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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #34861

    Just the ELO backs for me again today as I paper trade my other two strats-to-be.

    Man City
    Barcelona

    Leaving both to enter at min price 1.25

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #34862

    See Young Boys top scorer still out. Almost hoping they don't go behind so I don't have to make a decision haha!! It will be one based on the inplay stats though.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    wrote on last edited by
    #34863

    @Alan-Steward and @Keith-Anderson, just did some quick research and found this out.
    The points for the “MLS is back cup will carry over to the regular season when it resumes.
    The winner of the comp qualifies for CONCACAF Champions League.
    There are 6 groups 3 Eastern Conference and 3 Western Conference. Round robin followed by knock out and then resumption of regular season. Pardon the awful pun here but it appears it’s not Mickey Mouse. (Yep I went there sorry. )

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by
    #34864

    @james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Evening gents a few I’m watching tonight for a 2HG. 70 mins + if scores level or 1-0 or 0-1

    Post 70

    Trabzonspor v Antalyaspor (currently 1-1 at writing)
    West Brom v Derby
    Young Boys v Thun
    Kriens v Aarau
    Torino v Brescia
    Bologna v Sassuolo

    LTD 2nd half.
    Birmingham v Swansea
    Genoa v Napoli

    Here’s to a green Wednesday 🍻🍻

    Antalyaspor seem to have massive injury problems as well as a suspension of top scorer. Watching for an opportunity with you though. Dependent on what I see in the stats.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    wrote on last edited by
    #34865

    Evening gents a few I’m watching tonight for a 2HG. 70 mins + if scores level or 1-0 or 0-1

    Post 70

    Trabzonspor v Antalyaspor (currently 1-1 at writing)
    West Brom v Derby
    Young Boys v Thun
    Kriens v Aarau
    Torino v Brescia
    Bologna v Sassuolo

    LTD 2nd half.
    Birmingham v Swansea
    Genoa v Napoli

    Here’s to a green Wednesday 🍻🍻

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #34866

    @keith-anderson Yes mate... Seen some fixtures come up within the filters already... Be nice to see format for the competition 👍 👍 👍

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #34867

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    MLS is back in the early hours. Won’t be trading it until I see the format of the competition. A few players staying at home though as the tournament is being played in Florida

    I look for to your advice and posts on MLS Keith.
    Any games your watching tonight or is it a chill out day for you mate.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #34868

    MLS is back in the early hours. Won’t be trading it until I see the format of the competition. A few players staying at home though as the tournament is being played in Florida

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    ? ? 2 Replies Last reply
    3
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #34869

    @gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Over & Out:

    Looking for a 2nd half goal 65 mins+

    0_1594169028681_13d50fa1-9386-469c-bc04-2ef7f1d4a0d5-image.png

    The table is all done in colour scales so the best potentials are highlighted. I've put these in bold.

    If team news is strong/inplay stats are strong and price is right said Leslie Crowther.......I'll look to lay the if 0-0/1-1 as long as no 2nd half goals scored already.

    Ignore Haka. Newly promoted team. Don't know why it came up on my filter.

    nice Rich love your research mate.
    Hope this new system works well. Are you tracking it on your spreadsheets?

    I was wondering how did the Japan games go this morning with this system. Any good?

    Yeah, tracking as always. I laid under 0.5 on Sagan Tosu but was also a late goal in Kashima.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #34870

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Over & Out:

    Looking for a 2nd half goal 65 mins+

    0_1594169028681_13d50fa1-9386-469c-bc04-2ef7f1d4a0d5-image.png

    The table is all done in colour scales so the best potentials are highlighted. I've put these in bold.

    If team news is strong/inplay stats are strong and price is right said Leslie Crowther.......I'll look to lay the if 0-0/1-1 as long as no 2nd half goals scored already.

    Ignore Haka. Newly promoted team. Don't know why it came up on my filter.

    nice Rich love your research mate.
    Hope this new system works well. Are you tracking it on your spreadsheets?

    I was wondering how did the Japan games go this morning with this system. Any good?

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #34871

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Over & Out:

    Looking for a 2nd half goal 65 mins+

    0_1594169028681_13d50fa1-9386-469c-bc04-2ef7f1d4a0d5-image.png

    The table is all done in colour scales so the best potentials are highlighted. I've put these in bold.

    If team news is strong/inplay stats are strong and price is right said Leslie Crowther.......I'll look to lay the if 0-0/1-1 as long as no 2nd half goals scored already.

    Ignore Haka. Newly promoted team. Don't know why it came up on my filter.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #34872

    @stuart-capstick yep, you use it to influence your next decisions, almost talk yourself wrongly sometimes into trades.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #34873

    @allan-birch 100% you are correct, it is a dilemma, it comes down to your rules and what you are seeing and what trade you are doing.

    This is why I don't really like doing live trading sessions as everybody trade differently and this is a key example of this. I would have left this which works for me and the way I trade, whereas you found a different angle, executed it in line with your rules and your plan - it worked out for both of us 🙂

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #34874

    @alan-steward Yep 🙂

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #34875

    @dean-adams Yep! The J league loves goals matey 🙂

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #34876

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 I never have, I like sofascore matey - I usually watch the games too.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #34877

    @ryan-carruthers You make a great point on the Yoko game about how not to get sucked in to trades. Personally the reason i did get involved in this 2nd half trade was the previous 20 game home and away stats. 39 out of 40 games over 0.5 goals 73 2nd half goals (1.82 av) compared to 42 1st half goals (1.05 av) My point is i think its difficult sometimes to ignore 2nd half historical stats sometimes even if the 1st half has been poor. A dilema for most traders i guess!!!

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #34878

    @ryan-carruthers

    This is excellent advice, Ryan.

    I think it's a classic example of the availability bias- what you remember most recently or what happened most recently affects your decisions.

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #34879

    Wise words @Ryan-Carruthers certainly one for my list of rules. On a side note J1 seem to be a good SHG League today 7/7 so far with a goal +70 mins. Is this reminiscent of previous seasons?

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #34880

    @ryan-carruthers What are you seeing from those stats mate... Looks too one sided for me and if I wasn't already in a trade possibly wouldn't enter... Same rules would have applied to City game for me... Too one sided!

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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