The BTC Football Trading Thread

[A Former User]

looking at the fixtures for next week and the week after- so much football coming

[Eamonn Hogan]

@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@eamonn-hogan ive been messing with the filter this morning and overwrite the one i have had like a knob. Trying to recreate the same to get same selection. Going to run it for a while longer at 20 minutes exit point. But i reckon going 15 minutes might be better at some point less time for it to wrong? Also the market reacts quicker with goals so would take 25 minutes minimum to get a scratch in the under 2.5 market and another goal before then you would have to hope that the match doesnt end with another goal. So looking at going red if theres a goal before the 20 minutes.

filters i used was home goals over 1 and away goals over 1 but then the percentage of goals scored 0-10 and 10-20 less than 50 %

Good start , were you on the Parnu game mate?

[Eamonn Hogan]

@martin-futter not sure how to do that lol.
Basically I had 7 games on the OVERALL PERCENTAGE
UNDER 2.5
GREATER EQUAL 70
and 3 games showing when I selected HOME and AWAY
PERCENTAGE
UNDER 2.5
GREATER EQUAL 70

[Martin]

@eamonn-hogan could you add a pic of both so I can compare?

[Eamonn Hogan]

@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@eamonn-hogan ive been messing with the filter this morning and overwrite the one i have had like a knob. Trying to recreate the same to get same selection. Going to run it for a while longer at 20 minutes exit point. But i reckon going 15 minutes might be better at some point less time for it to wrong? Also the market reacts quicker with goals so would take 25 minutes minimum to get a scratch in the under 2.5 market and another goal before then you would have to hope that the match doesnt end with another goal. So looking at going red if theres a goal before the 20 minutes.

filters i used was home goals over 1 and away goals over 1 but then the percentage of goals scored 0-10 and 10-20 less than 50 %

Will be following you mate and watching how you get on. Like I say I’ve been getting in and out after 5 mins but might either wait it out for 10 or divide my liability up and get out in stages. Not sure which is best.

[Simji]

@eamonn-hogan ive been messing with the filter this morning and overwrite the one i have had like a knob. Trying to recreate the same to get same selection. Going to run it for a while longer at 20 minutes exit point. But i reckon going 15 minutes might be better at some point less time for it to wrong? Also the market reacts quicker with goals so would take 25 minutes minimum to get a scratch in the under 2.5 market and another goal before then you would have to hope that the match doesnt end with another goal. So looking at going red if theres a goal before the 20 minutes.

filters i used was home goals over 1 and away goals over 1 but then the percentage of goals scored 0-10 and 10-20 less than 50 %

[Eamonn Hogan]

Quick question. Whenever I use the filter for under 2.5 goals and use home away under 2.5 greater than 70% I’m getting 3 games but when I change the home away to total I’m getting 7 games. Is that not the same thing really or what am I including in the total rather than having it home and away? Sorry if that sounds stupid.

[Eamonn Hogan]

@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Results from the filter from yesterday paper traded. Was at work for most of the games. When people track the filters what information do they try and keep?

The Vikingur match goal was on 20 minutes the time that i would normally get out but i probably wouldnt have been matched in time why ive put that down as a lost.

9 winners out of 15. Normally when ive watched the unders market you get about 20 ticks in the first 20 minutes.

I have been doing something similar mate. I however have been getting out after 5 mins. I am tempted to maybe stay in for 10 max and remove all my liability or to remove a percentage every 10-15 ticks. What filters are you using?

[Richard Latimer]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Anyone interested in developing a simple traffic light system for trading?

These would work well with the overs? Anyone any ideas who we could develop this?

What do you mean?

[Richard Latimer]

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer mate Karvina was on my list nothing to apologise for.

Cool. I wouldn't do that one again haha

[Simji]

Results from the filter from yesterday paper traded. Was at work for most of the games. When people track the filters what information do they try and keep?

The Vikingur match goal was on 20 minutes the time that i would normally get out but i probably wouldnt have been matched in time why ive put that down as a lost.

9 winners out of 15. Normally when ive watched the unders market you get about 20 ticks in the first 20 minutes.

