The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@martin-futter What is a "Double Down" is this lay the dog if they go 1 up & lay the dog again if they go 2 up?
Sorry see @Claudiu-Ion's post below
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Let's see if I got it right...
- I should enter the trade if the underdog goes 1 goal up for 0.5 pts; if the favourite scores green up.
- If the underdogs scores again (0 - 2) go for another 0.5 pts. If the favourite scores (1 - 2) green up
If the favourite doesn't score you let the bet until the end, I suppose. You lose 1 pt.
How do you select the games?
From the picture above:- ELO Diff is the difference between Home Elo and Away Elo? How much should it be to pick the game? Over 120?
- Comeback Rating how higher should it be?
Thank you in advance!
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@dan-erridge not sure on the double down I think @Richard-Latimer only does it on home teams
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@martin-futter
OK, thanks for reply, Richards is wait until they go behind then lay them? still double down if go 2 behind? and green if possible?
Dan
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Some ratings picks today! The strong team is highlighted as 'home or away' below. We lay the underdog if they go a goal up and double down in they go two up:
9:30 AM BW Linz v A. Klagenfurt Away
4:00 PM Armenia v Ararat Yerevan Home
5:00 PM Viborg v Roskilde Home
5:55 PM Zapresic v Gorica Away
7:25 PM Liefering v FAC Wien Home -
@dan-erridge yes but I'd stick to Richard's method for now until I test for a month or two, as the stakes are a bit riskier in terms of liability (obviously a lot more winners but still a few losers would hurt it a lot)
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@martin-futter
So you are laying before kick off? then if dog goes 1up, laying again? And also mate,what is the Maria staking system?
Cheers
Dan -
@richard-latimer impressive returns. my adaptation of your strategy is also paying dividends
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For any night owls this may be of interest. If not, well, seems it's an early start tomorrow.
Juggling home schooling with Trading haha!
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It's early days but what I'm liking so far is that all my current strategies are running at between 15-20% yield.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Now I'm done for the day. That's almost 3 pts
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Looking at potential LTD in both Costa Rica games. Herediano have just gone ahead but if they get pegged back by the 56th minute I'll look to LTD 10 mins later.
Jicaral meanwhile I'll aim to LTD after 56 mins but if the first goal comes sooner I'll wait 10 mins and go for another.
Sweet 2-2
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Looking at potential LTD in both Costa Rica games. Herediano have just gone ahead but if they get pegged back by the 56th minute I'll look to LTD 10 mins later.
Jicaral meanwhile I'll aim to LTD after 56 mins but if the first goal comes sooner I'll wait 10 mins and go for another.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Thanks mate , a little anxious now had 3 months stuck at home without seeing humans apart from close family . Just hope it don't get in the way of my trading bloody nuisance lol
I imagine it will be weird haha
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@richard-latimer Thanks mate , a little anxious now had 3 months stuck at home without seeing humans apart from close family . Just hope it don't get in the way of my trading bloody nuisance lol
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Watchlist for tomorrow if I can get out of work on time lol.
LTD ON 60MINS IF NO SECOND HALF GOAL AND 0-0 OR 1-1
16.00pm Czech 2- Hradec vs Zirkov
17.00pm Denmark Div 1- Viborg vs Roskide -
@james-everard interesting results there mate
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These are the matches I had today for laying the underdogs if they scored 1st and the results if i had traded them all, as I was busy I missed most of them though but definitely something to work on with the other two strategies just deleted all my other filters to stop tempting me into over trading.
LAY THE UNDERDOG IF THEY TAKE THE LEAD AND DOUBLE UP IF GO 2 UP
16.00pm Czech 2- Trinec vs Vysehrad ( Lay away) (Trade won)
17.00pm Czech 1- Sparta Prague vs Opava ( Lay away) ( No Trade)
17.00pm Czech 1- Ceske Budejovice vs Teplice ( Lay away) ( Trade Won)
17.00pm Czech 1- Jablonec vs Karvina ( Lay away) ( No Trade)
17.00pm Czech 1- Plzen vs Zlin ( lay away) ( No Trade)
17.30pm Austria 2nd- Vorwards Steyr vs Horn ( lay away) ( Trade Won)
17.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Wolfsberger vs Hartberg( lay away) ( No Trade)
17.30pm Austria 2nd - Grazer vs Ried ( Lay Home) ( Trade Won)
18.00pm Israel Leumit League- H . Nazareth vs Hapoel Bnei Lod ( lay away) ( No Trade)
18.00pm Hungary Otp Bank Liga- Puskas Academy vs Kaposvar ( Lay Away) ( No Trade)
18.00pm German 3rd Liga- Wurzberger Kickers vs Jena ( Lay away) ( Trade Won)
19.15pm Portugal Primera - Portimonense vs Benfica ( Lay Home) ( No Trade)
19.30pm Austria Bundesliga- Sturm Graz vs Salzburg ( Lay home) ( No Trade)
19.30pm Poland Ekstraklasa - Legia vs Arka Gdynia ( Lay Away) (Trade Won)
20.05pm Hungary Otp Bank Liga- Paks vs Ferencvaros ( Lay Home) (No Trade)
21.30pm Portugal Primera - Fc Porto vs Maritimo ( Lay away) ( No Trade) -
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Right back to work tomorrow so trading time will be a lot less. This maybe a good thing for me so I know I only have a trading window of say between 5.30pm and 10pm. I am going start again with my trading plan.
A) I am going to work on the second half goal strategies. Depending if they meet the criteria I will enter at half time if 0-0 and start the 1.5 goal split stake strategy or if 1-1 will enter around the 60minute mark ltd.
b) The second strategy I am going to work on is the late goal split stake strategy using a slightly different filter selection to Martin but only entering if the match is drawing and split stake around 73rd and 84th mins.
C) Lay the underdog, bit annoyed with myself today as missed out on a few winners on this strategy todayThis hopefully will give me a few matches to trade but not overwhelmed. How was everyone's trading been today ?
Good luck back in the real world haha
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Right back to work tomorrow so trading time will be a lot less. This maybe a good thing for me so I know I only have a trading window of say between 5.30pm and 10pm. I am going start again with my trading plan.
A) I am going to work on the second half goal strategies. Depending if they meet the criteria I will enter at half time if 0-0 and start the 1.5 goal split stake strategy or if 1-1 will enter around the 60minute mark ltd.
b) The second strategy I am going to work on is the late goal split stake strategy using a slightly different filter selection to Martin but only entering if the match is drawing and split stake around 73rd and 84th mins.
C) Lay the underdog, bit annoyed with myself today as missed out on a few winners on this strategy todayThis hopefully will give me a few matches to trade but not overwhelmed. How was everyone's trading been today ?
