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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Andy Donnelly on last edited by
    #5021

    @andy-donnelly said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    My view (being a Chelsea fan) is we may start the season slow and with Arsenal having a fairly easy start it may be worth laying Chelsea or backing Arsenal before trading out after 5-6 games.

    Overall I still think we’ll make the top 4 and will lay Arsenal all day long if they go odds on at any point as recent history shows they will choke at some point!

    Different players. Lot of incoming. Not sure we would choke the same way unless we have a crazy injury list!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Donnelly
    wrote on last edited by
    #5022

    My view (being a Chelsea fan) is we may start the season slow and with Arsenal having a fairly easy start it may be worth laying Chelsea or backing Arsenal before trading out after 5-6 games.

    Overall I still think we’ll make the top 4 and will lay Arsenal all day long if they go odds on at any point as recent history shows they will choke at some point!

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5023

    @james-rome Seems reasonable but who are you expecting to be in the top four instead of them of the usual suspects, Man UTd are miles away, Arsenal could be the only one.

    Of the other teams that have challenged in the past, you can forget about us, we'll be bottom 6 unless we actually bother to sign anyone in the next 10 days, West Ham have a chance. Think Wolves are in a similar position to us, Leaves the likes of Villa although they don't have goals in them and any team with Mings playing who is as bad as the current version of Maguire doesn't fill me with confidence

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5024

    just after some peoples thoughts

    thinking of laying chelsea for a top 4 place at 1.81 chelsea signed some quality but dont have a striker and from pre season tuchel saying be a tough season

    laying newcastle for top 6 squad improved since last year but still behind some teams think bookies shorted the price and value in the lay

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #5025

    Here we go again! Lay under 1.5:

    0_1658758895641_c5b4db15-3371-43b7-b308-1e12b33569c0-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5026

    @lee-woodman outstanding work!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #5027

    My HT LTD/HT LCS for today
    0_1658719443838_80cfd877-5be1-4361-a0ea-1006473d783a-image.png

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #5028

    0_1658714601624_853212fb-2296-4d2b-ba3c-430a8cec6613-image.png

    My main trades for today. SHG i get in at 4.0, late goals about 75' or evens, whichever comes first. The late goals ill often LCS at 4.0 then get back in later if the first trade wins

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5029

    @lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    0_1658646805376_5cd1bb39-8d8c-4dfb-8594-367538ee2373-image.png

    Trades for the day. All are good to trade SHG, the bottom group are good for LCS anytime in the SH. I tend to LCS at 75-80'

    2/3 on the SHG trades, 5 of 8 on the late goals (of the 3 that didnt hit there were goals on 68, 72, and 74).

    In total 10/11 had a SHG for the day to make 20/21 for the weekend (based on matching at 4.0)

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • R Offline
    R Offline
    ross love
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5030

    @lee-woodman quality 👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #5031

    Think they should void it for suspicious betting patterns🤣🤦‍♂️

    Red card away 10 minutes in and 0-0 HT

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #5032

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Laid the under in Hafnarfjordur and no sooner than I was matched the price plummeted. Hate that!

    Price just absolutely smashed down!!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #5033

    Laid the under in Hafnarfjordur and no sooner than I was matched the price plummeted. Hate that!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #5034

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    For tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:

    0_1658586683563_6ebefa97-440c-4265-9655-d7d572fa90b4-image.png

    I'm out on Jeonnam. Noticed an issue with the H2H which according to both Sofascore and Soccerway is only 50% over 1.5 last 10 games.

    Think I'm going to have to start double checking that side of things until Adam can look into the discrepancy (which I've reported on the stats thread).

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5035

    @lee-woodman great results Lee

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5036

    0_1658646805376_5cd1bb39-8d8c-4dfb-8594-367538ee2373-image.png

    Trades for the day. All are good to trade SHG, the bottom group are good for LCS anytime in the SH. I tend to LCS at 75-80'

    R ? 2 Replies Last reply
    3
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #5037

    @martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Question for the longer serving traders here. Egypt Premier, is it a winter or a summer league? They just seem to be playing all year round!

    Haha I feel the same way about Columbia, never ending season!

    Whole of South America is a never ending season 😆 With new league names every 3 weeks!

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #5038

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Question for the longer serving traders here. Egypt Premier, is it a winter or a summer league? They just seem to be playing all year round!

    Haha I feel the same way about Columbia, never ending season!

    Matt WoodM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #5039

    My HT LTD/HT LCS for today
    0_1658633326354_acedc7ff-cef2-449d-b740-33a5842c3226-image.png

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5040

    @lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    0_1658556358436_1ad13629-7923-41f9-94a5-b6cb122a2d9d-image.png

    0_1658556378601_23ffbc09-e980-4e3a-8461-d46f79fa9600-image.png

    My trades for the day. The first group i will look to Lay the next overs in the SH at 4.0 (might wait for 3.5 if a goal has just been scored)

    The second group can be entered at any point in the SH, i usually lay the next goal at evens as the odds are often quite high on these games but tend to get compressed later in the half

    Good day, 6/6 on the SHG and 3/4 on the late goal trades (75' +). All 10 had a SHG

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    4

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