The BTC Football Trading Thread
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Pretty much a nothing day for me today which is good as I can concentrate on the last day of the test match.
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Not much on today, a few games have come up but nothing to really play for and a few where teams havent played enough for my liking
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@jamie-garde said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Newbie assessment-
Working a night shift scanning for value so feel free to ridicule me if being awake at 3:30am has driven me mad and i have got these completely wrong
Santander vs Vallecano @ 2.0 BTTS
Lugo vs Mirandes @ 2.26 BTTSBoth look very good value looking at their last 10's on the software? 8 of last 10 at home for Santander and 8 of last 10 away for Vallecano both teams scored. the Lugo game looks even better!
Best of luck everyone.
Welcome!
I’m so weary of the end of season games personally myself unless both teams in each match need a win. As with anything give it a test run for a month or two to see if there is a potentially profitable angle there.
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Newbie assessment-
Working a night shift scanning for value so feel free to ridicule me if being awake at 3:30am has driven me mad and i have got these completely wrong
Santander vs Vallecano @ 2.0 BTTS
Lugo vs Mirandes @ 2.26 BTTSBoth look very good value looking at their last 10's on the software? 8 of last 10 at home for Santander and 8 of last 10 away for Vallecano both teams scored. the Lugo game looks even better!
Best of luck everyone.
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After the feast comes famine. Not much tomorrow. I'll post in the morning.
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Just 3 football trades for me in the end today (Incheon, Thun and Napoli) for a 1.4pt profit for the day. Horses were more or less neutral. Not a bad day at all.
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 I didn’t get on it either. I wasn’t really paying attention as I was busy but the goal went in too early anyway. Maximum I will lay O1.5 SH is 2.4, and I have to be confident that one goal doesn’t kill the game
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@richard-latimer Excellent stats, Richard!
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8 trades today on the ELO winning team lays. smaller losses and 6 wins. Missed Napoli which would have made it 7 and stayed away from Krasnodar being Russian and with a red card.
No late goals although I tried for Slask & Trabzon.
Another 0-2 comeback although I missed it personally. Oleksandriya coming back from 0-2 down to draw with Shakhtar. As both goals came so late this would have been a green on the 2-2. 1-2 wouldn't have done anything to the odds at that point.
Great for the data. It's now 8 full comebacks from 19 selections with an average lay price of 1.16.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@lee-woodman sh valur game no deal odds 1.6
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
On my filters today:
Quite a few there, will keep an eye in-play and only trade a few of these. Teams have something to play for in all games but i will need to check the current scoreline and whether it suits the teams before i enter any trade, quite a few games are all but settled by HT so i will leave those alone
Bit frustrating with these today! All games had SH goals but only managed to get on a few. Still, it shows the filter is working
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Looking for a late goal Brann v Start entered on 80 at 2.20.
Oh well not this time. Still a very happy green day.
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Getting some brownie points from the Mrs?
She'll be happy in the end haha
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Looking for a late goal Brann v Start entered on 80 at 2.20.
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe Absolutely! None of this nonsense of scoring on 46’; 12 minutes into injury time is miles better!
When the odds are super short mate that’s what we want.
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@james-woodroffe Absolutely! None of this nonsense of scoring on 46’; 12 minutes into injury time is miles better!
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Alanyaspor vs Denizlispor in Turkey should have a SH goal. Not getting in at a big price though, will sit and wait for the odds to drop, hopefully the goal will come a bit later
I did say the goal will come later.....I didn’t think it’d be 90+5 though! Never in doubt really
Never in doubt mate late Goals are all the rage
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2 ltd in turkey i think
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Alanyaspor vs Denizlispor in Turkey should have a SH goal. Not getting in at a big price though, will sit and wait for the odds to drop, hopefully the goal will come a bit later
I did say the goal will come later.....I didn’t think it’d be 90+5 though! Never in doubt really
