The BTC Football Trading Thread
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Backed the O0.5 in LASK and laid Jenna.
Red card put me off in the Wolfsberger match but I don’t know if the goal market would have been worth it anyway. -
@martin-walker depends on the scoreline, which one are you thinking of?
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What time do people get out of these lay the underdog trades
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Laying Jena (German Liga 3)
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@eamonn-hogan yes but if the filter is right you can predict if they can or not with enough accuracy to get net green. The problem with the first 10 is that the losses are large enough that even though they are less often you will never turn a profit long term
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@sam-maccuaig said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan I’ve done a lot of playing about with theta like this and you won’t be profitable long term in the first 10 mins. I’m currently testing a filter for later in games, the tine decay is a lot more rapid due to the lack of time remaining and the odds are better so you won’t wipe out all your wins with one loss. Still working on it but once I’m confident it works I’ll share it
sounds good, i prefer the idea of time decay rather than hoping for a goal. the only downside with waiting to later on is that one or more teams is usually looking for a goal more than the first 10.
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wurzburger 0-1 down, will lay Jena in second half
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@eamonn-hogan I’ve done a lot of playing about with theta like this and you won’t be profitable long term in the first 10 mins. I’m currently testing a filter for later in games, the tine decay is a lot more rapid due to the lack of time remaining and the odds are better so you won’t wipe out all your wins with one loss. Still working on it but once I’m confident it works I’ll share it
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Ltd Lask after 66
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan why that particular trade?
I guess its time decay, i like the fact that time is on my side and i only want in and out in 5/10 mins rather than waiting for a goal
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@martin-futter just seen that red there on flashscore. Putting me off it
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Lay under 1.5 Kapfenburg
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whether or not to get involved in the wolfsberger game or not. 2-2 now and on the late goal filter. Havent much experience trading 2-2 scorelines
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@eamonn-hogan why that particular trade?
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@martin-futter i messaged you earlier regarding best filter for no goals in first 10 minutes. I have tried different things and i done 3 matches there now and all had a goal inside 10 minutes. I must be a scud.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Lay Grazer 1-0 up on Ried
1-1 and out
Wouldn't lay again if they fall behind a 2nd time but that's just me. The data is very up and down for this.
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