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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #33461

    @eamonn-hogan And maybe another thing to put out there... Even though a top scorer comes on in the SH how effective would he have been as if he'd started the match... Seen some info on this somewhere but can't remember where lol... Take it easy and stay green 👍

    Richard LatimerR E 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33462

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan Hi mate, hopefully this message will come across as good advice and not rub salt into the wounds but Sociedad game was also on my o1.5 goal filter... However didn't trade as Sevilla's main striker was on the bench until into the SH... Worth checking line ups before the game, it seems a pain sometimes but can pay dividends 👍

    I didn’t enter the trade until half time.youre right though. I didn’t check the line up.

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #33463

    @gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    The fun could start early today:

    0_1594976549497_5388f777-6c1f-4d98-89f9-b11c32f3c4b1-image.png

    Teams outlined have nothing to play for other than pride so I will look at the team sheet and also the inplay stats but not ruled out yet.

    Titanic - Looking specifically for the lay @ 0-2 down:

    0_1594976676629_adb68dac-fe2c-4587-9734-eb52a0b8c94f-image.png

    Benevento is on both lists for the sole reason that if I don't feel comfortable laying @ 0-1 from their team sheet or how they playing, I will look at this again if they go 0-2 down.

    hi I was wondering why aren't some of these games on the ELO list for today?

    I was wondering about the 2 Italian games you have listed above. What are the reasons for the difference in selections between Rich and the email?

    I think Martin is calculating them manually where as I just chuck them in a sheet and the formula works it out for me. The other thing is Benevento are league winners by miles so he would have taken this one out. Like I said, I'm just going to see what kind of team they put out first.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #33464

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    The fun could start early today:

    0_1594976549497_5388f777-6c1f-4d98-89f9-b11c32f3c4b1-image.png

    Teams outlined have nothing to play for other than pride so I will look at the team sheet and also the inplay stats but not ruled out yet.

    Titanic - Looking specifically for the lay @ 0-2 down:

    0_1594976676629_adb68dac-fe2c-4587-9734-eb52a0b8c94f-image.png

    Benevento is on both lists for the sole reason that if I don't feel comfortable laying @ 0-1 from their team sheet or how they playing, I will look at this again if they go 0-2 down.

    hi I was wondering why aren't some of these games on the ELO list for today?

    I was wondering about the 2 Italian games you have listed above. What are the reasons for the difference in selections between Rich and the email?

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #33465

    Match suspended for pen just as I was getting in. But a nice lay of Wellington

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #33466

    ooh nice over 2.5 in good sh

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33467

    @alan-steward after backing sydney i backed the draw now cash out for profits and take red off in over 2.5

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33468

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @eamonn-hogan Hi mate, hopefully this message will come across as good advice and not rub salt into the wounds but Sociedad game was also on my o1.5 goal filter... However didn't trade as Sevilla's main striker was on the bench until into the SH... Worth checking line ups before the game, it seems a pain sometimes but can pay dividends 👍

    This was great for you to reiterate this BECAUSE I did actually spot this myself, well, that he didn’t start (wasn’t aware when he came on) but as a new trader didn’t give it enough thought/importance or watch it! Would have been helpful! Mind you was going for a late goal, but still a good lesson!

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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    wrote on last edited by
    #33469

    The A League never fails to deliver 😂 I missed it personally but glad it’s back.

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #33470

    Queued a Lay o.05 goals but not sure if it actually bit... Yep just bit for a small bit of green... Catch you all later

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    wrote on last edited by
    #33471

    Nice bit of green to start the day 🙂

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33472

    @alan-steward i am in reback maybe lcs later on to get scratch or the double

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33473

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 If you're at work I would suggest not to trade as this is their first game back

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33474

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 I barely watch a live game I'm an in-play stat trader... That's the way of the first stable I come from... Some pros need to watch live and some can trade stats... I'm nicely profitable by just trading in-play stats and have no desire to change my approach 👍

    but i am at work little difficult at home i have in play scanners

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33475

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 I barely watch a live game I'm an in-play stat trader... That's the way of the first stable I come from... Some pros need to watch live and some can trade stats... I'm nicely profitable by just trading in-play stats and have no desire to change my approach 👍

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33476

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SOT per goal to score
    Sydney 5 SOT per goal to concede
    Wellington 2.9 SOT per goal to score
    Wellington 2.45 SOT per goal to concede
    Looks like Wellington could concede soon but seem a distance from scoring, they have had 4 shots (off target) from inside the box but believe that was early on.
    Will wait until 60/65 mins and reassess if I miss th

    but normally when i trade over 1.5 sh
    i wait the first 5 min to see one sot then i get in
    i back 0.25 points 2.5
    0.25 points 3.5
    0.25 points 4.5
    0.25 points 5.6 after goal take red off or cash out depends when the goal came in

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James WoodroffeJ Offline
    James Woodroffe
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33477

    @alan-steward pretty much my plan of attack also mate.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #33478

    I notice Wellington top scorer not on the pitch so possibly carrying an injury which will surely dampen their possibilities to score against the top team but Sydneys top scorers all on the pitch.

    As mentioned below will wait 60/65 mins and poss LCS

    James WoodroffeJ 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #33479

    So on checking attack stats for similar teams

    Sydney 2 SOT per goal to score
    Sydney 5 SOT per goal to concede

    Wellington 2.9 SOT per goal to score
    Wellington 2.45 SOT per goal to concede

    Looks like Wellington could concede soon but seem a distance from scoring, they have had 4 shots (off target) from inside the box but believe that was early on.

    Will wait until 60/65 mins and reassess if I miss the first goal will move on.

    Over 1.5 goals already @ 2.16 so seems the market is slightly undecided for 2 goals and appears to mostly favour the 1 goal

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #33480

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 On par with stats mate... Both top teams and both fresh from restart and both teams 30% HT 0-0... Did you go for FHG?

    Will look to go o1.5 goals later

    but y are watching the match is likely to get goals....

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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