The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Turning attention to the here and now I'm going for a goal in BATE II game against Gorodeya. Odds a bit high at the moment.
I've actually gone for a BATE goal. Seems very one sided.
0-1 and out
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Turning attention to the here and now I'm going for a goal in BATE II game against Gorodeya. Odds a bit high at the moment.
I've actually gone for a BATE goal. Seems very one sided.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Turning attention to the here and now I'm going for a goal in BATE II game against Gorodeya. Odds a bit high at the moment.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson BOOOOM!! I hate a boom but I think this is what we need here!
Who'd have thought we'd be getting so excited for Korean football haha
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@keith-anderson BOOOOM!! I hate a boom but I think this is what we need here!
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Football Traders: South Korean K League will start on May 8th!
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6pm Belarus Neman v Energetik-BGU
Looking at this one if there is a couple of scores at HT then I will get involved in the SH, ideally I am wanting 0-0 @ HT H2H 50% 0-0 @ HT for these two and the stats showing current season 50% 0-0 @ HT. This drops to 0% at FT
Then looking at the H2 over 0.5 we have 75%.
The combined drop from the HT 0-0 to FT 0-0 with the H2 Over 0.5 makes it an interesting one for me to watch.
In play what I will watch?
Neman score 1st 100% of the time, they need to be the team on top ideally
BGU concede 1st 50% of the timeNeman 67% of their goals come in the time 51-60
BGU concedes 51-60 50% and 61 -70 50%So if 0-0 at HT I will monitor this in play and if action will look to LTD around 2.7ish but only if the game looks there will be a goal
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Today's Belarus Premier League Games
Smolevichy-STI v Dinamo Minsk - My trade of choice will be 50%% Split Stake
Neman Grodno v Energettyk-BGU - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake
For In-Play stats in either game I will be looking for minimum 1 dangerous attack per minute played & 3 SOT by 30/35mins and 4 SOT to enter in SH before entering.
If in-play stats don't reach 3 SOT by 30 minutes will wait untill HT to enter either LTD or over 0.5 goals
At HT - If in doubt of goal before 70mins either hold off 2nd stake or wait untill LTD Price hits 1.98/1.95 & Lay for 0.5pts
At 70mins - If already fully matched with Split Stake & still 0-0 either take the red or LTD at current available odds & Lay same points as in o1.5 goals around 70/75mins & LTD price must be minimum 1.98/1.95 (with this scernario I'm happy to wait until 75mins for better price)
Before entering if you're in any doubt of risking 2pts you can either lower your staking to a total red of 1 or 0.5pts. so you will either halve or quarter the above staking plan.
if I miss entry I will move on.
Entry point 50% Stake = 25/30mins depending on inplay stats
Best of luck!
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@alan-steward Lovely, let me know if you get stuck buddy
Happy to help and if I don't know Adam will as he is the genius behind them! -
Going to try and remember to check all the reserve games at HT too. Not even looking at them tonight.
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Should be a goal in the Neman Grodno match but I'm not doing split stake again and wouldn't trust them to get one in FH. Will assess at HT and go from there.
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I reckon there's value in Dinamo Minsk tomorrow. Neither side pulling up trees but Minsk have scored in 7/10 away while Smolevichy only 5/10 at home. H2H favours Minsk. Smolevichy have only scored 1 in last 6 at home while Minsk have 1 in last 4 away.
Minsk are a bigger teams, one of the bigger teams in Belarus, clearly just going through a bit of a bad patch at the moment. Will wait to see what's happening on inplay stats and if it looks ok I'll back them. Seems safer than backing the goal.
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@Ryan-Carruthers Not sure I need anymore of the Ratings data within the Stats Software just yet or filter opportunities through the software first then maybe compare/double check with the Ratings page (wasn't aware that any were linked to be honest)... Think I need to fully understand all of them first
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Those Germans are just efficient in everything they do!
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@dan-erridge said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Bundasliga returns on May 9th, been signed off
This is great news, can see the light at the end of the tunnel!
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@alan-steward So you can get the ELO into the stats, but you want some of the other ratings in as well?
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@dan-erridge YES!
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@stuart-capstick Defo some opportunities with it isn't there, I think I will keep my eye on it and look to maybe try and rate some teams A B C in terms of ELO and find some mismatch and value like the inferior Elo rated team as this is gold !
