The BTC Football Trading Thread
-
@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman yes to be fair there are always goals but today's game over 1.5 is 1.02
Ive just had a quick look at my filter and SR is 96% for O1.5 so actually not that far off......although i cant understand why anyone would back anything at 1.02!
But if you like LCS later in the SH (65-80') then the prices do tend to compress and can often find value
-
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin Yep, terrible value in that! But LCS could be close on 2.0 at 80’ and close to 4.0 at 65’-68’ which is closer to being a trace. I’m not saying every game will be value, but I’ve found that in most there is value even at the shorter odds
I had a quick look at this league on my LCS filter. Ive got about 70 results from singapore, 3300 from the filter as a whole:
O1.5 - 96% (Filter Average 84%)
SHG - 94% SR (Filter Average 85%)
60' - 86% (Filter Average 79%)
75' - 67% (Filter Average 58%)So the price on some trades isnt great but this is how the concept of value differs from price
-
Lay under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
is there anywhere on the forum that can help with Bet Angel guardian automation, my queries on the BA forum are just being ignored
-
@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer why not use Smarkets or Betdaq in that case
It's postponed now anyway
-
@richard-latimer why not use Smarkets or Betdaq in that case
-
So I was going to lay under 1.5 in TSV Rain/Lech but it's suspended pre kick-off.
I queried with betfair and have been told as it's not going inplay they are not going to unsuspended it.
Joke company!!
-
@chris-king said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Thoughts on Singapore as a league? Odds on overs are so short I'm tempted to ditch it on the whole.
Have been thinking the same for a while myself. Matches from this league pop up in a few of my filters and i find it difficult to get any value or get matched most of the time. Some of the Scandinavian leagues are similar.
Drip in the stakes or do a time limited trade.
-
Possibly there is a thread for this, but I think this set of articles (biases we all have and which can have effects on decisions and understandingfo events) is worth reading. Not just for trading purposes, either:
-
@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Thoughts on Singapore as a league? Odds on overs are so short I'm tempted to ditch it on the whole.
Have been thinking the same for a while myself. Matches from this league pop up in a few of my filters and i find it difficult to get any value or get matched most of the time. Some of the Scandinavian leagues are similar.
-
@martin Yep, terrible value in that! But LCS could be close on 2.0 at 80’ and close to 4.0 at 65’-68’ which is closer to being a trace. I’m not saying every game will be value, but I’ve found that in most there is value even at the shorter odds
-
@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Thoughts on Singapore as a league? Odds on overs are so short I'm tempted to ditch it on the whole.
Sometimes there is value in first half goals. For second half-goals, the odds are bad but it really depends how long you hold the trade and how you enter the stakes. There is some value in late goals.
-
@martin Short odds but it’s been very profitable for me! I tend to get in later on as my LCS max lay is 4.0 but it’s still been great
-
-
@darragh-moran-0 Thats ridiculous, this is the best place to be IMO, just keep asking questions and keep an eye on your risk. There no way im put doen 10K on a game and you would need to place some high bets toi get the value from a 5 grand course
-
@darragh-moran-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Anyone heard of Psychoff or done a course of his before? Any opinions welcome? £4999 seems steep…
He’s been generous, courses have previously been £40k
