The BTC Football Trading Thread

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Almost forgot these in case home team falls behind first. Will lay and then re-lay if they go 0-2 down as a means of escape should the get one back. At 1-1 I will keep the trade live until either home team goes ahead or 70 minutes.

Sorry, Horn is a home lay should they go up 1-0. Major difference with these is I cash immediately they equalize.

[Richard Latimer]

Almost forgot these in case home team falls behind first. Will lay and then re-lay if they go 0-2 down as a means of escape should the get one back. At 1-1 I will keep the trade live until either home team goes ahead or 70 minutes.

[Richard Latimer]

Here's mine

[A Former User]

@ryan-carruthers
Will you be trading any of your split stakes selections today mate?

[Ryan]

One for me today!

FHG @ 1.51

Hajduk Split v Zapresic

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

I would fancy another goal here but I may take my 2 pts red and move on while collecting more data.

Almost bang on time

[Richard Latimer]

I would fancy another goal here but I may take my 2 pts red and move on while collecting more data.

[Richard Latimer]

@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

the 2 goals have come from keeper mistakes so far.

I have to keep faith with the stats.

[Simji]

the 2 goals have come from keeper mistakes so far.

[Richard Latimer]

One final outing today. Ltd Guimaraes after 66 mins.

[James Woodroffe]

@john-hurst yeah sorry to answer your question possibly. One of my best mates is Portuguese and a massive Benfica fan he just WhatsApp’ed me and said “Typical bloody Benfica. “

[James Woodroffe]

@john-hurst it’s the old 1 point is just as good as 3. I don’t as a general rule don’t like short priced favourites. It’s a hangover from when I was in Oz and betting favourites to cover the spread in US sports. However I was watching tonight and thought Benfica would score. Sometimes they do it’s why they’re 1.12 at kickoff other times like tonight they don’t. It’s just part of trading mate.

[Richard Latimer]

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@james-woodroffe on another day they would have won 4/5-0. Like you say its just one of those freak games. Im thinking will these sort of things happen when the big leagues return? Ie will we see some even bigger upsets. Definitely possible

I still think it's a definite red flag that over 1.5 was only 65%. I got done by it but in the 30 odd selections since I created this filter it's happened twice. That's currently an outlier.

[james everard]

@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

On top of these I will be testing a late goal filter I have ( goal to be scored the last 10mins)

18.00pm Israel Leumit League- Maccabi Petah Tikva vs H.Akko(1-0 81st min winner)
18.00pm Israel Leumit League- Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva( 1-1 85th min equaliser for the away side)
18.00pm Israel Leumit League- Ramat Hasharon vs Hap Ramat Gan ( 0-2 80th min 2nd goal)
19.40pm Poland Div 1- Tychy vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec ( 1-1 93rd min equaliser)
22.00pm Costa Rica Prem- Limon vs Grecia

Paper traded these today which is frustrating as the liability will not be high especially if you can get to ltd, still got the Costa Rica match wont be staying up late as I have got to be up early in the morning.

[james everard]

@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Watchlist for today

BACK OVER 1.5 GOALS SPLIT STAKE
18.00pm Israel Leumit League - Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva (NO TRADE)
19.40pm Poland Div 1- Tychy vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec (TRADE WON)

LTD AT HT IF 0-0 OR 1-1
19.40pm Poland Div 1- Tychy vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec ( NO TRADE)

LCS/LTD IF 0-0 AT HT
18.00pm Israel Leumit League- Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva (NO TRADE)
19.40pm Poland Div 1- Tychy vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec(NO TRADE)
21.15pm Portugal Primera- Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon(NO TRADE)

Evening all not a lot come out of my selections today a 33rd min goal in the Polish match on the split stake over 1.5 strategy made a very small profit. I paper traded only the late goal filter I had set up and now wished I have just traded these as done well ( liability would be on my side)

[A Former User]

@james-woodroffe on another day they would have won 4/5-0. Like you say its just one of those freak games. Im thinking will these sort of things happen when the big leagues return? Ie will we see some even bigger upsets. Definitely possible

[Richard Latimer]

Tychy soothing the blow

[James Woodroffe]

It was just one of those matches. They could have easily scored and sometimes you get a 93rd minute “where did that come from? Who cares I’ll take the green”.
Onwards and upwards gentlemen tomorrow is a new day.

[Simji]

How they didn't score with some of those chances oh well Porto and benfica destroying the bank in last two days.

[Richard Latimer]

Looks to be a poor day thus far. Suppose it was to be expected. What strikes me in hindsight, and who doesn't love a bit of hindsight, is how poor the over 1.5 stats were for that match. 65% is pretty rubbish and although I was only expecting one goal perhaps a game that not's even hugely expected to end over 1.5 is a poor one to get involved with. Who knows but it's something and I never stop analysing haha!!