The BTC Football Trading Thread
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I dont know my Norwegian footy, are Bodo the best team in Norway? Obviously on current form they are prob favs for the league. Were they favs before it started?
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@matt-wood lesson learned by aalesunds- Dont make the bodo dragon angry!!!
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@john-hurst Damn they like goals in Norway
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nice ltd opportunity should bodo get to ht. should it lol
edit: yeah thats not happening
edit:game over......... -
@james-everard Followed your lead on that one, after backing lok (being the fav) at HT
saved me
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A Former Userreplied to Matt Wood on 12 Jul 2020, 16:16 last edited by A Former User 12 Jul 2020, 16:17
@matt-wood oh yes. Bodo have made me a fair few quid these past couple of weeks on the goals markets. They are brilliant. Like you say though norway is a great league for that
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@john-hurst they do like their goals in Norway!
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A Former Userreplied to Matt Wood on 12 Jul 2020, 16:14 last edited by A Former User 12 Jul 2020, 16:15
@matt-wood was in from 1.28 i placed it earlier on. Always get in from start with smallish stake. Worth doing imo
wish i had backed over 1.5g fh now- was at 2.1 earlier on. -
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
backing a fhg in the bodo glimt game- drip backing it throughout the first half
too early?
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will also be ltd in the mjalby vs hacken game if it gets to half time 0-0
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backing a fhg in the bodo glimt game- drip backing it throughout the first half
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Goal 1-1
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Laying Ufa winning 1-0 at Lok Moscow.
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A Former Userreplied to Martin on 12 Jul 2020, 14:29 last edited by A Former User 12 Jul 2020, 14:32
@martin-futter ok thks but fhg in sweiss better maybe start with fhg and over 2.5
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 nope filtered those out if you read this doc you will know why
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials -
and finally 2-1 roskilde
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Yeah I’m also happy at 1-1 and sometimes a 2-0 or 0-2 like you it’s early doors but it does seem to have a pretty decent strike rate but more matches required to see just how well.
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Yes. If the stats justify it or if the favourite is losing. Sometimes I'll enter at 0-2 or 1-1.
It definitely needs tightening. I mean, the logic is sound enough (most goals come in that period for the teams in question), but need to play around with some other parameters and see what comes up.
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James Woodroffereplied to Stuart Capstick on 12 Jul 2020, 13:35 last edited by James Woodroffe 12 Jul 2020, 13:37
@stuart-capstick that’s great do you ever enter at 1-0 or 0-1?
Sorry mate didn’t see your response to Martin.
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Stuart Capstickreplied to Martin on 12 Jul 2020, 13:32 last edited by Stuart Capstick 12 Jul 2020, 13:32
@martin-futter
Sorry, Martin, I should have made that clearer; it's far less impressive in reality.
I have about 200 games on the filter- win rate late goal 70 mins plus= 68% (any score HT and any score @70 mins).
21 games 0-0 HT and 0-0 at 70. 15 games with a goal 70 mins plus.
Of the other 6, 4 had red cards (no trade), one had an "interruption" (Hammarby, yesterday) and 1 no goal (Shonan today).That said, there have been a few games where the goal has come at 67 mins.
Far too early to draw any conclusions. Also, these are all COVID era games, so I need to get round to back testing.
34161/42901