The BTC Football Trading Thread

Ryan

@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

I like the look of the Stabaek v Sarpsborg game today to lay the away team, digging in now but initial reasoning:

Away form is poor
Home form decent
H scored 1st v A concede 1st works
HT Scores 1-0 & 0-0 % look in my favour
Same with H2H

This was a nice little trade, lay of Sarpsborg @ 2.96 with a back over 7's when they went 1 goal down! Lovely

James Woodroffe

@matt-wood I’ve just looked up Mr Black. I hadn’t heard of it before but now I have I might have to look into investing in a bottle or three.
Thanks for the heads up it looks good.

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Is it today when the system gets a reboot and its best to use the stats software after mid day to make sure you get all the qualifies under your filters?

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@richard-latimer which games y are talking about the 0-0 and the 1-1, because yesterday start and sevilla game were 2 loosers

Matt Wood

I am sure you all do know this but just in case, there is a weekly offer on BF to get a free £5 bet (which can be chained as long as you win)

You have to 'opt in' every week and place £20 in bets on the exchange.

Matt Wood

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@james-woodroffe You tried Mr Black, its from your neck of the woods?

Where Collingwood? No I was working on the assumption it was Johnny Walker Black. Where’s it from mate?

Australia

Richard Latimer

Going to get on and look at Fri fixtures now. I wasn't planning this before today but it seems kind of stupid not to now. The 0-0 late goal selections have had 6 selections with one loss, the 1-1's have had 4 selections with 1 loss. The 0-1 however, have also had 6 selections and so far no losses. Think I need to include these now but not extending out any further for now.

Martin

Decent day for the email advice. Just the one loser on the late goals.

Eamonn Hogan

@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Bad night, thats 3 red days in a row now. Im still winning with my unders and they are now 67 out of my last 69 since i changed tactic on it.
Lost money tonight on the over 1.5s with Start and Sociedad. Also losing trades in the Stabaek game.

I honestly think im happier with time decay trades, I hate waiting and hoping for a goal.

67 from 69 is fantastic. Why not just do only them with money and paper trade alternative systems until one of them has proven stable over time? The Unders seem to be a steady money-maker for you, so use that as your foundation. I personally am not a fan of systems that make you fear the dreaded "suspended" screen on Betfair, but you seem to feel the opposite.

The heart does sink when you see the dreaded suspended lol. I am only in the trade for a few minutes but the differnce is I am now entering straight after a goal has been scored with inflated odds.

Finn Kristensen

@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Bad night, thats 3 red days in a row now. Im still winning with my unders and they are now 67 out of my last 69 since i changed tactic on it.
Lost money tonight on the over 1.5s with Start and Sociedad. Also losing trades in the Stabaek game.

I honestly think im happier with time decay trades, I hate waiting and hoping for a goal.

67 from 69 is fantastic. Why not just do only them with money and paper trade alternative systems until one of them has proven stable over time? The Unders seem to be a steady money-maker for you, so use that as your foundation. I personally am not a fan of systems that make you fear the dreaded "suspended" screen on Betfair, but you seem to feel the opposite.

Richard Latimer

Just have to think long term. Not going to get too many games with those kind of pre-game stats and inplay stats that have no 2nd half goals.

I was on Mura and Sociedad. Barca obv wanted it enough when Real were still only 1-0 up enough to bring on Suarez. In hindsight that's one I'd stay in waiting for an equaliser but wouldn't have turned things around today anyway after the 2 second half goal losses.

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Got lucky with some in-play Palace-Utd trading so that negated the Soc/Sev game, leaving me 3 points up for the day, so happy with that.

No trading tomorrow evening - I'm off out for steak! nom nom.

Eamonn Hogan

@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Had a few losses tonight, allow the strike rate to see us return to winning ways rest of month

Think that was my fault for following them mate.

Daniel Cooper

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

2 very unexpected results. Not worked out at all this evening. Green turns to red in 2 moves. Always tomorrow.....

I was also on the Sociedad game for the late goal. That loss has still left me with some green left over, but going to persist with the late goal members filters none the less

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9 Red cards in 10 games in la liga....players must be fancying an early holiday

Eamonn Hogan

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

2 very unexpected results. Not worked out at all this evening. Green turns to red in 2 moves. Always tomorrow.....

Im the same. I was green half an hour ago.

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Had a few losses tonight, allow the strike rate to see us return to winning ways rest of month

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not every night the same ha ha from the sh goals list

Eamonn Hogan

Bad night, thats 3 red days in a row now. Im still winning with my unders and they are now 67 out of my last 69 since i changed tactic on it.
Lost money tonight on the over 1.5s with Start and Sociedad. Also losing trades in the Stabaek game.

I honestly think im happier with time decay trades, I hate waiting and hoping for a goal.

Richard Latimer

2 very unexpected results. Not worked out at all this evening. Green turns to red in 2 moves. Always tomorrow.....