The BTC Football Trading Thread
-
@john-hurst Last few weeks it has been goals galore although I think it started off very slowly. We have the Czech and Hungarian leagues starting this weekend so more and more possibilities mate. Have you any filters set mate, so you can get a selection process of trades to do? I will reply later as off on a walk now
-
@james-everard have been enjoying the belarusian football in general
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward Should be a cracking match this one, looking forward to it
Easily pleased lol
-
Morning all potential trades for today.
17.00pm Belarus Prem- Dynamo Brest vs Bate . Looking at the stats this match suggests at least two goals 10/10 so far this season and 7/10 for over 2.5 goals ( although the h2h on over 2.5 is only 6/17). So only this match is will trade as the over 1.5 goal split stake in on 30mins if inplay stats back up the pre match stats. The other possibility if Dynamo Brest takes the lead to lay them
17.30pm Estonia Prem League- Flora vs Tammeka . This match suggest goals hence poor odds on goals. Last 6 h2h matches have had the following results
Tammeka 0 Flora 3
Tammeka 1 Flora 6
Flora 0 - Tammeka 1
Tammeka 0 Flora 2
Flora 4 Tammeka 1
H2h half times scores 0-0 only 20%The last 20matches for each side has had 40/40 over 0.5 goals, 32 out of 40 (80%) over 1.5goals, Over 2.5 goals 26/40 (65%) and over 3.5 goals 20/40 ( 50%)
So I will either trade the split stake 1.5 or 2.5 goal strategy or if 0-0 after 75mins lcs
17.00pm Estonia Prem- Tallinna Kalev vs Narva
This game also suggests goals, last 5 h2h matches have had the following results
Trans 1-1 Tallinna, Trans 2-0 Tallinna, Tallinna 0-3 Trans, Trans 2-2 Tallinna, Tallina 0-4 Trans. H2h last 20matches over 0.5 goals 19/20, over 1.5 goals 17/20 and over 2.5 goals 13/30Overall matches they have played last 20 each . Over 0.5 goals 39/40, over 1.5 goals 32/40 and over 2.5goals 23/40. But only 16% of matches have had a goal in the first 20mins.
So I will probably enter the over 2.5 goal split stake strategy on 20mins, or alternatively ltd if 0-0 on 60mins . Also if Tallinna take the lead lay them.
22.00pm Costa Rica- Grecia vs Perez Zeledon , I might dutch the correct score on this match for the following results 0-0, 1-0, 1-1,2-0,1-2,2-1,2-2,3-1,0-3,2-3 and AU.
22.00pm Costa Rica - UCR vs Santos Dg, will ltd if 0-0 at half time or when odds below 2.68
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward Should be a cracking match this one, looking forward to it
You are talking about football from Belarus right haha!? Belarusian football. Cracking match. Belarusian football. Cracking match. Sorry, I'm just not seeing the link haha.
-
@alan-steward Should be a cracking match this one, looking forward to it
-
@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Estonia today!
Love Estonia! Not much to go on in terms but if Narva go down by one goal I will keep an eye on it, if this was against the run of play I will back Narva.
If the odds go above 1.7
Yay Estonia. More football that looks like it's being played in a pub car park haha! Can't tell the difference between games where fans are allowed and behind closed doors.
-
Today's Belarus Premier League Games
Dinamo Brest v BATE - Choice of trade, Option A: 25% Split Stake - Option B: FHG (Back o0.5 FHG at 1.51/1.53 depending on commision)... With a positive start to the game I will be backing FHG
Entry point 25% = 10/15mins depending on inplay stats
In play stats: 1 SOT by 10mins and postive attacking start to the match and 4 SOT to enter in SH in either game before entering, if I miss entry I will move on.Staking 25% Back o1.5 goals on 10mins then 25% every 25points i.e. 25% @ 1.4, 25% @ 1.65, 25% @ 1.9 & 25% @ 2.16, green up after 1st goal or take red on 70/75mins
Entry point 50% = 25/30mins depending on inplay stats
In play stats: 3 SOT by 35mins and 4 SOT to enter in SH in either game before entering, if I miss entry I will move on.Staking (Ryans Split Stake), 50% on 30mins & 50% on 50mins, green up after 1st goal or take red on 70/75mins
I will be taking my dogs for a long woodland walk today so may not be on the Forum when match is live.
Best of luck!
-
-
Overnight game betweeen Cartagines and Alajuelense in Costa Rica should see at least a goal and likely 2. Going to put a lay of 3.50 in on the U0.5 before I go to bed. Even I'm not staying up for this one.
-
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Hope you don't get burnt on your favourite league mate, well I have now joined you in the trade lol
The fateful Estonian league , no guarantees. Lesson to be learnt!
Yes and no. Don't lay big Numbers in Estonia but 1.3 was nothing and could have easily been a winning trade. Just glad I took the 1.20 on a goal before the end.
-
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Hope you don't get burnt on your favourite league mate, well I have now joined you in the trade lol
The fateful Estonian league , no guarantees. Lesson to be learnt!
-
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I've taken cheap 1.2 on late goal as well.
Nice
-
I've taken cheap 1.2 on late goal as well.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@james-everard win or lose I'm not getting burnt at 1.3 haha
-
@james-everard lovely stuff, missed that one- had to make my dinner
can’t trade on an empty stomach -
Hope you don't get burnt on your favourite league mate, well I have now joined you in the trade lol
-
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Wondering if it's worth a lay on Tulevik now.
Took 1.3
-
Wondering if it's worth a lay on Tulevik now.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Backed Over 2.5 goals around 50 min mark. Happy to take the quick profit and leave it there. Quite an upset on the cards here!
