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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #33861

    @eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    LCS/LTD luton vs qpr currently 1-1 78 mins

    laid at 1.45 just now

    Joined at 1.30

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33862

    @darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    LCS/LTD luton vs qpr currently 1-1 78 mins

    laid at 1.45 just now

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    James WoodroffeJ 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #33863

    LCS/LTD luton vs qpr currently 1-1 78 mins

    E 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #33864

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I've noticed a lot of the odds today are crazy short on goals.

    Yeah, noticed that too - FT > 1.5 goals often at odds below 1.1 and >2.5 goals below 1.35. Not normal.

    Makes it hard to find value in any 2nd half goal trade at those odds. Vejle, Grasshopper, a few others. Not only that but the 1x2 odds are stupidly low as well. Think Grasshoppers are 1.07 average across the board!

    And Chiasso just scored. How pissed off would you be haha!!?

    Ridiculous!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • L Offline
    L Offline
    liam willis
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #33865

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I've noticed a lot of the odds today are crazy short on goals.

    glad im not the only one who noticed that

    I always have a look on oddsportal.com for HT over 0.5 average odds and it's anywhere from 1.03 to 1.07 on a good few.

    yeah been looking at a 2nd half goals strat and tonight cant get anywhere near the odds for a trade.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    wrote on last edited by
    #33866

    Could be a frantic finish at Luton as they back facing the drop.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #33867

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I've noticed a lot of the odds today are crazy short on goals.

    Yeah, noticed that too - FT > 1.5 goals often at odds below 1.1 and >2.5 goals below 1.35. Not normal.

    Makes it hard to find value in any 2nd half goal trade at those odds. Vejle, Grasshopper, a few others. Not only that but the 1x2 odds are stupidly low as well. Think Grasshoppers are 1.07 average across the board!

    And Chiasso just scored. How pissed off would you be haha!!?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Finn KristensenF 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Finn Kristensen on last edited by
    #33868

    @finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I've noticed a lot of the odds today are crazy short on goals.

    Yeah, noticed that too - FT > 1.5 goals often at odds below 1.1 and >2.5 goals below 1.35. Not normal.

    Makes it hard to find value in any 2nd half goal trade at those odds. Vejle, Grasshopper, a few others. Not only that but the 1x2 odds are stupidly low as well. Think Grasshoppers are 1.07 average across the board!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to liam willis on last edited by
    #33869

    @liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I've noticed a lot of the odds today are crazy short on goals.

    glad im not the only one who noticed that

    I always have a look on oddsportal.com for HT over 0.5 average odds and it's anywhere from 1.03 to 1.07 on a good few.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    L 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    wrote on last edited by Matt Wood
    #33870

    Right gents tiredness creeping in now so time to stop. 2.75pts green for the day so happy again. Can't thank everyone here enough for all the advice and help. I am deff learning so much just by being here.

    Best of luck to those still chasing the green šŸ‘

    Catch you all tomorrow

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #33871

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I've noticed a lot of the odds today are crazy short on goals.

    Yeah, noticed that too - FT > 1.5 goals often at odds below 1.1 and >2.5 goals below 1.35. Not normal.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • L Offline
    L Offline
    liam willis
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #33872

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I've noticed a lot of the odds today are crazy short on goals.

    glad im not the only one who noticed that

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #33873

    I've noticed a lot of the odds today are crazy short on goals.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    L Finn KristensenF 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn KristensenF Offline
    Finn Kristensen
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #33874

    @richard-latimer Yeah, noticed that as well. Really weird.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by
    #33875

    @james-woodroffe too early! nvm

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #33876

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Still amber here. No trades qualified so far.

    And amber is where I'll stay.

    All stronger teams took lead, all overs either not drawing at HT or excluded on odds/inplay stats/lineup, 0-2 lay went down 0-1 but then equalised and won easily.

    In terms of data Chojwrkjgczy won 2-0 scoring late after going in at HT 1-0. Also Warta Poznan went in 2-0 at the break and ended up drawing 2-2 with first goal coming late so that's 2 potential wins.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #33877

    Totally weird. Basel playing now but no odds for it anywhere!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Finn KristensenF 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to James Woodroffe on last edited by Matt Wood
    #33878

    @james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    without going too much off track the cardiff v derby game looks a good prospect. Will look to enter after 60 mins if still 1-1

    I’m with you here mate, also possibly the Huddersfield game as 3 points would pretty much secure the Terriers but will look to join that later if at all.

    Sheff wed games historic goal stats heavily favour a 2HG šŸ™‚

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #33879

    @matt-wood defo, if they can get the balance right and frank knows his best team they should do well. Werner coming in adds strength up front too. Looking forward to next season

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33880

    @john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    without going too much off track the cardiff v derby game looks a good prospect. Will look to enter after 60 mins if still 1-1

    I’m with you here mate, also possibly the Huddersfield game as 3 points would pretty much secure the Terriers but will look to join that later if at all.

    Matt WoodM ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0

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