The BTC Football Trading Thread

[James Woodroffe]

@richard-latimer mate, I ruled out Poland 2 from my filters today and at first did the same with Bundesliga 3, but I’ve seen today that the guys are quite happy to add it. Does it generally get good liquidity or is it a League that will most likely go on the back burner once others get going?

[A Former User]

@james-everard usually just watch on b365 to be honest, that free sports looks like it could be decent

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Finally...

Been a bit conflicted as so much in Poland 2 today and I have prev ruled out that league although whether or not it was down to liquidity in some cases I'm not sure.

Not tried out Poland 2 in the last filter yet though (Over The Rainbow) so going to keep an open mind but make any definites on that yet. Don't want to undo all recent hard work.

And.... ratings are back:

Not done these since March. All stronger home teams today. If any of them go 0-1 down I'll lay the away. If they go 0-2 down I'll re-lay at lower price so that if they get 1 back I can normally get out easy enough......and I always do get out in those situations.

If they level it up at 1-1 I'll keep the trade live until 70 mins unless they manage to take the lead in which case I take my green and run.

For all other scenarios where I am waiting and waiting for a goal I will stick it out until the bitter end. If an equalizer comes late (later than 70 mins) it's time to get out with profit immediately even iif we're in to injury time.

I've taken decision to remove Poland 2 from Down But Not Out (my inplay team lays).

[Richard Latimer]

Finally...

Been a bit conflicted as so much in Poland 2 today and I have prev ruled out that league although whether or not it was down to liquidity in some cases I'm not sure.

Not tried out Poland 2 in the last filter yet though (Over The Rainbow) so going to keep an open mind but make any definites on that yet. Don't want to undo all recent hard work.

And.... ratings are back:

Not done these since March. All stronger home teams today. If any of them go 0-1 down I'll lay the away. If they go 0-2 down I'll re-lay at lower price so that if they get 1 back I can normally get out easy enough......and I always do get out in those situations.

If they level it up at 1-1 I'll keep the trade live until 70 mins unless they manage to take the lead in which case I take my green and run.

For all other scenarios where I am waiting and waiting for a goal I will stick it out until the bitter end. If an equalizer comes late (later than 70 mins) it's time to get out with profit immediately even iif we're in to injury time.

[Richard Latimer]

Thought it was a busy day before but even busier now with ratings back. Will be posting shortly.

[james everard]

@john-hurst Should be mate . What live stream do you use to watch your matches. The betfair stream is a waste of time always freezes.

[A Former User]

@james-everard saltsburg vs rapid should be a good watch. Hopefully its got a video stream available

[james everard]

Watchlist for today never had some many matches on my filters for a midweek day! I have taken some of the lower leagues off my list.

BACK OVER 1.5 GOALS SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY
17.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger
17.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Lask Linz vs Hartberg
18.00pm German 3rd Div- Duisburg vs Jena
18.00pm German 3rd Div- Bayern II vs Preussen Munster
19.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Werder Bremen vs Eintracht Frankfurt
21.15pm Portugal Primera - Famalicao vs Fc Porto ( on tv on free sports)

BACK OVER 2.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY
17.00pm Czech Liga 1- Ostrava vs Plzen
19.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna
22.00pm Costa Rica- UCR Vs San Carlos

LTD AT HT IF 0-0 OR 1-1
17.00pm Poland Div 1- Gks Jastrzibie vs Warta Poznan
17.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Lask Linz vs Hartberg
17.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Strum Graz vs Wolfsberger
18.00pm German 3rd Div- Duisburg vs Jena
18.00pm German 3rd Div- Bayern II vs Preussen Munster
19.30pm German Bundesliga- Werder Bremen vs Eintracht Frankfurt
19.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna
21.15pm Portugal Primera - Famalicao vs Fc Porto

Will also continue testing my late goal filter

[liam willis]

@john-hurst before lockdown i only traded the top 2 divisions of any league thats not to say other leagues are not profitable its just my preference. the filters take time to show whether they are profitable or not. in normal times they have been great but at this point in time there are factors that filters cant pick up on (no fans and the effect etc) have you checked out the 3 month spreadsheet of martins for the ltd and split stake filter. if not check that out, also use the private coaching, its invaluable.

[James Woodroffe]

@dean-adams since I rejigged my LTD filter during the break and early in the restart I check Keith’s selections against my own and go back also. If he’s added something I haven’t I check as to why he has. I notice sometimes his matches are not on my filter but his selections are always sound.

[A Former User]

Today's FHG picks from my filter;

18:00 Duisburg v Jena
19:30 Salzburg v Rapid Vienna
21:15 Famalicao v FC Porto

I will also be following Keith's 3% club, Ryans Split stake and a couple of Correct Score games... Best of luck

[A Former User]

@Keith-Anderson
I always research the trades you put up for my own understanding and learning and to find my entry point. They’ve all looked good, just a few unlucky ones in there that should have had a goal.

[A Former User]

Are the filters more reliable for the better leagues?

[Akiva Anderson]

Here’s my list for today. The 3% club should be updated later tonight. I’m behind target for that, this is the first time that’s happened. However, I’m confident that it will turn around, especially with the better leagues starting/restarting in the middle of June.

LTD if 0-0 pr 1-1 at HT:

17:30 - LASK v Hartberg
18:00 - Duisburg v Jena
19:00 - Sparta v Teplice
19:30 - Salzburg v Rapid Viena

LCS if 0-0, 0-1 or 1-1 at HT:

17:00 - Slovacko v Karvina
17:30 - Hannover v Dresden
18:45 - Maccabi Tel Aviv v Maccabi Haifa
19:30 - Salzburg v Rapid Viena

[A Former User]

fhg picks for today. May LTD/CS if 0-0 at ht and inplay is positive

[A Former User]

@ryan-carruthers cheers

[Ryan]

@john-hurst Nah I leave them matey, to be honest I don't even know on a lot of these if there is a goal in the FH or not as these are set and forget for me.

[A Former User]

@ryan-carruthers if no fhg do you do anything in the second half mate? or is that it

[Ryan]

FHG @ 1.51

Ostrava v Plzen
Sparta Prague v Teplice
Salzburg v Vienna
Famalicao v FC Porto

[A Former User]

@james-woodroffe lets have a good one mate hope we all get some cracking results