The BTC Football Trading Thread

[Dan MacKinnon]

SHG in Liverpool vs Real Madrid. There’s been 9/10 SHG in CL finals. Quite a few come late (80+ mins)

O1.5 is 1.98. That’s slightly better than evens. So could be tempting, especially if there’s an early goal could let it run for a free bet.

My personal trade will be queue SHG at 4.0 and see how they first 5-10 minutes go. If o1.5 is around 1.75-1.8 it could be worth the risk

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

1/1 today

Tomorrow....Lay under 1.5:

2/3 with the last being 1-1 @ HT. Around 1pt loss.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@frode-lia said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer I am on.

1 down....

1 down, 1 downed.....

[Richard Latimer]

@frode-lia said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer I am on.

1 down....

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer I am on.

[james everard]

Afternoon all , that time of the year where nearly enough matches for the data for some of the Scandinavian leagues (min 10 matches data required) and the conclusion of the winter leagues means not a lot today. Here are my
Potential trades.
Back over 1.5 goals set and forget 1.56 odds
Finland prem- ac oulu vs sjk
Sweden super- afc eskilstuna vs ostersunds
USA champ- Louisville city vs Tulsa redknecks
Venezuela prem- La Guaita vs zamora
USA mls - Los Angeles fc vs San Jose earthquakes

Lay underdog if takes lead - lay San Jose earthquakes

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

1/1 today

Tomorrow....Lay under 1.5:

Seems like I'm on my own with these selections today. Can't work out why the odds so low!

[Alastair Todd]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@alastair-todd said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

My filter for 1.5 goals has thrown up Osters v Jonkopings today. What do people make of the strike rate in the Swedish Superettan? My experience so far (only over 11 games admittedly) is that the strike rate is only 36% so I'm paper trading this game today. Annoyingly there will probably be 5 goals!

It's on my list. I'm happy with the stats from that league:

League Progress: 30%
Total Goals: 221
Goals per Game: 3%
AVG Home Goals: 1.65
AVG Away Goals: 1.42
Mins/Goal: 29
Home Win: 43%
Away Win: 36%
Over 0.5 Goals: 94.44%
Over 1.5 Goals: 83.33%
Over 2.5 Goals: 61.11%

Will probably finish 0-0

Thanks Keith. To be honest, my statistical sample size (11) is probably not quite enough to come up with a true picture of it!

[Matt Wood]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

10:45 - Melbourne City v Western United
11:00 - Suwon v Ulsan
14:00 - Öster v Jönköpings Södra
17:00 - Strømsgodset v Viking
22:30 - Cobresal v Universidad Chile
23:00 - Los Angeles FC v SJ Earthquakes

Won't be around much today as my daughter is performing in Moana Jr. She has two shows to perform.

I also won't be around tomorrow as Chloe has her LAMDA exam (Drama) in the morning followed by auditions for 'Chitty Chitty Bang Bang' in the afternoon. Busy weekend! Hope everyone's trading goes well. Have a great weekend

Best of luck for your daughter Lets hope you and your family have a celebratory weekend

[Akiva Anderson]

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

10:45 - Melbourne City v Western United
11:00 - Suwon v Ulsan
14:00 - Öster v Jönköpings Södra
17:00 - Strømsgodset v Viking
22:30 - Cobresal v Universidad Chile
23:00 - Los Angeles FC v SJ Earthquakes

Won't be around much today as my daughter is performing in Moana Jr. She has two shows to perform.

I also won't be around tomorrow as Chloe has her LAMDA exam (Drama) in the morning followed by auditions for 'Chitty Chitty Bang Bang' in the afternoon. Busy weekend! Hope everyone's trading goes well. Have a great weekend

[Akiva Anderson]

@alastair-todd said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

My filter for 1.5 goals has thrown up Osters v Jonkopings today. What do people make of the strike rate in the Swedish Superettan? My experience so far (only over 11 games admittedly) is that the strike rate is only 36% so I'm paper trading this game today. Annoyingly there will probably be 5 goals!

It's on my list. I'm happy with the stats from that league:

League Progress: 30%
Total Goals: 221
Goals per Game: 3%
AVG Home Goals: 1.65
AVG Away Goals: 1.42
Mins/Goal: 29
Home Win: 43%
Away Win: 36%
Over 0.5 Goals: 94.44%
Over 1.5 Goals: 83.33%
Over 2.5 Goals: 61.11%

Will probably finish 0-0

[Alastair Todd]

My filter for 1.5 goals has thrown up Osters v Jonkopings today. What do people make of the strike rate in the Swedish Superettan? My experience so far (only over 11 games admittedly) is that the strike rate is only 36% so I'm paper trading this game today. Annoyingly there will probably be 5 goals!

[Ryan]

Hey guys,

Nothing from me today

[Richard Latimer]

1/1 today

Tomorrow....Lay under 1.5:

[A Former User]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

19:45 - Bohemians v Drogheda United

These are down 3 points since Monday. Really need a win here

All is forgiven lol

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

1/1 today. One for tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:

Lay 1.5 is 6. Beyond my limits.

Between 5.1-6.0

My ave odds are 5.87 I think but then my strike rate with my data is 95%

2-0 HT

It's now 3-0

Odds were up to 7 by kick off. The remarkable stat of 7+ going over 2.5 in now 25 from 26 matches continues.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

1/1 today. One for tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:

Lay 1.5 is 6. Beyond my limits.

Between 5.1-6.0

My ave odds are 5.87 I think but then my strike rate with my data is 95%

2-0 HT

[Matt Wood]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

19:45 - Bohemians v Drogheda United

These are down 3 points since Monday. Really need a win here

This game popped up on all three of my filters

Probably be 0-0 now

[Akiva Anderson]

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

19:45 - Bohemians v Drogheda United

These are down 3 points since Monday. Really need a win here

[A Former User]

@james-rome said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@ryan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Not a trade for me tomorrow on the final but Bet365 are offering 8.0 on:

Luiz Diaz over 1.5 shots on target
Benzema over 1.5 shots on target

8.0 seems huge value for arguably both teams best players and goal threats.

i got a free bet off them i normally match bet it but i just used it on that as i thought was good value

I have the same from them