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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Donnelly
    wrote on last edited by
    #4861

    How many games do people wanna see before discounting a league?

    The superettan was already on the watch list and the last two nights have killed my filters. Have about 20-30 games of data from that league and the SR is well below all other leagues that I have included. Is that enough to make a judgment?

    N ? Akiva AndersonA 3 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #4862

    Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

    18:00 - Viktoria Plzen v FC Sheriff
    19:30 - PSV v Monaco

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4863

    My HT LTD/HT LCS for today
    0_1660021174946_baaab141-d32d-462f-97ae-24d0e95f309c-image.png

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    replied to Mr. Emmet Moorehouse on last edited by
    #4864

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SHGs for today. Usual rules apply- these are not set-and-forget selections.

    0_1659945961870_2dd32b77-420a-46e5-be09-7ee8bcea0955-image.png

    3/3 good start to the week and hopefully the season.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #4865

    @keith-anderson Hi Keith, by unlikely to get matched, presumably you mean at a certain odds level. What is that odds level? Or explain what you mean if I have it wrong please. Thank you 🙂

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Mr. Emmet Moorehouse on last edited by
    #4866

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse understood thanks!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    replied to A Former User on last edited by Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    #4867

    @keith Hi Keith, sometimes I do. It all depends on when I get in, for what price and how the game is going. If I can get in for the right price and the game is active, I might hold until the bitter end. Also, it's not a given that I will trade the matches if the first half gives me a reason not to.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Mr. Emmet Moorehouse on last edited by
    #4868

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SHGs for today. Usual rules apply- these are not set-and-forget selections.

    0_1659945961870_2dd32b77-420a-46e5-be09-7ee8bcea0955-image.png

    Hi, apologies if I've missed the answer to this but what do you mean by “not set and forget”? Do you trade out?

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #4869

    Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

    17:00 - Ă…sane v Fredrikstad
    18:00 - Silkeborg v AaB
    18:00 - Västerås SK v Brommapojkarna

    SHG:

    18:00 - Hacken v Helsingborgs
    18:00 - Silkeborg v AaB

    Unlikely to get matched of some of these. The one in bold is good to go pre kick-off

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    wrote on last edited by Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    #4870

    SHGs for today. Usual rules apply- these are not set-and-forget selections.

    0_1659945961870_2dd32b77-420a-46e5-be09-7ee8bcea0955-image.png

    ? M 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #4871

    @ryan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    My HT LTD/HT LCS for today
    0_1659932888705_a2fb281d-2691-435d-9bf1-61dfdf0ebbca-image.png

    These selections would be good on the members filters and/or daily trading advice

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #4872

    My HT LTD/HT LCS for today
    0_1659932888705_a2fb281d-2691-435d-9bf1-61dfdf0ebbca-image.png

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    replied to A Former User on last edited by Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    #4873

    @chris-osborne Lol, yeah that looked a bit silly on my part. What I actually meant was my profits as opposed to the hit rate. These are not set and forget trades so neither my profits nor losses exactly mirror the win rate.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Mr. Emmet Moorehouse on last edited by
    #4874

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SHG candidates for today. Normal rules apply i.e. not set and forget.

    0_1659858595592_83211afe-addb-4bb9-9f64-9b3145ece12e-image.png

    6/6. Not bad.

    Master of the understatement

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    replied to Mr. Emmet Moorehouse on last edited by
    #4875

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SHG candidates for today. Normal rules apply i.e. not set and forget.

    0_1659858595592_83211afe-addb-4bb9-9f64-9b3145ece12e-image.png

    6/6. Not bad.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4876

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Lay under 1.5:

    0_1659821592561_1af26d98-0d77-47cb-a7b3-91e62157002b-image.png

    2/2

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #4877

    @dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood I have to talk to myself so I won't jump in and trade with no current data. The compromise I have reached is half stakes on no more than 3 games per day.

    Yep, very easy to let the excitement overwhelm good judgement!

    Yeah, as soon as I rationalise, I know I am fooling myself. Better to just have my little flutter and limit it to 1.5 points.

    Do you keep track of all your trades including these "rogue" ones? Or do you just track your filter ones?

    I was looking and I average about 25 filter trades and maybe 5 off-plan ones when I spot opportunities per month.

    I don't track the off-plan trades beyond taking a look at their contribution to profit/loss during the day. I don't really know how to categorise them either. I mean they are not blind gambles but they also not systematic.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    wrote on last edited by
    #4878

    Talking of rogue trades, you get the feeling they’ll be a SHG in the Utd game. Hopefully 3 for United and they can beat our friends on the south coast!

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    replied to Mr. Emmet Moorehouse on last edited by
    #4879

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood I have to talk to myself so I won't jump in and trade with no current data. The compromise I have reached is half stakes on no more than 3 games per day.

    Yep, very easy to let the excitement overwhelm good judgement!

    Yeah, as soon as I rationalise, I know I am fooling myself. Better to just have my little flutter and limit it to 1.5 points.

    Do you keep track of all your trades including these "rogue" ones? Or do you just track your filter ones?

    I was looking and I average about 25 filter trades and maybe 5 off-plan ones when I spot opportunities per month.

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mr. Emmet Moorehouse
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #4880

    @matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @matt-wood I have to talk to myself so I won't jump in and trade with no current data. The compromise I have reached is half stakes on no more than 3 games per day.

    Yep, very easy to let the excitement overwhelm good judgement!

    Yeah, as soon as I rationalise, I know I am fooling myself. Better to just have my little flutter and limit it to 1.5 points.

    D 1 Reply Last reply
    1

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