The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@geoff-hall said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Wouldn’t care it’s actually been quite a lively game and there could’ve been two goals one hit the top of the net and one hit the bar but the general poor quality of finishing has reflected and been similar to the lower leagues elsewhere
Hopefully they don't score straight away then but even if they do I'll still go for another.
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@richard-latimer Wouldn’t care it’s actually been quite a lively game and there could’ve been two goals one hit the top of the net and one hit the bar but the general poor quality of finishing has reflected and been similar to the lower leagues elsewhere
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@geoff-hall said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Watching the way the market crashed just before the kickoff somebody knew
Yeah it would seem that way but you never can tell. Redded out and will look to LTD on 60-65mins.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer Watching the way the market crashed just before the kickoff somebody knew
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Well time for a big change in my trading again. The last few weeks with being off work I have been over trading probably due to boredom!
From now things are going to change, I have now given up greyhounds, not something I think you can trade manually without getting emotionally attached and when you lose 2 or 3 on the bounce I end up losing my head and chase my losses not the sport for me.
football also not been doing well but not to the levels of the Greyhounds fortunatly . I will not be selecting trades now until 8 matches have been played minimum in the season, or if a league is restarting again after the covid outbreak 2 games will have to be played.
I believe Alan is doing ok with the Belarus leagues , so may follow his suggestions for the time being on that . Anyone else actually making any money at the moment on the sample leagues we currently have, can't see how they seem so unpredictable.
I am going to try and concentrate on horse racing until the main football leagues are back and then try to juggle the two sports more . I have strategies that will be profitable for football based on the filters I have set but nothing is coming up for weeks now. -
@geoff-hall god knows but I laid half at 2.40 and half at 1.66
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer ha ha what’s happened here ?..
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@dan-erridge Well if we thought we were getting value before we definitely are now unless both strikers are injured LOL
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Should be nearer 1.4 on % chance
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Just looking at those games now mate, think there is value in them over 2.5 markets, looks around a 70-80% chance of over 2.5 and the price is 1.66 which is nearer 60% so nice edge there
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Over 2.5 on Ki. Laying under pre kickoff for half stake and another half stake after 10-15 mins.
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@james-everard Whats your plan for exit if this goes south? Looks pretty level in the stats so far
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@stuart-capstick Yes, like a post code lottery perhaps?
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@pete-smith
Do you reckon they operate "pay to play" in Belarus?
"Pay a few kopecks, get a game for Torpedo Zhodino this weekend"
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Well another entertaining performance from the Belarus PL. The highlight for me was at around 70 mins the number 10 stood looking at an almost open goal wondering if he was onside or not and instead of scoring so most of us could green up he decided to kick the ball out of play!
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Say's it all about the Belarus when you get cramp and the ball boy steps in instead of the physio's!
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Forgot to add the Belarus Div 1 match Smorgon vs Lida , the h2h record suggests the home side won't win no wins in the last 6 matches. But I would have to follow the inplay stats to see if the h2h stats from previous seasons backs this up. If they home side takes the lead and Lida are dominating may enter and lay the home side
Right the home side has taken the lead but down to 10men now , put in a lay trade on Smorgon
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Forgot to add the Belarus Div 1 match Smorgon vs Lida , the h2h record suggests the home side won't win no wins in the last 6 matches. But I would have to follow the inplay stats to see if the h2h stats from previous seasons backs this up. If they home side takes the lead and Lida are dominating may enter and lay the home side
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@dan-erridge Good info from him reads the data well
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Well had a look and with the Faroe Islands league it is going to be hard to base any suggestions as it is the start of the season. Looking on Soccerway it looks like a league that generally produces goals, so maybe an idea to watch the matches and gain an indication on how to play probably back goals after 30mins if 0-0.
The two matches I started looking at was HB Torshavan vs EB/Streymur the home side looks like the favourite the head to heads results show that Eb have only won 1 of the 5 matches played. So if Eb take the lead may lay them .
The other match I looked at in the league was NSI Rundavic vs Tvoroyi , last 5 h2h Nsi have won 4 and Tvoryi won 1 and 19 goals have been scored so goals are expected. So I will either lay the away side if they take the lead or do a split stake either on 15mins on the over 2.5goal market of 1.5 goal market on 30mins.
The Belarus Premier league match later on Neman vs Rukh Brest suggest a low scoring match 6 out of 7 matches this season have been under 2.5 goals so I will probably back under 2.5 goals at kick off and trade out around 25mins or earlier if the inplay action suggests a goal
