The BTC Football Trading Thread

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay under 1.5:

Better today. 5/5

[Akiva Anderson]

I'm back from my break to Scotland and England. I had planned to trade, but poor internet connection and alcohol had other ideas

Anyway...

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

13:00 - Nordsjælland v Silkeborg
14:00 - Montpellier v Auxerre
14:00 - Halmstad v Västerås SK
14:30 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Köln
15:00 - Slovan Liberec v České Budějovice
17:00 - Vålerenga v Tromsø
17:30 - Standard Liège v OH Leuven

[Martin]

Games that have appeared on multiple good goals filters today:

Finland Veikkausliiga 21/08/2022 14:00:00 AC Oulu Inter Turku
Sweden Superettan 21/08/2022 14:00:00 Halmstad Vasteras SK
Norway Eliteserien 21/08/2022 17:00:00 Haugesund Molde
Finland Veikkausliiga 21/08/2022 16:30:00 Mariehamn Ilves
Paraguay Primera Division 21/08/2022 20:30:00 Nacional Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
USA Mls 22/08/2022 01:30:00 Nashville SC FC Dallas
Sweden Allsvenskan 21/08/2022 16:30:00 Sundsvall Helsingborg

[Martin]

@peter-melvin I'd avoid the games not on Betfair for data to be honest, not much point tracking what you can't trade imo

[Ryan]

My HT LTD/HT LCS for today

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

[Nick Allan]

Norweigen leagues letting me down agaun, struggyling this month i have to say, not one strategy doing well

actually sorry the set and forgets are.......

[Mr. Emmet Moorehouse]

@mr-emmet-moorehouse said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Some of today's candidates.

3/4, not bad

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay under 1.5:

1/2 frustrating

[Richard Latimer]

@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@lee-woodman yes to be fair there are always goals but today's game over 1.5 is 1.02

Ive just had a quick look at my filter and SR is 96% for O1.5 so actually not that far off......although i cant understand why anyone would back anything at 1.02!

But if you like LCS later in the SH (65-80') then the prices do tend to compress and can often find value

I guess if the true value was 1.01

[A Former User]

On my paper trading for over 1.5 & over 0.5 H1 goals i seem to be finding certain games/ leagues that I'm not finding odds.

For data gathering purposes would you still track this? im just imputing below average odds (1.32 is my average) so i have been inputting 0.1/ 0.15 & tracking for strike rate?

As mines is a Set & forget i wonder if i checked other bookies for these i might find some odds. Bet365 doesn't seem to have.

[Mr. Emmet Moorehouse]

Some of today's candidates.

[Matt Wood]

@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@matt-wood Hopefully he is the CDM we need, we’ve certainly needed one for years! Even if he just gives more protection to the back 4 and more freedom for Eriksen/Fred/Fernandes etc

Yes fingers crossed, his defensive qualities are top notch, WAYYYY better than what we have had probably since Keane.

[A Former User]

@matt-wood Hopefully he is the CDM we need, we’ve certainly needed one for years! Even if he just gives more protection to the back 4 and more freedom for Eriksen/Fred/Fernandes etc

[Martin]

These throw up as strong goal selections on 3 or more of my filters today:

Norway Eliteserien 20/08/2022 17:00:00 Bodo/Glimt Ham-Kam
USA Mls 21/08/2022 00:30:00 Montreal Impact New England Revolution
Norway Eliteserien 20/08/2022 17:00:00 Odd Sarpsborg 08
Finland Ykkonen 20/08/2022 15:00:00 PEPO KTP
Norway Obos-ligaen 20/08/2022 15:00:00 Sogndal Brann

[Matt Wood]

@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

£70m for Casemiro!!! He is a very good player but 70!

I think it’s more like 60, which is obviously a lot but he is a top player and what we need. Players are also realising that there is an bigger risk to joining United right now so money is more of a factor. We don’t have CL either and theres a real chance that we don’t have it for a few years. They aren’t queuing up to join us like they once were!

Yea if I were a top player in Europe now Utd would not be a first choice destination at all. I actually like Casemiro as a player but if ten Hag wants to play with a high press then Cas's lack of pace might get exposed, still better than what we have.

[A Former User]

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

£70m for Casemiro!!! He is a very good player but 70!

I think it’s more like 60, which is obviously a lot but he is a top player and what we need. Players are also realising that there is an bigger risk to joining United right now so money is more of a factor. We don’t have CL either and theres a real chance that we don’t have it for a few years. They aren’t queuing up to join us like they once were!

[A Former User]

@ian-wylie Read something yesterday that Chelsea want Maguire - please make that happen so we can keep Fofana until January although his head's been turned expect him to go anyway this month.

[A Former User]

@chris-osborne And he's cheaper than Maguire!

[A Former User]

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

£70m for Casemiro!!! He is a very good player but 70!

There panicing but he's also better than most of what you've got