The BTC Football Trading Thread
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Really happy with today and just over 3 points green. After posting the LCS with the Empoli game and apologies for mentioning after the fact, I did the same with the Trapani match for another point. Earlier this evening I did a LTD in Slovenia which resulted in just under a point and with the match I posted in Denmark despite a small profit with Slovenia that equaled a point between the two matches.
Was great to get feed back and thanks to @Martin-Futter and @Gary-Brown to discuss the best way to go forward re LCS as opposed to LTD for me.
Hope everyone had a green night and here’s to the weekend.
oh PS Pubs open tomorrow just in case you’d all forgot 
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Much better day today:
I also avoided a couple of potentials I had been looking at as inplay stats looked poor.
Laid Jerv who went 0-1 up at Oslo and got out on 70 at 1-1.
Laid Austria Lustenau 0-1 up at Liefering. They got it to 1-1 then went down again before making it 2-2. At this point I got out.
Excuse the next bit of aftertiming but I've been monitoring late goals in the background not willing to give up on it all. I actually amended @Martin-Futter's filter making the scope only 10 games and then applied the conditional formatting colour scales so I could see the strongest selections. Did Ltd on Grorod in Norway at 0-0 on 64mins. Goal 2 mins later.
After some pretty Crap days I'm happy with over 1.5pts green.
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@martin-futter cheers mate. I have been when I’ve been drip laying late in matches and it’s just me alone and I can concentrate but I think it definitely works also when I’m happy with the odds and know there’s a chance I might get sidetracked. It also means I’m locking in at least a point profit when I do as opposed to having the dog score first.
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@james-woodroffe I pretty much always lcs but I do get in late usually.
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LCS Venezia v Empoli 0-0 HT.
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood Brest is best!
@Martin-Futter What were the odds to lay Smolevichi then?
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@gary-brown yeah that’s the thing I’m finding with my LTD’s especially if I get in early and don’t wait till later the whole dog scores first scenario. Cheers mate I’ll look at that going forward I think.
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Quick question re LTD and LCS. I’m sure ages ago that Keith told me that he sometimes does an LCS over a LTD if he’s a touch busy being a Dad and husband and might not be able to give a trade his full attention. Apologies @Keith-Anderson if I have this wrong but I was just wondering if for example @Martin-Futter or anybody else with a young family is this something that you guys might do from time to time? I would have locked in more green if I did a LCS and just wonder for other guys is there a time of day for example if you might just go “I’m gunna LCS here instead in case I get sidetracked.”?
Hi James if you take a look at Keiths 3% club and his results sheets I am sure a fair bit of his trades are overs or LCS.
Personally I prefer LCS or overs as I know what returns I am getting. Also don't like it if an under dog gets the first goal and the odds move against me or they don't give much profit because of this. -
Quick question re LTD and LCS. I’m sure ages ago that Keith told me that he sometimes does an LCS over a LTD if he’s a touch busy being a Dad and husband and might not be able to give a trade his full attention. Apologies @Keith-Anderson if I have this wrong but I was just wondering if for example @Martin-Futter or anybody else with a young family is this something that you guys might do from time to time? I would have locked in more green if I did a LCS and just wonder for other guys is there a time of day for example if you might just go “I’m gunna LCS here instead in case I get sidetracked.”?
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Evening all back after a few days off. Deleted all my filters apart from one and i am going to follow the daily email suggestions and 2 strategies, one is from my filter which is the late goal lay the draw strategy and the other is the lay the underdog strategy from the ratings page.
I am going to get up early tomorrow and go through my matches and then refine further by omiting leagues that are not going to have the liquidty or available team news/ live feed on. I should then not be overwhelmed with matches and trading should be a lot more structured.Good luck James
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@james-everard yes for me those are the two best performers, very reliable (touch wood!)
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Evening all back after a few days off. Deleted all my filters apart from one and i am going to follow the daily email suggestions and 2 strategies, one is from my filter which is the late goal lay the draw strategy and the other is the lay the underdog strategy from the ratings page.
I am going to get up early tomorrow and go through my matches and then refine further by omiting leagues that are not going to have the liquidty or available team news/ live feed on. I should then not be overwhelmed with matches and trading should be a lot more structured. -
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LTD in Horsens match v Esborg. Currently 1-1
well done mate. Wasn't on it myself but good shout.
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LTD in Horsens match v Esborg. Currently 1-1
1-2.
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LTD in Horsens match v Esborg. Currently 1-1
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Robert Plant said it best
“When I look to the stats and my spirit is crying for Liefering.....Oooo Oooo Ooooo Ooooo Ooooo and she’s buying a late goalllllll.”
Or words to that effect.They weren’t listening
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Robert Plant said it best
“When I look to the stats and my spirit is crying for Liefering.....Oooo Oooo Ooooo Ooooo Ooooo and she’s buying a late goalllllll.”
Or words to that effect. -
@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Odds to high for a split LTD on the Linz match and Liefering so will see where we are at around 65-70 mins.
I might still look at Liefering match for a late goal but having said that a lot has gone my way this week if tonight the chips don’t fall in my favour so be it.
