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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #42561

    FC Khatlon are two up but the home team still have lower odds?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #42562

    @alan-steward I'm looking at backing the under 3.5 goals. If the same score at HT I might jump on it, odds currently at 3.7

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #42563

    I guess the value was laying the home team as odds were so low in case the unexpected happened... which just has... 25 ticks profit for those with the vision... Interesting lesson

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #42564

    Now that's interesting!

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #42565

    @stuart-capstick Exactly lol, not disputing there won't be a goal but don't see value anywhere

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    wrote on last edited by
    #42566

    Laying 0-0 at 65?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #42567

    I have to give a big Wow to the money already matched in the Tajikistani match... Where is the value, am I missing something? Can anyone enlighten me???

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #42568

    Today's Belarus Premier League Games

    Minsk v BATE - My trade of choice will be 25% Split Stake

    Smolevichy-STI v Shakhtor - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake
    Be extra vigilant on this match and make sure you are more than happy with in-play stats & attacking intent before entering, neither team are high scoring or conceding so maybe even wait until HT. Personally am still confident of at least 1 goal, so the later you enter the less red will be incurred on 70/75mins and if then laying 0-0 there will be lower liability.

    Dinamo Brest v Isloch - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

    Entry point 25% = 10/15mins depending on inplay stats
    Entry point 50% = 25/30mins depending on inplay stats

    Best of luck! 👍

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42569

    For today the following all look good using continuous drips through the match on over 1.5. If there's an early goal in Minsk I will drip the over 2.5 instead.

    Istiqlol - Tajikistani
    Minsk
    Smolevichi
    Dinamo Brest

    First drip will be 1.4 min or at the first sign of real intent (shot on target, 3 shots off, 3 corners, 2 shots off/2 corners, 1 hit woodwork.

    Will look at Nicaragua later as not until tonight.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #42570

    Need to add Belarus to my FHG filter and see if it pulls selections in

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #42571

    @richard-latimer money is money very true!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #42572

    @pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Looks like there'd be more prestige in my local town's football club haha! Looks like a playground down the park haha!

    Don't even think they had nets in the goals for the second game!

    It's awful but money is money haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42573

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I didn't like the first 2 Nicaraguan games but taking the over 1.5 drip bets on Managua. I wil asses inplay stats for when first drip goes in.

    Oh wow, you weren't wrong @james-everard. Looks like there'd be more prestige in my local town's football club haha! Looks like a playground down the park haha! Crazy to think how much money is matched on this league currently.

    Another one that worked very well on the drips. I kept going up to 3.0. As far as keeping liabilities low but mximising when you do get the goal I like to keep going up until about 60 mins. I matched @ 1.4, 1.65, 1.90, 2.16, 2.42, 2.68 & finally 3.0. Was always going to red out on 70-75 if no goals but even then it wouldn't have been a massive loss.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #42574

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Looks like there'd be more prestige in my local town's football club haha! Looks like a playground down the park haha!

    Don't even think they had nets in the goals for the second game!

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #42575

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I didn't like the first 2 Nicaraguan games but taking the over 1.5 drip bets on Managua. I wil asses inplay stats for when first drip goes in.

    Oh wow, you weren't wrong @james-everard. Looks like there'd be more prestige in my local town's football club haha! Looks like a playground down the park haha! Crazy to think how much money is matched on this league currently.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42576

    I didn't like the first 2 Nicaraguan games but taking the over 1.5 drip bets on Managua. I wil asses inplay stats for when first drip goes in.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to james everard on last edited by
    #42577

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer That's why I made a decision a couple of days ago not to touch football until the main leagues return. Learning the markets and trying with very small stakes with some pre racing scalping boring but I have learnt exciting doesn't make you money lol

    I have stayed steady with over 1.5 drips on football but properly researched again.

    I'm also spending a lot of time looking at the esports markets and watching teams of 5 shoot each other, plants bombs and throw frags haha!!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to james everard on last edited by
    #42578

    @james-everard I am having much more joy with the nags than the football just now. Even dabbling with laying aussie greyhounds! This lockdown has been good for developing the portfolio. Some of these things can be automated and run in the background when things return to normal.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • J Online
    J Online
    james everard
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #42579

    @richard-latimer That's why I made a decision a couple of days ago not to touch football until the main leagues return. Learning the markets and trying with very small stakes with some pre racing scalping boring but I have learnt exciting doesn't make you money lol

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    ? Richard LatimerR 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #42580

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-dow lol, onwards & upwards a tidy green day 👍

    Indeed! It's been a good day in crap leagues!

    1 Reply Last reply
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