The BTC Football Trading Thread

[Richard Latimer]

Laid over 2.5 in Trinec @ 1.44

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Jablonec went out to 1.6. I'm happy with that to back them.

That said, I hadn't realised there was an hour til kick off so holding off until nearer the time.

[Richard Latimer]

Jablonec went out to 1.6. I'm happy with that to back them.

[A Former User]

Not being having to much joy on over 0.5 fh goals this season. Roughly only slightly green. So currently testing this filter.
Ov. H1 Over 0.5 % > 68
Ov. Goals 31-45 > 20
Ov. Goals 21-30 >= 10
Scope. 20 matches.
Trading plan 25% of stake ov 0.5 1st half goals at kick off. Then place further 25% of stake 30 ticks higher and repeat with next 25% another 30 ticks higher and same for final 25%.
Or wait 10 mins before getting in.
3 qualifiers today.
Eintract v Frieburg
Dortmund v Bayern
Leverkusen v Wolfsburg
Tomorrow
Hoffenheim v Cologne
Bochum v Holsten Keil

[A Former User]

@john-hurst purely on the btc football stats I noticed 68% of goals involving the 2 teams came in the 2nd half 26 out of 38 and then checked FlashScore history of home and away score lines and noticed only 1 0-0 in last 25 matches. At the time of the lay the away team we’re getting on top (bet365) got lucky with 90+ goal but that was my thought process.

[A Former User]

@allan-birch was it a decent game? where do you get your stats from mate? just b365? i notice the flashscore doesnt add stats for some leagues.

[A Former User]

Ltd at Buncheon game at 2.28. Stats favoured a 2nd half goal and away team we’re pressing. Got to love an injury time winner. Good start to the day.

[A Former User]

backed the under 2.5 in that daejon game at 30 mins at 2 and layed at half time for 1.62 so happy with that- what a difference it makes watching games that you trade. Such a brutal game with next to no chances. Massive difference in quality between K league 1 and 2. Think there has only been one shot on target the entire game

[james everard]

Trading plan for today, I was originally going to paper trade for a couple of weeks but I think if I stick to my bank management and make sure the in play stats back up pre match analysis I will be ok and last weekend was a one off.

SPLIT STAKE 1.5 GOAL STRATEGY
16.00pm Czech Rep Div 2- Varnsdorf vs Hradec Kralove
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg

BACK OVER 1.5 GOALS IF 0-0 AT HT
17.30pm German Bundesliga- Dortmund vs Bayern Munch ( ALSO ON THE LTD FILTER IF 0-0 AT HT)

LAY THE DRAW AT HT IF 0-0 OR 1-1
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Regensburg vs Nurnberg
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Werder Bremen vs B.Monchengladbach

LAY THE DRAW FOR HT OR BACK OVER 0.5 FIRST HALF GOALS
16.00pm Czech Rep Div 2- Fk Pardubice vs Prostejov
17.00pm Czech Rep Liga1- Slovacko vs Sigma Olomouc
17.30pm German Bundesliga- Dortmund vs Bayern Munch
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg

BACK OVER 2.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY
17.30pm German Bundesliga- Dortmund vs Bayern Munch

[A Former User]

Today's trades from my filters,;

Plus I will be following/backing Ryan's Split Stake (Less my IP15 selections)
Plus a qty of Correct Scores.

[James Woodroffe]

Morning Gentlemen,
I’m going to take a leaf out of Ryan’s book today after doing my morning breakfast research.

FHG same as Ryan
LTD same as Keith.

Ignoring the Czech 2nd division matches that came up.
Here’s to a green Tuesday.

[A Former User]

Will be doing a split stake on over 1.5 goals in the Daejeon vs Ansan game this morning

[Ryan]

FHG

Dortmund v Bayern
Frankfurt v Freiburg

Split Stake

Bayer v Wolfsburg

HT LTD

Same as Keith.

Additional

Will back Monchengladbach should they go 1-0 down & against the run of play
Will back Leipzig should they go 0-1 down & against the run of play

[Richard Latimer]

Here's my plan for tomorrow just waiting to be blown out of the water:

I've tried to add and highlight as much detail as possible in terms of how I will be playing each and when I will look to get in etc...

Ultimately I'm rethinking my unders to get in after first goal if say no more than 30 mins in as hoping for a goalless first half even in the most dull and borig of games won't work out all too often meaning most of the time I'd be getting no better than a scratch if I want out at HT.

Some games on the unders list cross with 2nd half plays but then just because I'd expect a goal at some point doesn't mean I expect loads so no reason I can't play both sides of the coin.

I'm really not 100% sure on Trinec or Bremen but they are in my plan to at least track.

[Akiva Anderson]

Potential trades for Tuesday, 26th May

LTD if 0-0 or 1-1 at HT:

17:00 - Jablonec v Zlin
17:30 - Dortmund v Bayern
17:30 - Furth v Osnabruck
19:30 - Leverkusen v Wolfsburg
19:30 - Frankfurt v Freinurg

LCS if 0-0, 0-1 or 1-1 at HT:

11:00 - Daejeon v Ansan
17:00 - Jablonec v Zlin
17:30 - Furth v Osnabruck
19:30 - Leverkusen v Wolfsburg
19:30 - Frankfurt v Freinurg

[A Former User]

I was just about to load O3.5 goals @ 1.76 just as the 2nd goal hit, bummer.

With 2 quick goals like that and a league I dont really know think I would still take the same action to remove risk.

Catch you all later

[A Former User]

@alan-steward
I took a few quid profit from the correct score market at half time so thanks for that

[A Former User]

Looking forward to the football tomorrow

[A Former User]

@alan-steward Yes banked a small win on 03.5 goals drip backed towards end 1st half as so open - cashed out when 3rd goal went in just after half time

[A Former User]

Dukla Prague v Jihlava

LOL, unbelievable 2 goals inside 10mins then just the one more!

Anybody else get more luck with the game?