The BTC Football Trading Thread

[A Former User]

@ryan-carruthers Have just been spending time shifting through 4 months of data to eliminate negative profit leagues, my current Black List is as follows;

Still got some work to do on this though, am just about to add all leagues to your Filter in a separate test filter and see if I get time to measure it

[A Former User]

@alan-steward nice one, do you filter the games out or do you just use what is selected mate?

[Richard Latimer]

LTD Lech Poznan II after 60 mins.

[Richard Latimer]

Almost forgot. Backed Pobesk in Poland.

[Martin]

Nice start to the day in Korea

[A Former User]

@james-everard

Hi Mate

how long have you been running the 80mins+ goal filter? hows it been going? im trying to make one up at the moment mate, as so many late goals.

Cheers Dan

[Ryan]

@alan-steward Do you do any additional filtering on my split stake?

On the FH

I do the same, highlight the strongest ones for the filter and then stick with those.

[james everard]

Watchlist for Today

BACK OVER 1.5 GOALS SPLIT STAKE
13.00pm Germany 3rd Div.- Duisburg vs Chemnitzer
13.00pm Germany 3rd Div.- Braunschweig vs Bayern II
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich
16.00pm Austria Bundesliga- St Polten vs Austria Vienna
16.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Altach vs Wattens
16.30pm Polish Ekstraklasa- Zaglebie vs Lech Poznan
19.30pm Greece Super League- Aris vs Ofi Crete

BACK OVER 2.5 GOALS SPLIT STAKE
13.00pm Germany 3rd Div.- Braunschweig vs Bayern II
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz
16.00pm Austria Bundesliga- St Polten vs Austria Vienna
17.30pm German Bundesliga- Dortmund vs Hertha Berlin

LTD AT HT IF 0-0 OR 1-1
13.00pm German 3rd Div- Zwikau vs Hallescher
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Dusseldorf vs Hoffenheim
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz
15.00pm Czech 1- Zlin vs Pribram
16.00pm Austria Bundesliga- Altach vs Wattens
17.00pm Slovenia Prva- Tabor Sezana vs Nk Olimpia Ljubljana
18.00pm Belarus Prem- Brest vs Fc Minsk

LATE GOAL EXPECTED LAST 10MINS
Noon German Bundesliga 2- Arminia Bielfeld vs Nurmberg
13.00pm German 3rd div- Meppen vs Hansa Rostock
14.10pm Poland div 1- Warta Poznan vs OL.Grudziadz
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz
15.00pm Ukraine Prem - Fk Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalyovka
18.00pm Serbia Super League- Crvena Zvezda vs Radnik
19.00pm Bulgaria Parva - Bistrita vs Cska Sofia
20.05pm Hungary Bank Otp- Ujpest vs Honved

[A Former User]

@john-hurst It's a beast mate... Licence to print money!

It's just had about 10 wins on the trot so you may want to wait until there's been another loss before you jump in or just go for it understanding that in the long term it's profitable

[A Former User]

@alan-steward how do you get on with ryans split stake over1.5? have you found it to be reliable mate?

[A Former User]

@Ryan-Carruthers Interesting that 2 other matches on my filter match yours... Am looking to pick the best FHG advantage, have just added FHG's scored & conceded to my filter this morning but to be fair Eintracht Frankfurt pretty much looks a shoe in and will add to my selections... Eintracht/Mainz H1 stats below;

[A Former User]

Todays Trades, plus Ryans Split Stakes & Poss 3% time depending (might be going to a social distanced BBQ today)

[Ryan]

Fav goes down a goal back the fav (bold)

RB Leipzig v Paderborn
Liberec v Mlada

FHG @ 1.51

[Richard Latimer]

Busy day of potential tomorrow right the way through. Hopefully better organised today in order to cut out silly mistakes.

[James Woodroffe]

Watchlist for Saturday June 6

FHG
Pohang v Ulsan
Duisburg v Chemnitzer
Eintracht v Mainz
Attach v Wattens
Zaglebie v Lech Poznam

LTD 0-0 1-1 at HT or 60

Pohang v Ulsan
Duisburg v Chemnitzer
Eintracht v Mainz
Leverkusen v Bayern
Attach v Wattens
Zaglebie v Lech Poznam
Dortmund v Hertha.

