The BTC Football Trading Thread
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was up 2 points earlier then lost 2 points on the bayern game by backing over 6.5 goals after the 5th went in, looking to green after a 6th, also lost another 2 points on the Diosgyori game with a Betgreen system trade.
Currently up 8 points since i started on the 20th may. -
@richard-latimer this saturday has been 100% better than last lol dont know what happened last week
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@john-hurst yep. 2 more to go for the day here.
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another late goal for DVTK
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Strange old day today had a loss in Korea this morning and nothing else has qualified. I’ve got 1 trade left in Keith’s 3% club and one left of my own in Costa Rica tonight. Silver lining I haven’t gone looking for anything which I’m really happy about. Really keen to learn from previous mistakes pre the cancellation of matches and with more leagues starting up all the time it’s nice to have a semblance of normality with live sports and not the novelty of it just being back.
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Shame about the FHG letting me down in Hungry, 1.11pts down from todays chosen trades plus -0.5pts from @Keith-Anderson 3% club but it will all come back and hopefully a good green day tomorrow
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@martin-futter i will be checking out the odds around 84 minutes on drawing games today now.
It will be higher than needed with the 47% strike rate im sure. I backed overs at 75 minutes today at 2.38 -
Cracking day so far trying the new filter for HT LTD/Back another goal at 60. Been tracking first half stats and deciding on the approach at half time. Two more to go today, here is what i am doing tomorrow for anyone that is interested. Clear favourites are starred.
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@martin-futter was the lcs drawing at that time or was there a 0-1 etc, very interesting results there
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Did some analysis on trade entry times on this system: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/lay-drawlay-score-60mins
So there were 300 results with LCS, however LTD results were lower around 100-150 as lots of games were not drawing at 60 mins.
I was testing if a goal was scored after said time below.
Here are the strike rate results:
LCS at 60 mins - 75.08%
LTD at 60 mins (if drawing) - 78%LCS at 74 mins - 54.55%
LTD at 74 mins (if drawing) - 61.11%LCS at 84 mins - 33.33%
LTD at 84 mins (if drawing) - 47.06% -
I'm already up 4pts from today. The question is now do I go and do something else or keep to the plan haha??!
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Left the Kisvarda game for 15 minutes or so as they were playing 10 men and Ujpest hadn't offered anything in attack before then, been a good afternoon
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Had to green in that Lisen game after the goal. Not been the best of halves
I've started cashing the minute goal goes in. I think most pro traders would take the green the minute it's there. Why risk what you've already made for a few more ticks.
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lisen game i took out liability on the split stake to get a free bet over 1.5 goals and also laid lisen now 1-1 for nice green on both
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small lay on Bayern- odds too good not to. Will trade out if it hits 30 mins and 0-0 or just let it run if Bayern take the lead. The way these games have started lately it seems a no brainer to lay them.
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@richard-latimer Had to green in that Lisen game after the goal. Not been the best of halves
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nice one guys I just got on after all the recommendations, it was one of Ryans split stake selections and the inplay stats looked decent.
So big thank you to the BTC team.
I only used 1/4 of my stake only a couple quid profit) so not bosting but thanking you all! -
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Decent opportunities for LTD/LCS in both the Vysehrad vs Lisen and Kisvarda v Ujpest. Vysehrad and Lisen have had 0 0-0's this season- decent stats first half. Decent stats also in the Kisvarda Match (less than 1 in 10 finished goalless with these sides). Worth a look for those not following a strict plan today
Already in my plans.
Another 2 more there. Great stuff!
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Decent opportunities for LTD/LCS in both the Vysehrad vs Lisen and Kisvarda v Ujpest. Vysehrad and Lisen have had 0 0-0's this season- decent stats first half. Decent stats also in the Kisvarda Match (less than 1 in 10 finished goalless with these sides). Worth a look for those not following a strict plan today
Already in my plans.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
So far.....it's been a great day for me. Around 3pts up.
