The BTC Football Trading Thread

Nick Allan

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@andy-donnelly Sweden wasn’t great for me either, they are near the end of there season may be a factor

For me it's the Winter Leagues that are stuttering!

i agree uk pics were awful this weekend

Nick Allan

@ryan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

I'm seeing this massively, seems to be a lot of action on goal but the ball getting in the back of the net isn't happening, unless you are called Haaland.

you must be feeling it as ive been trading your LCS HT pics (minus the leagues ive stopped trading) and they have been massively struggyling

mind you I bet the leagues that i've stopped traading - iceland, finalnd, mls are doing well?

Nick Allan

Last month I had my best month 17 points, this was mainly due to my second-half goals strategies which are split stakes and we had a lot of late goals which massively helped. I really felt that I turned a bit of a corner……………. this month I'm currently eight points down! Sadly this is trading and it's just variance, it is weird that a lot of the winter leagues that I've just started trading have been so poor in particular the amount of second-half goals, there are some really strong stats and teams just aren't performing. Just got to hope that we can turn it round in the following three weeks. I'm definitely keeping an eye on Sweden at the moment and Bolivia which have been awful the weekend and I'm looking at dumping them, strange as still seven fixtures in that league left to go but the results have been so poor.
Bloody footballers and their “I'm already on the beach”, mentality………………. get back to work you lazy buggers!!

Ryan

I'm seeing this massively, seems to be a lot of action on goal but the ball getting in the back of the net isn't happening, unless you are called Haaland.

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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer do you think some of it is due to the crossover from summer to winter keagues?

I really don't know what it is. Stop start season maybe. I just think heavy variance perhaps.

The games that have been losing have been shot heavy. Just no one can actually shoot on target or beat the keeper.

I’ve seen some of that also, should turn round, hopefully. Patience needed I guess

Richard Latimer

@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer do you think some of it is due to the crossover from summer to winter keagues?

I really don't know what it is. Stop start season maybe. I just think heavy variance perhaps.

The games that have been losing have been shot heavy. Just no one can actually shoot on target or beat the keeper.

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@richard-latimer do you think some of it is due to the crossover from summer to winter keagues?

Richard Latimer

@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@andy-donnelly Sweden wasn’t great for me either, they are near the end of there season may be a factor

For me it's the Winter Leagues that are stuttering!

Richard Latimer

It's a good to see fhat I'm not the only one struggling this month. Seems a to be a real rebound to all the positive stats.

My system has been averaging 90% for the last 3 months, the 3 months before that didn't have a loss so a real statistical anomaly.

This month is just 77%

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@andy-donnelly Sweden wasn’t great for me either, they are near the end of there season may be a factor

Andy Donnelly

@martin Yeh Sweden in particular was a disaster for me yesterday.

Was doing ok this month generally, but yesterday was one of the worst days in a while! Need to regroup and trust the process

Ryan

My HT LTD/HT LCS for today
0_1665386121573_b955257a-62e7-4e4e-8427-ba10468092e9-image.png

Richard Latimer

@martin my last few losses came in Netherlands, NI and Netherlands again. Action packed games where neither team could hit a barn door with a banjo in the Netherlands!

Martin

@richard-latimer my combined ones have been rubbish so far this month. They are a lot in Scandinavia and I wonder if the colder weather now has an impact on goals for some games, may have an October cut off for those leagues next year!

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5:

Another 0-0 despite buckets of chances and the odds locking on bets365 every 5 seconds!!

1/2, another loss but at least Orlando didn't let me down.

Richard Latimer

@alastair-todd said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Wow, what a day! Did what I thought was some pretty thorough research and analysis on the games that my 1.5 filter threw up and discounted numerous games due to what I thought would be motivation factors i.e. the last game of the season in the MLS for example. As it turns out 3 out of the 5 that I did trade lost, and several of the ones I didn't trade would have won. The first two MLS games that I didn't trade have 5 goals between them before half time! Good thing I'm not doing this for a living....!

I'm finding Oct really tough going!

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@alastair-todd way it goes sometimes.

I also avoided games in the MLS that came up on my filters but its the correct thing to do long terms we can't be results orientated on games we dont trade. Easier said than done

Alastair Todd

Wow, what a day! Did what I thought was some pretty thorough research and analysis on the games that my 1.5 filter threw up and discounted numerous games due to what I thought would be motivation factors i.e. the last game of the season in the MLS for example. As it turns out 3 out of the 5 that I did trade lost, and several of the ones I didn't trade would have won. The first two MLS games that I didn't trade have 5 goals between them before half time! Good thing I'm not doing this for a living....!

Akiva Anderson

Going for a SHG in the Vitesse v Fortuna match. 1-1 at HT

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@keith-anderson From what I've seen looks like you've had a pretty good weekend for SHG'