[James Woodroffe]

@richard-latimer mate Karvina was on my list nothing to apologise for.

[Akiva Anderson]

Anyone interested in developing a simple traffic light system for trading?

These would work well with the overs? Anyone any ideas who we could develop this?

[james everard]

Watchlist for today

BACK OVER 1.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY
17.00pm Czech Rep League 2- Jihlava vs Hradec Kralove

LTD AT HT IF 0-0 OR 1-1
17.00pm Czech Rep League 2- Jihlava vs Hradec Kralove

LATE GOAL SPLIT STAKE IF DRAWING ON 74TH AND 83RD MIN
17.00pm Czech Rep League 2- Jihlava vs Hradec Kralove
18.45pm Israel Ligat Ha'al- Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

LAY THE UNDERDOG IF THEY TAKE THE LEAD
18.45pm Israel Ligat Ha'al- Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv( LAY HOME SIDE)

Very little today so I will concentrate on the horse racing today

[james everard]

@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Todays selections

BACK OVER 1.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE
12.30pm German Bundesliga- Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg ( Trade Lost)
16.00pm Denmark Super League- Copenhagen vs Randers (No Trade)
16.00pm Denmark Super League- Horsens vs Brondby (No Trade)
16.00pm Denmark Super League- Sonderjyske vs Sikeborg ( No Trade)
16.00pm Denmark Super League- Hobro vs Lyngby (Trade Won)
16.00pm Austria Bundesliga- Hartberg v Salzburg (No Trade)
17.00pm German Bundesliga- Augsburg vs Fc Koln (Trade Lost)

BACK OVER 2.5 GOALS STRATEGY
16.00pm Denmark Super League- Horsens vs Brondby (Trade Won)
16.00pm Austria Bundesliga- Hartberg v Salzburg (No Trade)
16.00pm Denmark Super League- Copenhagen vs Randers (No Trade)
17.00pm German Bundesliga- Augsburg vs Fc Koln (Trade Lost)

LTD AT HT IF 0-0 OR 1-1
12.30pm German Bundesliga- Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg ( Trade Won)
14.00pm Serbia Superleague- Radnicki vs Rad Beograd (No Trade )
16.00pm Belarus Prem- Belshina vs Din Minsk ( No Trade)
16.00pm Austria Bundesliga- Wolfsberger vs Lask Linz ( No Trade)
16.00pm Austria Bundesliga- Hartberg v Salzburg (No Trade)
16.00pm Denmark Super League- Copenhagen vs Randers (No Trade)
17.00pm German Bundesliga- Augsburg vs Fc Koln ( Trade Won)
18.00pm Czech 1- Slavia Prague vs Plzen ( Trade Lost)

LATE GOAL LAST 10MINS
12.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Aue vs Karsruher ( Trade lost)
18.45pm Israel Ligat Ha'al- Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa ( Trade won goals in 85th and 96th min)

Will post also my selections inplay of teams to lay if they take the lead( laying the underdog)

Results for yesterday a rather poor day all in all. The 1.5 goal split stake strategy I think was just a one off bad day with too many early goals and two matches with late goals. The 2.5 goal split stake strategy I may tinker the filter as this hasn't been that successful recently.
The late goal filter I will change to Martin's system as a split stake when only drawing. Done ok on laying the underdog if they won with 4 winners out of 4. I will post todays selections shortly

[A Former User]

Todays Trades 08-06-20

[Martin Walker]

@ryan-carruthers brilliant i decided to start doing this today. Do you always wait till 30 mins to enter or take 1.5 as soon as it gets there

[Richard Latimer]

4 potentials for green today depending on which way the wind blows in the first half.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Totally missed an overnighter in Costa Rica I would have got with a goal in 79th. Nevermind. More data for the sheet.

Actually turns out the odds were way too low.

[Richard Latimer]

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Had to come back to earth a little yesterday with a just under 2 point drop on the back of two 0-0 draws. Not overly concerned as 0-0’s happen. Stuck to my staking plan and dragged it back thanks to Martin and Ryan’s late goal strats. Onwards and upwards.

Was Karvina one? Sorry for posting that.