The BTC Football Trading Thread

James Woodroffe

No FHG but will LTD in the Zurich v Lugano match. 0-0 HT. Half stake now and stats depending if still 0-0 half again around 70 either LTD or O0.5

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@richard-latimer yes Richard I did I put £2 minimum on every trade as that's the least I can put on and I'm sticking to that now mate until I reach hopefully £100 no £5/£10

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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Just entered FHG Zurich v Lagano @ 2.44 on 29 will back again on 34 and 39. On my filter if no luck will LTD at HT most probably.

inplay stats look decent James as well GOOD LUCK MATE.

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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

There are certain leagues that are great for FHG’s - MLS, Australian A League. I’m adding the Norwegian league to that list. What do you think?

Bundeseliga as well Keith is worth looking at

Richard Latimer

@phil-cox said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@martin-futter going OK today started with £3.86, with fhg and late shg I'm at £18.38 I hope it's the shape of things to come

Do you mean you started with a bank £3.86 this morning and now it's £18.38?

I'm not sure that kind of staking is sustainable. You will just need to keep re-loading after every poor day. Or have I got it wrong?

James Woodroffe

Just entered FHG Zurich v Lagano @ 2.44 on 29 will back again on 34 and 39. On my filter if no luck will LTD at HT most probably.

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@martin-futter going OK today started with £3.86, with fhg and late shg I'm at £18.38 I hope it's the shape of things to come

James Woodroffe

@keith-anderson couldn’t agree more I love the MLS and will be all over Norway this afternoon. The A League yes also.

Akiva Anderson

There are certain leagues that are great for FHG’s - MLS, Australian A League. I’m adding the Norwegian league to that list. What do you think?

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

one thing what I have learnt from recording results from filters is that we need to take out all the games that don't qualify inplay to get the true strike rate.

So all the games that don't have a FHG or second half before the odds meet should be ruled out and not included in the strike rate as they are no trade games. Also all the games for LTD where the odds are too high to meet the crietiera for laying a team.

This is really important to find your true strike rate and if a filter is profitable.

Some filters their strike rate can drop considerably when you rule out all the games that you wouldn't trade on because they haven't met the criteria such as a second half goal came too early. The odds for laying a teram were too high, the first half goal came at around 9 mins and you don't enter until 15mins.

This is what some people forget when testing a strategy and is the difference between a successful profitable strategy and one that will only lead to red screens in the long run.

I personally like to paper trade all filters I may use to see if its profitable to how I trade.

Yes mate... All my recorded data such as wins/losses are recorded as per entry time...

If whatever I'm looking at doesn't hit potential entry point I scrub it from the record books entirely.

I don't do that mate... I keep all data on my spreadsheets so that I can revisit and review ways to best use that data... Such as I have just revisited my FHG filter and with all the games where the goal came too early I can now see that by changing my staking plan (go to Split Staking) I can make that data profitable.... never delete it was you've recorded it

I like to keep things fresh otherwise I'll only get confused haha!

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A typical example just happened now.
I had on my filter a over 15 goals for the Struttgart game.

I checked odds at 30mins for over 1. 5 goals and the odds were very low 1.30 at 30mins. So obviously this isn't a trade. 3 mins later a goal is scored. On paper this could like a winning trade but in reality it was a no trade. Sometime the odds vary drastically between games.

Martin

I've adapted the strategies a bit in the strategy section, as I know some people just prefer a straight back to a split stake back, offering both makes sense. Especially as either one would have been profitable!

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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

one thing what I have learnt from recording results from filters is that we need to take out all the games that don't qualify inplay to get the true strike rate.

So all the games that don't have a FHG or second half before the odds meet should be ruled out and not included in the strike rate as they are no trade games. Also all the games for LTD where the odds are too high to meet the crietiera for laying a team.

This is really important to find your true strike rate and if a filter is profitable.

Some filters their strike rate can drop considerably when you rule out all the games that you wouldn't trade on because they haven't met the criteria such as a second half goal came too early. The odds for laying a teram were too high, the first half goal came at around 9 mins and you don't enter until 15mins.

This is what some people forget when testing a strategy and is the difference between a successful profitable strategy and one that will only lead to red screens in the long run.

I personally like to paper trade all filters I may use to see if its profitable to how I trade.

Yes mate... All my recorded data such as wins/losses are recorded as per entry time...

If whatever I'm looking at doesn't hit potential entry point I scrub it from the record books entirely.

I don't do that mate... I keep all data on my spreadsheets so that I can revisit and review ways to best use that data... Such as I have just revisited my FHG filter and with all the games where the goal came too early I can now see that by changing my staking plan (go to Split Staking) I can make that data profitable.... never delete it was you've recorded it

Matt Wood

@keith-anderson Thank you Keith, was on over 3.5 on that

Matt Wood

@richard-latimer THANK YOU, I was trying not to cheat and look up the hosts name

Akiva Anderson

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

I’m LTD in the Sirius v Goteborg match. Currently 1-1 at HT

Goal! 2-1

Finn Kristensen

@richard-latimer :money-mouth_face:

Richard Latimer

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer Wow blast from the past. That gameshow was weirdly addictive lol

Glad you got it. Henry Kelly would be proud haha

Matt Wood

@richard-latimer Wow blast from the past. That gameshow was weirdly addictive lol

Richard Latimer

@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@finn-kristensen renaming it to going for a late goal

Going for a late 'GOLD'