Skins
  • Light
  • Cerulean
  • Cosmo
  • Flatly
  • Journal
  • Litera
  • Lumen
  • Lux
  • Materia
  • Minty
  • Morph
  • Pulse
  • Sandstone
  • Simplex
  • Sketchy
  • Spacelab
  • United
  • Yeti
  • Zephyr
  • Dark
  • Cyborg
  • Darkly
  • Quartz
  • Slate
  • Solar
  • Superhero
  • Vapor

  • Default (Yeti)
  • No Skin
Collapse

The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
    • Oldest to Newest
    • Newest to Oldest
    • Most Votes
Reply
  • Reply as topic
Log in to reply
This topic has been deleted. Only users with topic management privileges can see it.
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #42341

    @dan-erridge said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Anyone think a split stake o1.5 might work on bate game mate?

    My reasoning is this

    88% o1.5 h2h
    Bate avg goal time 32mins
    Goro avg goal time 51min
    Overall 1st goal avg 26mins
    As Ryan said earlier chance of 1st half goal, which on avg come after or around 30mins.
    On overall h2h only 13% chance of ending a scoreline under 2 goals

    What's people's thoughts on this as new to using the stats, have I read them right?

    I'm hoping to lay at HT if 0-0

    Richard LatimerR ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #42342

    Anyone think a split stake o1.5 might work on bate game mate?

    My reasoning is this

    88% o1.5 h2h
    Bate avg goal time 32mins
    Goro avg goal time 51min
    Overall 1st goal avg 26mins
    As Ryan said earlier chance of 1st half goal, which on avg come after or around 30mins.
    On overall h2h only 13% chance of ending a scoreline under 2 goals

    What's people's thoughts on this as new to using the stats, have I read them right?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42343

    Re-laid Minsk at short odds, goal back so a nice easy out. Naftan I cashed for a whopping green on around 70 mins. All in just slightly under break even on these so far.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #42344

    Hopefully you will get your home goal, personally I only trust these guys for 1 goal...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to james everard on last edited by
    #42345

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Slutsk reserves vs Belshina reserves Inplay stats suggest a goal or two, pre match stats certainly did with 49 goals in the 12 matches played between the sides this year. 0-0 at half time going to back over 1.5 goal market and drip until 70mins take liability away if there is a goal before.

    Well that is why I haven't been trading this shitty leagues lol. 49 goals in 12 games and what do we get a bloody 0-0 lol

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Slutsk reserves vs Belshina reserves Inplay stats suggest a goal or two, pre match stats certainly did with 49 goals in the 12 matches played between the sides this year. 0-0 at half time going to back over 1.5 goal market and drip until 70mins take liability away if there is a goal before.

    Well that is why I haven't been trading this shitty leagues lol. 49 goals in 12 games and what do we get a bloody 0-0 lol

    I was put off by results from years ago.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #42346

    @pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer And Guess what 2-0 Minsk!

    I can see Slavia turning it around though.

    @pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer And Guess what 2-0 Minsk!

    I can see Slavia turning it around though.

    Typical

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to james everard on last edited by
    #42347

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer And Guess what 2-0 Minsk!

    I can see Slavia turning it around though.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #42348

    @richard-latimer And Guess what 2-0 Minsk!

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    replied to james everard on last edited by
    #42349

    @james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Slutsk reserves vs Belshina reserves Inplay stats suggest a goal or two, pre match stats certainly did with 49 goals in the 12 matches played between the sides this year. 0-0 at half time going to back over 1.5 goal market and drip until 70mins take liability away if there is a goal before.

    Well that is why I haven't been trading this shitty leagues lol. 49 goals in 12 games and what do we get a bloody 0-0 lol

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #42350

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Missed the first goal in Belarus Prem... Didn't see enough SOT so was sitting tight... Never mind, onto the 2 o'clock

    Laying Minsk here

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #42351

    Missed the first goal in Belarus Prem... Didn't see enough SOT so was sitting tight... Never mind, onto the 2 o'clock

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #42352

    @pete-smith said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Watching the FC Slonim Reserves and I think I've identified why the Belarus massive play the way they do. Main HT beverage of vodka to keep the virus at bay followed by listening to 15 mins of trance music... explains a lot! 😂

    The definition says everything!

    Trance

    'A half conscious state characterized by an absence of response to external stimuli, typically as induced by hypnosis or entered by a medium'. 😂

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #42353

    Watching the FC Slonim Reserves and I think I've identified why the Belarus massive play the way they do. Main HT beverage of vodka to keep the virus at bay followed by listening to 15 mins of trance music... explains a lot! 😂

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    wrote on last edited by
    #42354

    Slutsk reserves vs Belshina reserves Inplay stats suggest a goal or two, pre match stats certainly did with 49 goals in the 12 matches played between the sides this year. 0-0 at half time going to back over 1.5 goal market and drip until 70mins take liability away if there is a goal before.

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42355

    Finally Energetik Mary.....wtf haha!!

    It's unmanaged but over 1.5 overall 80% and also looks nailed on for at least 1 goal if 0-0 @ HT.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42356

    Kopetdag in Turkmenistan looks like an under 2.5 all day but odds not favourable .1.5-1.6. Maybe worth a bash with 75% unders already.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42357

    Dinamo Brest I'm thinking LTD 2nd half too. Brest have scored 100%, Shakhtyor 60%.

    Brest have gone over 1.5 90% of the time but Shakhtyor again only 60% so not keen on the over 1.5.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #42358

    @ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Gorodeja v Bate

    Goro 50% Over 0.5 FHG this season at home

    Bate 100% Over 0.5 FHG this season away from home

    Overall 20% 0-0 @ HT

    My original thinking was a FHG goal on this one, the price is currently 1.53 which is higher than my usual entry point, but I am not 100% convinced with the average goal time stats where it puts the goals coming later...

    I will keep an eye on this for 0-0 @ HT then will look for a LTD at HT.

    I'm with you on the 0-0 @ HT 2nd half goal angle here.

    Too many red flags for other scenarios.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42359

    Smorgon v Volna

    Only 50% stats that either team scores. 3x 0-0, 3x 1-0/0-1.

    Looks like a low scoring affair.

    Red flag - Both teams concede a lot but no one to score will it make a difference.

    Odds on under 2.5 @ 1.8. Looks tasty.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42360

    Slavia v Minsk. I may check inplay stats and back home. Only 4 goals scored by away. 6 scored for home. Slavia don't lose too often at home. H2H favours Slavia. Odds over evens.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

  • Login

  • Login or register to search.
  • First post
    Last post
0
  • Login

  • Login or register to search.