LCS
Keith’s 3% club.

I’ll also be looking at O1.5 and O2.5 with a selection of the FHG’s and LTD’s with small stakes to test.
Here’s to a green Saturday gentlemen .

[Richard Latimer]

@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer would the red card mean it’s no longer a trade for you?

I'm still in

Ok thanks I'm never sure what to do with a red card, normally end up leaving it alone

FFS...really need to ensure I look at those 2nd half goal odds on oddsportal.com. I would never have taken this if I'd noticed. Don't know what it is but the low ones always spring surprises. This was priced 1.11 which is just under my current threshold of 1.12. Nevertheless it is there for a reason and I should have paid more attention.

Should have been green today and that's annoying.

[james everard]

@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Watchlist for today

RESULTS FOR TODAY

SPLIT STAKE 1.5 GOALS
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Bochum vs St Pauli (No Trade)
19.00pm Hungary Bank liga- Debrecen vs Kaposvar ( No Trade)
19.00pm Croatia 1hnl- Hajduk Split vs Zapresic (Trade Won)
20.00pm Slovenia Prva- Celje vs Rudar (Trade Won)

BACK OVER 2.5 GOALS SPLIT STAKE
19.00pm Serbia Superliga- Fk Vozdovac vs Napredak ( Trade Lost)

LTD AT HT IF 0-0 OR 1-1
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Bochum vs St Pauli (No Trade)
19.00pm Serbia Super League-Fk Vozdovac vs Napredak ( Trade Won)
19.00pm Croatia 1hnl- Hajduk Split vs Zapresic (No Trade)
19.30pm Poland Premier- Gornik vs Lechia Gdansk (No Trade)
20.00pm Slovenia Prva Liga- Celje vs Rudar (Trade Won)
21.15pm Portugal Primera - Aves vs Belernenses (No Trade)

LATE GOAL EXPECTED LAST 10MINS(LTD/LCS)
14.30pm Poland 1st Div- Suwalki vs Legnica (Trade Won 93rd Min Equaliser 1-1 FT)
19.30pm Poland Prem- Gornik vs Lechia Gdansk ( Trade Won 2-2 FT, 87th Min equaliser)
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Freiburg vs B.Monchengladbach ( Trade Lost)

LAY THE UNDERDOG IF THEY TAKE THE LEAD
16.40pm Poland Div 1- Stal Mielec vs Puszcza ( Lay away side) NO TRADE
16.45pm Bulgaria Parva- Lok Plovdiv vs Etar ( Lay away side) NO TRADE
17.30pm Austria 2nd Div- Hom vs Liefering ( Lay Home side) NO TRADE
19.00pm Croatia 1hnl- Hajduk Split vs Zapresic( Lay Away side) TRAE WON
20.00pm Slovenia Prv Liga- Celje vs Rudar ( Lay Away side) NO TRADE

[James Woodroffe]

@allan-birch cheers mate. Happy with everything tonight especially discipline which is my Achilles heel each day I master that I’ll accept the bad days.

[Akiva Anderson]

Tomorrow's List:

Day 9 Target: £260.91

Opening Balance: £264.55

LTD if 0-0 or 1-1 at HT (You could also back Over 1.5 Goals):

11:00 - Pohang v Ulsan
14:30 - Leverkusen v Bayern
14:30 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Mainz
14:30 - Leipzig v Paderborn
16:30 - Zaglebie v Lech Poznan
17:00 - Liberec v Mlada
17:30 - Dortmund v Hertha Berlin

LCS if 0-0, 0-1 or 1-1 at HT:

11:40 - Podbeskidize v Nieciecza
12:00 - Arminia Bielefeld v Nurnberg
14:00 - Jagiellonia Bialystock v Wisla Plock
14:10 - Warta Poznan v Olimpia
15:00 - Zlin v Pribram
16:00 - Altach v Wattens
17:00 - Liberec v Mlada
17:30 - Dortmund v Hertha Berlin

[Eamonn Hogan]

2 points green today and 3 points yesterday. I need to keep the discipline and not give it back when things start to go wrong. Was on my over 1.5 goals Filter today and yesterday. It produced 18 wins from 23 games. Not all got traded as some of the goals came too early.