The BTC Football Trading Thread
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I'm like a robot these days
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@matt-wood probably will do when games start hitting filters
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@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood I have to talk to myself so I won't jump in and trade with no current data. The compromise I have reached is half stakes on no more than 3 games per day.
Yep, very easy to let the excitement overwhelm good judgement!
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@matt-wood I have to talk to myself so I won't jump in and trade with no current data. The compromise I have reached is half stakes on no more than 3 games per day.
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SHG candidates for today. Normal rules apply i.e. not set and forget.
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Think its time to commit all South American Leagues to the scrap heap
The ones I will consider are Brazil, Paraguay and Bolivia (top division in each). They all feel a bit flaky; daft prices at times, ridiculous SOT per goal, KO times through the night, huge potential for corruption etc. I know some people like Peru too. I never hear anyone say anything positive about any of the othersā¦.that can be quite a telling sign!
It's an unpopular opinion but since I've been using the world corruption perception index there's really only a few leagues I leave out which makes things a lot less complicated.
I put everything into the parameters and not the teams or leagues. I simply find that these leagues don't come up much but when they do they are reliable.
It measures perception of corruption in public offices with scores from 1-100. 100 being 100% clean.
Denmark is the highest on 88.
Anything below 30 I don't do which rules out Guatemala, Venezuela, Nicaragua, Turkmenistan.....but so far that's pretty much it.
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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Think its time to commit all South American Leagues to the scrap heap
The ones I will consider are Brazil, Paraguay and Bolivia (top division in each). They all feel a bit flaky; daft prices at times, ridiculous SOT per goal, KO times through the night, huge potential for corruption etc. I know some people like Peru too. I never hear anyone say anything positive about any of the othersā¦.that can be quite a telling sign!
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Lay under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Another huge list. Again, I'll focus on the games in bold
Lay Under 1.5 Goals:
00:30 - DC United v New York RB
12:30 - Kaiserslautern v St. Pauli
12:30 - Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan
13:30 - Vitesse v Feyenoord
14:00 - Leicester City v Brentford
14:00 - Lille v Auxerre
14:30 - Stuttgart v RB Leipzig
16:00 - Wattens v Austria Klagenfurt
16:30 - MjƤllby v Elfsborg
17:00 - StrĆømsgodset v Sarpsborg 08
18:00 - FH v KA
20:00 - Antwerp v OH LeuvenSHG:
14:00 - Manchester United v Brighton
14:00 - Lille v Auxerre
14:00 - Lens v Brest
14:30 - Stuttgart v Leipzig
16:05 - Rennes v Lorient
16:30 - West Ham v Man City
16:30 - Koln v Schalke
17:00 - Lillestrom v Tromso
19:00 - Valerenga v Aalesunds
19:45 - Marseille v Reims
20:00 - Antwerp v OH LeuvenI'm having an early night.
Layla tov!
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@dan-mackinnon Chile was the one today, Brazil in particular been atroscious.
Peru and PAraguay I'll reserve judgement on, the rest are gone
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@chris-osborne which leagues are you referring to? I checked 2 sets of league data and the only worthwhile South American League was Peru
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Think its time to commit all South American Leagues to the scrap heap
You'll rarely find them on my list. There are better matches to invest in
I'm coming round to that conclusion did ok last year but this season they've been hopeless. Game today with nearly 40 shots numerous on target and finished goaless
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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Think its time to commit all South American Leagues to the scrap heap
You'll rarely find them on my list. There are better matches to invest in
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Think its time to commit all South American Leagues to the scrap heap
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Iām surprised the Liverpool odds in the outright have drifted so much. Start of the day it was 3.6 and now 4.7
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Forgot to post in here but 2/2 today. Posted on my thread for anyone who looks there.
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@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Todays lot:
3/4 - Now in profit for the week.
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@nick-allan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
So as the winter season starts across Europe can I ask how long people wait to actually trade games? I don't tend to trade until about seven to eight games into the season that tends to give me a pretty good guide into how teams are performing anyone go in earlier or later? Or do you start straight away and perhaps maybe reduce your stakes?
Probably depends if you're using stats or odds based strategies. However, I start straight away. Loads of information available for the big winter leagues. You can easily build up a picture
