The BTC Football Trading Thread
-
@martin-futter has to happen eventually!
-
@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
after the early goal in the mainz game i have still taken my 10% green with my strategy
I have been trying something similar to this. Did you get high odds pre game on the backing under 2.5? I paper traded this one and lost due to the lay not getting matched before the goal.
odds of 2.14 pre game
-
These things happen. Moving on.
-
Re-laying that. No reason not to.
-
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
after the early goal in the mainz game i have still taken my 10% green with my strategy
I have been trying something similar to this. Did you get high odds pre game on the backing under 2.5? I paper traded this one and lost due to the lay not getting matched before the goal.
-
after the early goal in the mainz game i have still taken my 10% green with my strategy
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer yeah, think its just variance. 8/10 of their games had goals in and there was a gulf in class so expected goals. Turns out jena had nothing to play for and the other team weren't interested. Seems like a mentality issue with them- maybe there was nothing to play for
I see 9/10 for away team so yeah. But away teams do seem volatile. Jena only scored in 5/10. Analyse this from now on honestly.
Not saying it solves everything but you may be surprised.
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer yeah, think its just variance. 8/10 of their games had goals in and their was a gulf in class so expected goals. Turns out jena had nothing to play for and the other team weren't interested. Seems like a mentality issue with them- maybe there was nothing to play for
But did they score them or was it just that both concede lots?
-
LTD Norrkoping vs Kalmar
-
@richard-latimer yeah, think its just variance. 8/10 of their games had goals in and there was a gulf in class so expected goals. Turns out jena had nothing to play for and the other team weren't interested. Seems like a mentality issue with them- maybe there was nothing to play for
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
dodged another bullet with that jena match. 2 0-0s on the bounce from my ltd filter lol both dodged though so thats ok
Are you looking to see that the team's involved have scored enough? This was a big mistake of mine initially. I also found home teams that had scored in less than 8/10 were a good miss.
-
dodged another bullet with that jena match. 2 0-0s on the bounce from my ltd filter lol both dodged though so thats ok
-
@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Games to lay the underdog if they take the lead.
The stronger team is noted below as either the home team or away team, we lay the opposition should they take the lead.13:00 Indjija v Vojvodina Away 177 72
1:30 PM Norrkoping v Kalmar Home 296 68
2:00 PM Energetik v Belshina Home 112 82
3:00 PM Viitorul v Poli Iasi Home 180 70
4:00 PM Slavia Prague v Zlin Home 373 90
4:30 PM Hammarby v Ostersunds Home 225 74
4.45PM Ludogorets v Botev Plodiv Home 297 88
5:00 PM Slask Wroclaw v LKS Lodz Home 126 67
6:00 PM Partizan v Cukaricki Home 137 84
6:30 PM Real Madrid v Eibar Home 251 83
7:00 PM CSKA Sofia v Lok Plodiv Home 274 65
7:30 PM Olympiakos v Aris Home 293 81
8:05 PM Videoton v Ujpest Home 149 63Hey mate, sorry if this has been asked but hypothetically would you lay the dog if they took a 2-1 lead for example and it was the first time they led or is it purely if they score first?
-
Laying Indjija winning 1-0 at home to Vojvodina in the Serbian Super League
-
Ok finally. 2 long lists, lots of duplicates. I started off more confident with the first list but as I had to fashion something else in the middle of lockdown just to get a couple of opportunities the 2nd list has began to become more reliable. I think perhaps it's because I'm looking at the stats for each game and designing a decision around each rather than a one size fits all.
In theory all games hould fit the 0-0 LTD scoreline (providing odds not stupid - which I check on oddsportal before each trade) but some will fit LTD 1-1 and LCS 0-1 etc...
I've also added in the colour shading to show where more than 1 goal most likely in 2nd half.
-
@sam-maccuaig said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer did you get in quick enough?
Yeah
-
@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
my under 2.5. Green up for 10% of stake 18/19 winners so far
- FSV Mainz 05 FC Augsburg
Liberec Ostrava
Schalke Bayer Leverkusen
Gornik Z. Legia
Real Madrid Eibar
Real Sociedad Osasuna
you should record your results in a spreadsheet Eamonn with profit and loses etc. It would be great to see your filter put up on the members filters list.
were in need of a good long term profitable unders strategy.
very easy filter, overall goals 0-20 mins less than 25 %
- FSV Mainz 05 FC Augsburg
-
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Going to LTD in Gornik Leczna game after 60.
That was quick. Laid Indija 1-0 up.
