The BTC Football Trading Thread

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@james-everard yep Mott feeling bad mate.similar to you mate, on Ryan's split stake in the Belarus game.then Richard put some interesti g stuff up for faroe later which I will look at

Geoff Hall

@richard-latimer thank you ,The home team look far more likely to score here yet theyre way down the league compared to their opposition,Only seven games played though I guess

Richard Latimer

@geoff-hall I find them all very inconsistent. If Sofascore app has inplay stats those tend to be most in depth and most accurate.

Geoff Hall

Can I ask whose in play stats most use? I’m looking at bet365 on one hand that says only one shot on target and flash scores seems to think there has been 8 attemps and three shots on goal,I’ve only just started to watch the game thanks

james everard

Had a look at the Belarus Premier League match currently being played. Slovia Mozyr vs Zhodino not a lot of decent stand out stats. Home side has had 1.5 goals in their matches 6 out of 7 but the away side only 3 out of 7. The head to head shows no 0-0 between the sides none of the last 10 matches so if 0-0 at half time may look to enter ltd in the second half

james everard

@richard-latimer Hi mate quite probably I want to get back into the football again. I see your post earlier on the Faroe Islands i will have a read and put up my possibilities in a little while

Richard Latimer

@james-everard you going to look at Faroes?

james everard

@dan-erridge How's the hangover? I'm feeling not too bad today surprisingly. What are you trading plans for today. I am going to have a sit in the garden and have a look at football matches this afternoon and see if there is anything that sticks out. Then of course the Usa races this evening

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@james-everard

me to!

james everard

@richard-latimer Had too many of them yesterday!!!

Richard Latimer

Now I'm off outside to enjoy the sunshine and have a beer!!

Richard Latimer

Finally:

AB v Vikingur

6/10 home goal, 9/10 away goals scored.

Over 1.5 is 100% home and 90% away (95% overall).

Will LTD or over on 60-65 mins if no more than 1 goal scored already. If a 2nd half goal goes in before then I'm confident and more importantly the stats are confident there should be another goal so will lay the next over providing no more goals after that.

Richard Latimer

Was beginning to think Faroe Islands would be all crazy odds as well but one game catches the eye:

Ki vs B36.

Over 2.5 odds 1.76 so fairly average.

Home have scored in 9/10 while away have alsco scored in 9/10. Overall over 1.5 is 85% between the two of them 100 home and 70 away.

Home are also 8/10 over 2.5 while away are 6/10.

Not only this but matches seem to see a very good proportion of early goals with 8 matches from the 20 between both teams seeing h/a score 2 goals + FH. If you include conceded as well that jumps to 10 with 2 goals+ FH from the 20. Another 4 have 1 goal so only 6 with no goals at all from the 20.

One red flag and that's the last H2H fixture here ended 0-2 with goals 88 and 90. Before that however early goals galore once more.

I'm thinking to take over 2.5 from the off and green up if possible at HT. Then depending on the score at HT LTD after 60-65 mins. If 1-0 or 0-1 lay the over similar time.

james everard

B...…., being to defensive there the equaliser has come !

james everard

Morning all . May lay Dinamo Brest reserves currently winning 1-0. I will enter the trade when Minsk start having more attempts on goal.

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@alan-steward
Thanks mate.appreciate your help

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Here are some of the Stats I use to help select my trades... I always refer to these as well as BTC Stats Software & BTC Football Ratings page (When info is available)

From these you can hopefully see why I don't have much confidence with the Neman game but expect (not guarantee) a goal within Slavia game

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@alan-steward
Yes mate, makes sense,thanks for the reply

Richard Latimer

Nothing else of interest in Korea, Belarus or Turkmenistan.

Just the Faroe Islands to go now haha!

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@dan-erridge Currently -3pts, I have been changing my approach to trading the games and have no doubt I will not lose overall, when a 4 goal game is predicted on Forebet with BTS if still 0-0 on 30mins will prob enter 50% stake on 30mins without being quite so regimented on the in-play stats.

After entering and I have concerns before doing the second part of the stake I will cover red on LTD.

I also asses the game when taking red on 70mins and will look to watch the game in SH if I have concerns, it's difficult to post every move on here as I will never trade outside of my comfort zone and am experienced enough to recover red without taking chances.

If I were to trade every move on here and things didn't go well people may soon get put off, move onto something else and not recover their losses in a controlled and structured fashion... Does this make sense?

As you can see I can ramble and would prob never make a teacher lol