The BTC Football Trading Thread

[A Former User]

@alan-steward better after 10 min lay the under 1.5 fhg goals market and no early goal then lay the u 0.5
with sweiss games iwill do that always

[Richard Latimer]

@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer you select sh goals from yesterday were very good i was dripbacking crossmarkets yesterrday it was a good day 6 winners from the 7 thks
crossmarkets is let say 1-0 ht after 60 min first the over 2.5 and later the 1.5 goals market when the odds came to 2

I only did one as not keen on any of the other odds.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer you select sh goals from yesterday were very good i was dripbacking crossmarkets yesterrday it was a good day 6 winners from the 7 thks
crossmarkets is let say 1-0 ht after 60 min first the over 2.5 and later the 1.5 goals market when the odds came to 2

[Stuart Capstick]

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

sorry I didn't join the AA meeting yesterday morning to disclose my red day

Brilliant, Alan.

[Ryan]

@andrew-wooding Racing traders I think buddy

[A Former User]

So the main goal game on my filter today is the Atlanta game but not really seeing a lot of value there... Atlanta heavy favs

Will look at FHG there and if it reaches 1.51 by 20min mark and shows value re team selection & in-play stats etc will maybe make a move.

Other than that a few Split Stakes & other possible FHG to consider... Have a good one guys

[A Former User]

Hi guys. Anyone know of betfair trading software that you can use with chrome OS?

Got a new laptop.. think I might have got the wrong spec unless anyone can tell me different?

[Richard Latimer]

One selection on 'Titanic'. If they fall 0-2 behind I'll lay away:

[Richard Latimer]

Potentials for 2nd half goals depending on price, lineup, inplay stats etc. Presently I'll only be doing this if scores are level 0-0/1-1 after 64 mins and no prev 2nd half goals. I am tracking other scorelines though.

[Richard Latimer]

ELO Winning Team Lays - Won't Stay Down:

Both Santa Clara and Brno have nothing to play for now but i've gone about things slightly differently today. Rather than rule them out immediately I want to see what sort of teams they put out out. I'm sure from that it will be easy enough to gauge whether they want to finish on a high or not.

Vejle at first glance look like they don't have much to play for either but on closer inspection I would say they absolutely do.

9pts clear with 3 games to go BUT this is potentially the easiest. The next is at home to Viborg in 2nd place so if they lose today and then they lose that one as well they could conceivably find themselves only 3pts ahead going into the final away game. They have a big advantage on goal difference but I refuse to believe that's a situation you would want to let develop.

Last game of the season anything could happen and if they were to lose that and Viborg handed out a thrashing to someone the maybe just maybe they overturn that goal difference.

[A Former User]

Two SHG’s for me today;

Sheffield Wednesday Huddersfield
Atalanta Brescia

[A Former User]

Morning all,

I took the day off trading yesterday after losing a couple of points on Sunday (sorry I didn't join the AA meeting yesterday morning to disclose my red day but was busy updating data lol). However I did ring a couple of 4 goal games from my Correct Score filter... Man Utd & Inter game... Typical lol

Don't think there's a lot on today either so looks like another day off... No bad thing.

Catch up with you all later

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Also another comeback in Turkey after they took the lead and fell behind. I didn't do this one but I'm collecting data and that's 7 wins now, 2 losses.

May have to start doing these pretty soon. No reason not to.

its a strange league that turkish one. Cant say i enjoy trading it as there doesnt seem to be any build up to goals being scored but it is certainly profiable for me.

[Richard Latimer]

@daniel-cooper said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer there was a 3:30am American game you had on the filter for this morning that you were gonna track but sleep through - how did it go?

Yeah, it would have won. 1-0 at ht. 2nd goal came 76th minute. Odds almost certainly very good.

[Daniel Cooper]

@richard-latimer there was a 3:30am American game you had on the filter for this morning that you were gonna track but sleep through - how did it go?

[Richard Latimer]

For 'Titanic' that's now 7 full comebacks from 19 selections at ave lay odds of 1.16:

[Daniel Cooper]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

After a horrendous yesterday I've put things right again today.

Firstly 'Titanic' my filter for those dead and buried teams down 0-2 continued to perform well with Ham Kam coming from 0-2 down and achieving a full comeback altough I cashed at HT.

Lay odds were 1.4 this time so higher than normal but I knew it only needed 1 goal back and I would be green.

Then Elfsborg duly obliged late by pulling the goal back against Kalmar for a home lay success at 1.85.

Next came Inter and although the odds were high at 4.4 I've said enough times I have the utmost confidence in these ELO lays at those prices. I've also said that if anything I have more confidence at those prices. 4+ is my gold.

I re-discovered some discipline and self control having been watching for an opportunity in the Valur game. It was 0-0. Key players on the pitch. Inplay stats ok. But the price just didn't quite fit and so despite being tempted to lay later on I didn't. I left well alone. It's so so nice to see a 0-0 FT scoreline you passed on!

Finally, Vitoria Setubal v Famalicao. 1-1. Some ok inplay stats from the first half. All major players on the pitch and crucially this time price was very very good. Laid under 2.5 @ 2.5 after 65 mins. Not the greatest game to look at but you could tell both teams going for it. Thankfully Famalicao obliged with a late goal to make it 1-2.

4 trades
4 wins

Just over 2 1/2 points green.

Well done Richard! I had an awesome day myself, green all round

[Richard Latimer]

Also another comeback in Turkey after they took the lead and fell behind. I didn't do this one but I'm collecting data and that's 7 wins now, 2 losses.

May have to start doing these pretty soon. No reason not to.

[Richard Latimer]

After a horrendous yesterday I've put things right again today.

Firstly 'Titanic' my filter for those dead and buried teams down 0-2 continued to perform well with Ham Kam coming from 0-2 down and achieving a full comeback altough I cashed at HT.

Lay odds were 1.4 this time so higher than normal but I knew it only needed 1 goal back and I would be green.

Then Elfsborg duly obliged late by pulling the goal back against Kalmar for a home lay success at 1.85.

Next came Inter and although the odds were high at 4.4 I've said enough times I have the utmost confidence in these ELO lays at those prices. I've also said that if anything I have more confidence at those prices. 4+ is my gold.

I re-discovered some discipline and self control having been watching for an opportunity in the Valur game. It was 0-0. Key players on the pitch. Inplay stats ok. But the price just didn't quite fit and so despite being tempted to lay later on I didn't. I left well alone. It's so so nice to see a 0-0 FT scoreline you passed on!

Finally, Vitoria Setubal v Famalicao. 1-1. Some ok inplay stats from the first half. All major players on the pitch and crucially this time price was very very good. Laid under 2.5 @ 2.5 after 65 mins. Not the greatest game to look at but you could tell both teams going for it. Thankfully Famalicao obliged with a late goal to make it 1-2.

4 trades
4 wins

Just over 2 1/2 points green.

[A Former User]

@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS/LTD alcorcon vs tenerife 0-0 71 mins

disallowed goal 94th min was offside, clearances off the line, would do this trade again