The BTC Football Trading Thread
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How many games do people wanna see before discounting a league?
The superettan was already on the watch list and the last two nights have killed my filters. Have about 20-30 games of data from that league and the SR is well below all other leagues that I have included. Is that enough to make a judgment?
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Lay Under 1.5 Goals:
18:00 - Viktoria Plzen v FC Sheriff
19:30 - PSV v Monaco -
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@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHGs for today. Usual rules apply- these are not set-and-forget selections.
3/3 good start to the week and hopefully the season.
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@keith-anderson Hi Keith, by unlikely to get matched, presumably you mean at a certain odds level. What is that odds level? Or explain what you mean if I have it wrong please. Thank you
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@mr-emmet-moorehouse understood thanks!
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Mr. Emmet Moorehousereplied to A Former User on 8 Aug 2022, 12:36 last edited by Mr. Emmet Moorehouse 8 Aug 2022, 12:41
@keith Hi Keith, sometimes I do. It all depends on when I get in, for what price and how the game is going. If I can get in for the right price and the game is active, I might hold until the bitter end. Also, it's not a given that I will trade the matches if the first half gives me a reason not to.
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@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHGs for today. Usual rules apply- these are not set-and-forget selections.
Hi, apologies if I've missed the answer to this but what do you mean by “not set and forget”? Do you trade out?
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Lay Under 1.5 Goals:
17:00 - Ă…sane v Fredrikstad
18:00 - Silkeborg v AaB
18:00 - Västerås SK v BrommapojkarnaSHG:
18:00 - Hacken v Helsingborgs
18:00 - Silkeborg v AaBUnlikely to get matched of some of these. The one in bold is good to go pre kick-off
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Mr. Emmet Moorehousewrote on 8 Aug 2022, 07:54 last edited by Mr. Emmet Moorehouse 8 Aug 2022, 08:06
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@ryan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
These selections would be good on the members filters and/or daily trading advice
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Mr. Emmet Moorehousereplied to A Former User on 7 Aug 2022, 20:50 last edited by Mr. Emmet Moorehouse 7 Aug 2022, 20:51
@chris-osborne Lol, yeah that looked a bit silly on my part. What I actually meant was my profits as opposed to the hit rate. These are not set and forget trades so neither my profits nor losses exactly mirror the win rate.
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@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG candidates for today. Normal rules apply i.e. not set and forget.
6/6. Not bad.
Master of the understatement
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@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG candidates for today. Normal rules apply i.e. not set and forget.
6/6. Not bad.
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@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood I have to talk to myself so I won't jump in and trade with no current data. The compromise I have reached is half stakes on no more than 3 games per day.
Yep, very easy to let the excitement overwhelm good judgement!
Yeah, as soon as I rationalise, I know I am fooling myself. Better to just have my little flutter and limit it to 1.5 points.
Do you keep track of all your trades including these "rogue" ones? Or do you just track your filter ones?
I was looking and I average about 25 filter trades and maybe 5 off-plan ones when I spot opportunities per month.
I don't track the off-plan trades beyond taking a look at their contribution to profit/loss during the day. I don't really know how to categorise them either. I mean they are not blind gambles but they also not systematic.
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Talking of rogue trades, you get the feeling they’ll be a SHG in the Utd game. Hopefully 3 for United and they can beat our friends on the south coast!
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@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood I have to talk to myself so I won't jump in and trade with no current data. The compromise I have reached is half stakes on no more than 3 games per day.
Yep, very easy to let the excitement overwhelm good judgement!
Yeah, as soon as I rationalise, I know I am fooling myself. Better to just have my little flutter and limit it to 1.5 points.
Do you keep track of all your trades including these "rogue" ones? Or do you just track your filter ones?
I was looking and I average about 25 filter trades and maybe 5 off-plan ones when I spot opportunities per month.
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@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood I have to talk to myself so I won't jump in and trade with no current data. The compromise I have reached is half stakes on no more than 3 games per day.
Yep, very easy to let the excitement overwhelm good judgement!
Yeah, as soon as I rationalise, I know I am fooling myself. Better to just have my little flutter and limit it to 1.5 points.
4861/42901