or have already split into Championship/relegation rounds - Scotland, Austria Bundesliga, Belgium, Greece, Israel to name a few ofd the top of my head.

Summer Leagues are starting up should be hitting filters in the next month or so - likes of JApan/South Korea cant be too far away. Last year for me for example Norway Eliteserien was printing money for laying u1.5 but Sweden which is normally outstanding wasnt great

Martin Walker

If i had those odds id like my strike rate to be around 90%

I like 10% between the two figures

Martin Walker

@kc if i back at 1.25 its 1 divided by 1.25 = 0.8 so 80%

Matt Wood

@kc said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin-walker is there a formula used to convert your average winning odds to a percentage online in general?

If you click on the link in Martin's (BTC Martin) link above: "Daily Email Test" then one of the tabs alone the bottom of the sheet is 'probability' you should be able to work your numbers out from that.

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@martin-walker is there a formula used to convert your average winning odds to a percentage online in general?

Martin Walker

@kc i define my edge as my average winning odds converted to a percentage being better than my strike rate

Richard Latimer

@kc said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer that raises a good question do I have an edge? this is something that always confused me a bit, is having access to pre match stats cosidered an edge?

Only if you find out the best way to use them. It's a help for sure.