The BTC Football Trading Thread
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Wow enough footy on tv in the coming weeks just look at the live games via various outlets (cost you a fortune if you had them all though). First link is the Uk games the second is the European games
https://www.live-footballontv.com/live-english-football-on-tv.html
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Morning all, potential trades for today , paper trading again the 2.5 goal split stake as not been going so well recently.
BACK OVER 1.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE
17.30pm Austria Bundesliga- St Polten vs Admira (Trade Won 1st goal 40th min)
17.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Wattens vs Mattersburg (Np Trade)
18.00pm Denmark Div 1- Nykobing vs Kolding ( No Trade)
18.00pm German 3rd Div- Bayern II vs Zwickau ( Just trading out a loss and the goal went in very lucky 74th min)LTD AT HT IF 0-0 OR 1-1
16.00pm Czech League 2- Varnsdorf vs Prostejov ( No Trade)
17.30pm Austria Bundesliga- St Polten vs Admira (No Trade)
17.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Wattens vs Mattersburg ( Trade Lost)LATE GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY IF DRAWING ( TRADE ON 74MINS AND 83MINS)
17.00pm Danish 1st Division- Vejle vs Skive (No Trade)LCS/LTD IF 0-0 ONLY AT HT
15.55pm Hungary Bank Otp Liga- Kisvarda vs Mezokovesd-Zsory (Trade lost)LAY THE UNDERDOG IF THEY TAKE THE LEAD
19.30pm German 3rd Division - Hallescher vs Mannheim ( Lay Home side) ( Trade Lost)
20.05pm Hungary Bank Otp Liga- Honved vs Videoton ( Lay Home side) ( NO trade)Not a great day trading but move on .Back to work Thursday so will have to organise my trading plans the night before, this may help with me picking fewer games as some are starting around 4pm. This could be what I need a short trading time frame.
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@eamonn-hogan I’ve added home and away to average 1st goal score time. It means that like my FHG I can delete matches. I delete FHG games where one team averages in the 2nd half so I can look at U2.5 and eliminate teams who score around 20 minutes if I’m looking to get out on 15. I’ll keep monitoring and see what happens.
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odds at beginning of the match was 1.77. Not sure what odds to get into the market at present. Also not always do the ticks come down at the same rate.
@Eamonn-Hogan in longer than i would want. But with the stats showing under 2.5 more in favour i stayed in.
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@simji I like the odds if they’re around 1.80-1.90 it’s a little contrarian if the odds for Over and Under are similar but research points to Under. I’d probably be happier if I got burnt but everything pointed to no goals inside 20. If that makes sense.
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@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Gil vicente vs famalicao -57% of games between them have been U2.5, and 45% of games theyve been involved in have been U2.5 only 14% have they had 2 goals in first half. That second goal near half time was a killer
Did you stay in until half time?
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@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan on one of my filters I did average of goals in a match for home away and overall. And then did a percentage of goal times 0-10 11-20. Less than 3o
I done Home goals for 0-10 11-20 home teams against 0-10 11-20 less than 30% and the same for the away team
threw up 3 games the hansa rostock game, the honved game and the gil vicente game. 1 win out of the 3
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About half a point up tonight
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@eamonn-hogan on one of my filters I did average of goals in a match for home away and overall. And then did a percentage of goal times 0-10 11-20. Less than 3o
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@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe that filter is very similar to what I have on one. Just didn't include last x amount of matches or the odds
Why do you not select overall as opposed to home/away?
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@james-woodroffe that filter is very similar to what I have on one. Just didn't include last x amount of matches or the odds
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@Eamonn-Hogan it would have been 4 wins from 4 but I set 15 mins as get out not 20 mins with 1 to go.
I dunno if 15 is to soon mate but the criteria is
Matches played 10 or more
Home average goals 1+
Away average goals 1+
Overall % Goals 1-20 mins less than 25%
Overall average 1st goal
Betfair U2.5 odds +1.604-1 mate the Portugal goal would have been a loss.
I never know whether to go home away or overall
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Red night tonight done for the evening it’s only Tuesday. Till tomorrow gents
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
There you go look. Uerdingen 1-0 up. Ffs haha!!
Anyone get on the lay haha??
A nice bit of green for me there. Getting ready to back Zaglebie now.
Against the run of play. None of them are making this easy tonight.
Zaglebie equaliser. Fighting for that green all the way today haha! That's me done.
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There it is
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@Eamonn-Hogan it would have been 4 wins from 4 but I set 15 mins as get out not 20 mins with 1 to go.
I dunno if 15 is to soon mate but the criteria is
Matches played 10 or more
Home average goals 1+
Away average goals 1+
Overall % Goals 1-20 mins less than 25%
Overall average 1st goal
Betfair U2.5 odds +1.604-1 mate the Portugal goal would have been a loss.
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@dan-erridge said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@gary-brown 1.48 I think mate
so close. It was a 50/50 though as inplay stats didn't look great but pre match research did.
oh well cant complain overall and so ii look forward to tomorrows research etc and games.
