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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    wrote on last edited by
    #38281

    Evening all potential watchlist for this evening

    LAY THE DRAW ON 60MINS IF 0-0 OR 1-1 AND NO 2ND HALF GOAL
    17.30pm German Bundesliga- B. Monchengladbach v Wolfsburg
    19.30pm German Bundesliga-SC Freiburg v Hertha Berlin
    19.30pm German Bundesliga- SV Werder Bremen v Bayern Munich

    LATE LAY THE DRAW SPLIT STAKE ON 74 AND 83MINS
    17.30pm German Bundesliga 2 - Greuther Furth v Heidenheim
    17.30pm German Bundesliga- B. Monchengladbach v Wolfsburg
    19.30pm German Liga 3- Viktoria Koln v Munich 1860
    19.40pm Poland Div 1 - Sandecja Nowy S. v Odra Opole

    LAY THE UNDERDOG IF THEY TAKE THE LEAD
    17.00pm Norway Eliteserien - Rosenborg v Kristiansund ( Lay away)
    17.10pm Poland Div 1- Podbeskidzie v Puszcza ( lay away)
    17.55pm Croatia 1hnl- Hajduk Split v Varazdin ( Lay away)
    18.00pm Sweden Superettan- GAIS v Jonkopings ( Lay home)
    18.00pm Sweden Superettan-Halmstad v Trelleborgs ( lay away)
    18.30pm Spain La Liga - Getafe v Espanyol ( Lay away)
    18.30pm Spain La Liga 2 - Lugo v Zaragoza ( Lay home)
    18.30pm Spain La Liga -Villarreal v Mallorca ( Lay away)
    19.30pm German Bundesliga- SV Werder Bremen v Bayern Munich ( Lay home)
    20.05pm Hungary Otp Bank Liga -Honved v Ferencvaros ( Lay home)
    21.00pm Spain La Liga- Barcelona v Leganes ( Lay away)
    21.15pm Portugal Primera- Aves v FC Porto ( Lay home)

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #38282

    Okay Viking game was going a bit mental and not much liquidity so took the green from my 4 goal dutch @ 2-1... I did back o3.5 goals pre kick off at decent odds so hopefully that will come in as well if not I've got the overs red covered with green from the correct score

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #38283

    @martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

                    Testing out a new LTD filter, wonde
    

    @martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Testing out a new LTD filter, wondering if I could get some community help, I think in-play stats are crucial on these filters so what stats would you like to see as a minimum at HT to enter an LTD trade?

    Not necessarily for HT entry, but I like to see 4+ shots from inside the box before entering a LTD. They don't have to be on target. Just a sign of attacking intent.

    You can see this information on bet365 and sofascore, among others. Always good to check a few sources as they can vary considerably.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #38284

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Backed Mattersbutg @ 3.1

    Mattersburg even

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #38285

    Backed Mattersbutg @ 3.1

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #38286

    Okay Viking/Bodo... lve got my BTTS now slooooow down lol

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by James Woodroffe
    #38287

    @james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Entered the Chobra match for O0.5 late.

    Not to be but I can live with that trade.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #38288

    Ok 0-0 but potential return of 3pts I spent just over 1. I think this was a good trade. Plenty of shots on target, attacking, corners and history.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #38289

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    So I just placed another LTD, total outlay just less than a point. Potential of a bumper return. I think this may be the way in future.

    Perhaps I'll end up a split stake convert after all haha!

    Another LTD at 1.15 for peanuts

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #38290

    So I just placed another LTD, total outlay just less than a point. Potential of a bumper return. I think this may be the way in future.

    Perhaps I'll end up a split stake convert after all haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #38291

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer why not say instead of a hard time entry, look at say between 65-75mins ill only enter if inplay stats are solid or if you watch the game its lively between those times. If its looking dead then leave it, each game is different and its not about time of entry more do the odds merit the inplay stats at the time.

    I'm not sure I'm wired that way haha!! But because I only laid @ 1.63 I'm thinking I can go on and lay draw again at 85 for much lower odds and potentially double the return.

    Also, I totally get what you are saying but at s/r of 70 and odds like I took on this one I would be laughing. Cuts the number of these trades in half and maximises earning potential. Means that take Sunday for example....a poor day would have ended up in profit I think.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    wrote on last edited by
    #38292

    Entered the Chobra match for O0.5 late.

    James WoodroffeJ 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #38293

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer why not say instead of a hard time entry, look at say between 65-75mins ill only enter if inplay stats are solid or if you watch the game its lively between those times. If its looking dead then leave it, each game is different and its not about time of entry more do the odds merit the inplay stats at the time.

    I'm not sure I'm wired that way haha!! But because I only laid @ 1.63 I'm thinking I can go on and lay draw again at 85 for much lower odds and potentially double the return.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #38294

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan they are poor i agree. Im thinking about the game more from a psychological point of view and how the fresh start might affect them. I will trade out if it makes it to 0-0 or 0-1 at half time.

    We've got some great young players coming through and been seriously impressed with Arteta in his first few months so I think the future isn't looking too bad. Saka looks awesome if we can tie him down. Tierney will be one of best left backs in country and Pepe just needs time. Also Martinelli looks great.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #38295

    @richard-latimer why not say instead of a hard time entry, look at say between 65-75mins ill only enter if inplay stats are solid or if you watch the game its lively between those times. If its looking dead then leave it, each game is different and its not about time of entry more do the odds merit the inplay stats at the time.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #38296

    I'm not sure I'm set pn 75 long term. May go 70. May go 65. But LTD Chrobry on 75.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #38297

    @eamonn-hogan they are poor i agree. Im thinking about the game more from a psychological point of view and how the fresh start might affect them. I will trade out if it makes it to 0-0 or 0-1 at half time.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #38298

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan what makes you say that?

    Arsenal are poor, really cant see them getting anything from the game.

    Would definitely agree under Emery. Bit more steel to us since he took over. Prob only 3-0 by ht haha!

    ok then lol

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #38299

    @eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan what makes you say that?

    Arsenal are poor, really cant see them getting anything from the game.

    Would definitely agree under Emery. Bit more steel to us since he took over. Prob only 3-0 by ht haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    E 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #38300

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan what makes you say that?

    Arsenal are poor, really cant see them getting anything from the game.

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    Richard LatimerR ? 2 Replies Last reply
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