The BTC Football Trading Thread

[Richard Latimer]

Laying under 1.5 Tychy after 57.

[james everard]

May lay Chojniczanaka winning 1-0 away at Tychy in the Polish 1st division, before entering the inplay stats will have to improve for the home side

[James Woodroffe]

@richard-latimer I've gone in at HT as junior is winding me up today but will look to enter a half stake again around 60 if still 0-0

[Richard Latimer]

Going LTD Karvina after 62 mins.

[Richard Latimer]

@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst for me personally I'm never a big fan of taking a big loss early, as you don't save that much money even if the result stays the same and you remove your chance of making a nice return if the team you originally expected to win does make a comeback.

I would never have re-layed in the past but all comes down to what I've heard you and/or Ryan say many times in the past. You made the trade for a reason in the first place. Just have trust that you made the right decision.

[Martin]

@richard-latimer about 20% of the lay stake I think not sure as I only removed a bit of liability

[Martin]

@john-hurst for me personally I'm never a big fan of taking a big loss early, as you don't save that much money even if the result stays the same and you remove your chance of making a nice return if the team you originally expected to win does make a comeback.

[Richard Latimer]

@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin-futter you are right, another lesson learned. Onwards and upwards

use smaller stakes or paper trade until you are comfortable with this strat

@Martin-Futter As a data point for my spreadsheet how much green were you on at 1-2. This is when I would normally pull out and not have a back in the way doing damage.

[A Former User]

honestly learned a lot about managing situations on here, and improved a couple of strategies already. Been a great learning curve the last couple of weeks so thanks to everyone that has/is helping

[Martin]

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin-futter you are right, another lesson learned. Onwards and upwards

use smaller stakes or paper trade until you are comfortable with this strat

[Richard Latimer]

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer all learning with these strategies. Have done some cockups but im not repeating them so thats something

Same here mate. Constantly. The fact I've got these and still not managed to start properly making money is testament to that fact I beat myself with every day haha!!!

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@james-everard you will get the odd loser they are rare though check Rich's sheet

Yeah, death and taxes the only cert but the graph shows only one way since May last year doing what I've been doing.

that's amazing Rich looks like your onto something here mate.

[Martin]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer could just as easily have gone 0-3. Then that would have been a mountain. Guess i just opted for the wrong choice this time

Then you accept the loss and look forward to making it back the next time a poor team takes the lead.

we've seen these come back from 3 down before!

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer all learning with these strategies. Have done some cockups but im not repeating them so thats something

[A Former User]

@martin-futter you are right, another lesson learned. Onwards and upwards

[Richard Latimer]

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer could just as easily have gone 0-3. Then that would have been a mountain. Guess i just opted for the wrong choice this time

Then you accept the loss and look forward to making it back the next time a poor team takes the lead.

[Martin]

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown i did enter with confidence they would pull it back but then they went 0-2 and then looked like conceding again. at 0-2 they had zero shots on goal.

@John-Hurst don't beat yourself up if you weren't comfortable you did the right thing. I would look at whether to do the trade to start with next time as with these statistically taking a loss is not really worth it.

I topped up at 1.5 lay as the odds were short and not much outlay, knowing one goal would lead to profit and two goals would be the jackpot.

The other thing is Rad Belgrade have gone 13/13 away games lost this season and Radnicki have won 9/13 home games.

[Richard Latimer]

@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@james-everard you will get the odd loser they are rare though check Rich's sheet

Yeah, death and taxes the only cert but the graph shows only one way since May last year doing what I've been doing.

[A Former User]

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown hmm? are you talking about your advice to me? how did it backfire?

I hope you didn't trade out on the Rad gam?

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer could just as easily have gone 0-3. Then that would have been a mountain. Guess i just opted for the wrong choice this time