The BTC Football Trading Thread

Richard Latimer

@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer That's a different team

What is?

Eamonn Hogan

Hi everyone, hopefully everyone sees green today.

james everard

Evening all glad works over for the week hopefully a green weekend ahead ( trading that is lol).
On my lay the dog strategy i have Naestved in the Danish div 1 as a lay, but looking at the table Frederica have nothing to play for as the away side mathematically can stay up. So leaving this one alone unless the home side brings on their top scorer and they start dominating the match

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@richard-latimer thanks Rich. Sometimes its hard to see all posts here. Its really busy over which is great but we can miss out seeing posts.

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I decided to trade them using max stake £2 and track all my results etc.
From the lockdown results I thought majority of them seem to be performing really well.

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@richard-latimer That's a different team

Richard Latimer

@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

is the BREST game not on today guys. The one on the email for ELO?
I cant seem to find it on flash scores

I posted about this. Earliest date can find is 12th

Matt Wood

@gary-brown I trade some of them as small stakes. I generally follow along with all of them on paper though. Am still trying to find what sort of trades I am most comfortable with.

Also I have found it good to follow along with them and watch the markets movement as it is giving me a feel for how the numbers move during events in a game.

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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown Its now on 12th August, no mention of it in Sofascore or Flash Score

thanks Chris

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@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@gary-brown I cannot find it anywhere at all, I guess it must be off

thanks Matt I thought it would of been. The results on the master spreadsheet look good so I thought I would trade the selections from a few of the members filters from today. Only small stakes though so no biggy.

Do you trade them Matt?

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@gary-brown Its now on 12th August, no mention of it in Sofascore or Flash Score

Matt Wood

@gary-brown I cannot find it anywhere at all, I guess it must be off

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is the BREST game not on today guys. The one on the email for ELO?
I cant seem to find it on flash scores

Matt Wood

God damn the Juve Stabia game is boring! Falling asleep in my chair here!

Richard Latimer

Seems there's no goals in Austria Vienna II team today so unless the inplay stats look pretty damn good that's one I'll avoid.

liam willis

This post is deleted!

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@richard-latimer 100% agree with @Gary-Brown the form of these lay the dogs has been superb. Even with the introduction of btc guys getting involved, which can only make it better, you have continued to find a way to improve not just on a general level but your own style which i cant encourage enough. Your own angles make you the trader. We can all preach what works for us but actually finding a working strategy from an individual finding is so valuable. Well done mate always good to see a trader who sticks around and finds a way

Richard Latimer

@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

I Cant believe how much work Rich L puts into recording keeping and trading I got to say I really really hope you succeed mate as your bloody deserve it. Any employer would defo reward such an employee who works this hard.

On the trading from I cant keep up with how fast you keep moving forward.

What strategies are you looking t at the moment Rich?
Are these new ones that you are testing from a new filter? So follow them but don't trade them yet as they are being tested. Just trying to keep up lol.

Am I right in thinking that the strategy tested and shows long term profit is the lay the under dog ones which are called down but not out? This is the one that Martin sends out in the email but he filters the games?

Oh I never worked this hard for an employer. F**k that haha!!

Having so many fingers in so many pies is both a positive and a negative. I do wonder if I've thrown some profitable stuff away in the past. That said as my brain is always exploring new ideas (and plagiarising others) perhaps it proves there's many many different ways to win at this game.

Lay the winning underdog is up to well over 400 selections now. If I can have faith in anything it's this. Got to find way to optimise though by holding fire if fave getting battered or lineup missing most of the goal threat. By the same token I can't let perfectly good trades like Rio Bravo get away from me.

I've renamed it 'Won't Stay Down' seems more appropriate with me starting to lean towards the double bubble rather than staying in and waiting for the winner. The majority of the time when these go behind they level it up again.

Goals filters I just can't let go. It's the mainstay of so many traders here. Martins filter has data and so to derive something from that seemed the best way forward. Then I know the basic requirement of Keths is average 3 goals. I have believed average scored to be more important for ages now so getting H2 average goals and H2 average scored seemed a no brainer for me in terms of seeing what it brought about. This was also inspired by Ryans 70+ minute goal filter.

I am tentively laying the under after 64 mins when teams drawing since ht providing both teams have a decent line up or inplay stats suggest a goal is incredibly likely. Also price. I like Martins no go if price under 1.4 (3.5 to lay) on 60 mins. Plus oddsportal.com will generally tell me if price is going to be so poor as not to bother even looking. Check the over 0.5 H2 average odds. Generally speaking anything 1.09 or below is 100% out.

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I Cant believe how much work Rich L puts into recording keeping and trading I got to say I really really hope you succeed mate as your bloody deserve it. Any employer would defo reward such an employee who works this hard.

On the trading from I cant keep up with how fast you keep moving forward.

What strategies are you looking t at the moment Rich?
Are these new ones that you are testing from a new filter? So follow them but don't trade them yet as they are being tested. Just trying to keep up lol.

Am I right in thinking that the strategy tested and shows long term profit is the lay the under dog ones which are called down but not out? This is the one that Martin sends out in the email but he filters the games?

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nice one in seoel lay cs ht and over 1.5 dripbacking , the double good start for today