The BTC Football Trading Thread

Richard Latimer

14:00 Naftan v Slonim

10/10 scored by hoome, 5/10 scored by away
95% over 1.5

LTD or under on 60-65 mins provided only 1 goal scored up to that point.

Richard Latimer

18:00 Dinamo Brest v Dinamo Minsk
9/10 scored by home, 7/10 scored by away
80% overall over 1.5

Will go for a 2nd half goal around 60-65 mins if only 1 goal scored up to that point. Either LTD or lay the under.

Richard Latimer

14:00 Vitebsk v Shakhtyor

Overall 80% under 2.5, odds 1.7ish
Not a massive amount of goals scored FH and only 1 game in the 20 games overall saw either team score more than once in the FH.

Most likley I'll back the under 2.5 and trade out before HT or as soon as it looks like too much goal mouth action.

Richard Latimer

08:30 Gangwon v Seoul

A filtered 2nd half goal pick.
3.5 ave goals scored
3.35 overall ave goals
90% over 0.5 2nd half
8/10 scored by home 2nd half
6/10 scored by away 2nd half
Ave first 2h goal time 69 mins

If 0-0/1-1 @ HT I'll lay draw after 65 mins
If they score a 2nd half goal before then I'll lay the under
If 0-1 @ HT I'll lay under 1.5 after 65 mins and if a goal comes sooner I'll lay under 2.5

Richard Latimer

08:00 Anyang v Ansan

8/10 scored on both sides.
At least 1 goal should be incredibly likely.
Over 1.5 is 85% overall so a further goal is likely.

If it's 0-0 at HT I'll look to LTD 60-65 mins and if a goal is scored before I'll assess.
If it's 1-0/0-1 at HT I'll look to lay under 1.5 60-65 mins.

Richard Latimer

06:00 Pohang Steelers v Busan

9/10 scored by home, 5/10 by away
Stats for over 1.5 only average at 70% so not confident of a 2nd goal but if 0-0 @ HT I'll LTD on 60-65 mins.

Red flag: Goals scored ave 2.70 and overall goals ave 2.50.

Richard Latimer

On the case for tomorrow:

Korea
05:30 Chungnam Asan v Bucheon
7/10 scored by home, 8/10 scored by away.
Over 1.5 stats not great but if it's 0-0 I'll lay draw 60-65 mins in.

Red flag is only 2.5 ave goals scored and ave 2.55 goals overall.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Finally:

AB v Vikingur

6/10 home goal, 9/10 away goals scored.

Over 1.5 is 100% home and 90% away (95% overall).

Will LTD or over on 60-65 mins if no more than 1 goal scored already. If a 2nd half goal goes in before then I'm confident and more importantly the stats are confident there should be another goal so will lay the next over providing no more goals after that.

Will aim to lay draw between 60-65 mins. If a goal goes in before will most likely lay the under 1.5 around similar time.

I'm in

Caught the last 10 minutes. That is some high quality football...

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Finally:

AB v Vikingur

6/10 home goal, 9/10 away goals scored.

Over 1.5 is 100% home and 90% away (95% overall).

Will LTD or over on 60-65 mins if no more than 1 goal scored already. If a 2nd half goal goes in before then I'm confident and more importantly the stats are confident there should be another goal so will lay the next over providing no more goals after that.

Will aim to lay draw between 60-65 mins. If a goal goes in before will most likely lay the under 1.5 around similar time.

I'm in

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Finally:

AB v Vikingur

6/10 home goal, 9/10 away goals scored.

Over 1.5 is 100% home and 90% away (95% overall).

Will LTD or over on 60-65 mins if no more than 1 goal scored already. If a 2nd half goal goes in before then I'm confident and more importantly the stats are confident there should be another goal so will lay the next over providing no more goals after that.

Will aim to lay draw between 60-65 mins. If a goal goes in before will most likely lay the under 1.5 around similar time.

Richard Latimer

@dan-erridge said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Interesting overs was backed in on this faroe island game.i got 1.82 and went into 1.68 during the 1st 5 mins.only just back to 1.82 now 8 mins in

Hopefully 0-0 @ HT so I can LTD sorry haha

? Offline

Interesting overs was backed in on this faroe island game.i got 1.82 and went into 1.68 during the 1st 5 mins.only just back to 1.82 now 8 mins in

Richard Latimer

@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@dan-erridge One of the matches I traded earlier in the Faroe islands suggested easily over 2.5 goals and there was 1! They had something like 20 odd chances at goal and 15 corners ( the home team). Just hope it was because it was the first game of the season and little rusty in front of goal, give it a few games of data and I will be back on

I really hated the majority of odds so gave them a wide berth. Only 2 matches with more sensible odds.

Geoff Hall

@james-everard Some lovely100k lays on unders going in there at 1.01 - 2 1/2 goals price went up to 107 easy money for these guys they will be the same guys who drove the price just before kickoff too I guess

james everard

@dan-erridge One of the matches I traded earlier in the Faroe islands suggested easily over 2.5 goals and there was 1! They had something like 20 odd chances at goal and 15 corners ( the home team). Just hope it was because it was the first game of the season and little rusty in front of goal, give it a few games of data and I will be back on

james everard

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Hi all, hopefully you guys have had a good afternoon cant believe the results in Belarus this afternoon... 1 game I didnt expect more than 1 goal and they had 6... Slavia game I expected minimum 2 goals and there was a big fat zero lol... Took red after 65mins & Layed U0.5 goals at 1.98... 1pt red... Not happy lol.

Better luck with the horses tonight

This is why I am getting frustrated with the football at the moment it is ridiculously unpredictable. Hopefully we will have better luck with the horses buddy

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward Didn't like Belarus today at all

Richard Latimer

@dan-erridge hopefully @Adam-Williams can add it to the stats engine. I'm break even from that game now more or less.

? Offline

Hi all, hopefully you guys have had a good afternoon cant believe the results in Belarus this afternoon... 1 game I didnt expect more than 1 goal and they had 6... Slavia game I expected minimum 2 goals and there was a big fat zero lol... Took red after 65mins & Layed U0.5 goals at 1.98... 1pt red... Not happy lol.

Better luck with the horses tonight

? Offline

Imo watching this game and earlier ones, I think there are legs in the faroe islands league's, just need relevant data which will come after a few games.looking at last season's table, it certainly has a few goals in it.3.22 I think the league average was if I remember.will monitor.does anyone know if btc stats will/Do cover it?