The BTC Football Trading Thread

Richard Latimer

@richard-lillis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

This cracovia is going to be one of those games.....

Nah....don't think like that haha

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This cracovia is going to be one of those games.....

Eamonn Hogan

@richard-latimer 2 down

ruled out

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LTD Vendryssel and Cracovia

1 down 1 to go

Richard Latimer

LTD Vendryssel and Cracovia

Ryan

@keith-anderson rrr ruled out, that be one your fastest ever wouldn’t it?

Akiva Anderson

LTD / LCS in the Cracovia Krakow v Jagiellonia match. Currently 0-0 at HT

Eamonn Hogan

@john-hurst i have laid the draw for when it goes 1.5

james everard

@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Getting in on the 1st back trade on the over 1.5 goal market in the Polish top league, Cracovia vs Jagiellonia

Incidently By the way just found it live on Free sports

james everard

Getting in on the 1st back trade on the over 1.5 goal market in the Polish top league, Cracovia vs Jagiellonia

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nice LTD BAG opportunity in the Vejle game. Top team at home playing a team in the bottom 3

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Stuttgart just scratched my 3 Goal Dutch... I dare them to score another

liam willis

ill take that as a bit of luck i laid the correct score on teplice game didnt think it matched cos of corner so laid again 2 seconds later teplice scored then i realised id laid twicw so double bubble lol

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@Keith-Anderson Well done with Teplice mate

Martin

@alan-steward based on a game drawing at 74 mins having a 61% chance of a goal (odds are around evens) and at 84 mins 47% of a goal (odds are around 3.0+)

so that same filter picked this game out and the inplay stats were good. not really much more i could ask for in a goals trade. 39% chance it loses but that's the game we play, the odds were value!

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@martin-futter Will get my head around that one mate OTBC

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@martin-futter With 2 goals already in post 60mins was it just a value shout/gamble or had you based your decision on Fav not winning or were there other goal time factors you considered?

Martin

@Alan-Steward posted this yesterday:

Did some analysis on trade entry times on this system: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/lay-drawlay-score-60mins

So there were 300 results with LCS, however LTD results were lower around 100-150 as lots of games were not drawing at 60 mins.

I was testing if a goal was scored after said time below.

Here are the strike rate results:

LCS at 60 mins - 75.08%
LTD at 60 mins (if drawing) - 78%

LCS at 74 mins - 54.55%
LTD at 74 mins (if drawing) - 61.11%

LCS at 84 mins - 33.33%
LTD at 84 mins (if drawing) - 47.06%

Martin

@alan-steward I sent it out in the daily email, it's the LTD or LCS at 60 min one just with a later entry time

liam willis

@martin-futter i was gonna lay duis when they went 2-0 up phone went and when i got off phone it was 2-2 so backed 1860 at 3.0 lovely