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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #40501

    @dean-adams dont know mate, will have a quick look

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #40502

    @Alan-Steward
    Thinking the same, Randers missing their top scorers?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #40503

    SOT look low in Denmark but odds suggest another goal... Decisions lol

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #40504

    @john-hurst no worries mate. All the best with it.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #40505

    @allan-birch looks a cracking filter have added the 0-0 % and draw % criteria too in case it hits 0-0 at half time i can look to see if its worth laying the draw or CS. Cheers allan

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #40506

    @richard-latimer I’ve not looked at that as yet will certainly take notice of it from now on.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to liam willis on last edited by
    #40507

    @liam-willis yes there was a lot over the weekend and I think it’s pulled 4 up midweek.

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to liam willis on last edited by
    #40508

    @liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @allan-birch thought so mate, are you getting many selections it seems quite high the 31-45 range 20

    @Allan-Birch With that many late goals have you considered that if the underdog takes the lead it might be quite likely there will be annother goal in the FH? What do your results on this say so far?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • L Offline
    L Offline
    liam willis
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #40509

    @allan-birch thought so mate, are you getting many selections it seems quite high the 31-45 range 20

    Richard LatimerR ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to liam willis on last edited by
    #40510

    @liam-willis correct Liam the overs goal minutes are totals. The over 0.5 ht is a percentage

    L 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #40511

    And so...

    0_1591012026360_8735f38a-fe62-4eec-983a-0504e7558205-image.png

    No unders anymore. Short experiment and not really necessary anymore with so much football coming back.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    wrote on last edited by James Woodroffe
    #40512

    List for today.
    Keith’s 3% club
    My two LTD’s
    Brno
    Koln

    Late FHG split

    Lyngby
    Aarhus
    Koln
    Brno (forgot to add)

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #40513

    @allan-birch I’m going to persevere with my FHG filter which is set up for late Goals also. After thinking of canning it, and whilst happy with the filter still trying to
    work out best entry points. I generally enter at 15 and 30 but wondering if I tweak to 20 and 30.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • L Offline
    L Offline
    liam willis
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #40514

    @allan-birch is the ov goals in totals not percentages i take it cheers i like the look at this been messing around with something similar

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #40515

    @allan-birch said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer thanks for the interesting feedback it’s definitely another angle worth looking at. I definitely think the split stake is the way to go here.

    Frode does a split stake looking for FHG but goes in at 20 and then 30. I would suggest nothing wrong with doing it it in ticks instead but maybe 3 splits 30 ticks apart starting from 20mins instead?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #40516

    @richard-latimer thanks for the interesting feedback it’s definitely another angle worth looking at. I definitely think the split stake is the way to go here.

    Richard LatimerR James WoodroffeJ 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #40517

    @allan-birch said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Cheers for the good feedback guys. Will continue to monitor the filter over the next couple of weeks to make sure it’s consistent

    Looks really good My only suggestion would be to maybe not go in from the beginning at all. You lose a few sure but the odds are obv way better and you make up for the early goals by increasing stake on the later bets.

    Obv I know this is only a small sample you are going from but 4 goals in first 10 mins and then only 1 in next 10 mins (poss 2). If you go in at 20 mins you currently still have 12 (13) wins and only 4 losses.

    75% s/r on odds which will likely be much closeer to evens right from the get go.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    wrote on last edited by
    #40518

    Watchlist for today
    BACK OVER 1.5 GOALS SPLIT STAKE
    13.00pm Danish Super League- Randers vs Hobro
    19.30pm German Bundesliga- Fc Koln vs Rb Leipzig

    BACK OVER 2.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE
    19.30pm German Bundesliga- Fc Koln vs Rb Leipzig

    LTD AT HT IF 0-0 ONLY
    17.00pm Danish Super League- Lyngby vs Fc Copenhagen

    LATE GOAL LAST 15MINS SPLIT STAKE( LTD / LCS)
    18.00pm Israel Leumit- Sakhnin vs Ramat Hasharon
    19.30pm German Bundesliga- Fc Koln vs Rb Leipzig

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #40519

    Cheers for the good feedback guys. Will continue to monitor the filter over the next couple of weeks to make sure it’s consistent

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by Ryan
    #40520

    FHG (Waiting till 1.51 entry point)

    Lyngby v FC Copenhagen
    Aarhus v Odense
    FC Koln v RB Leipzig

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1

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