The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
ltd/lcs udinese v Juve
You didn't mind that late goal, then?
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ltd/lcs udinese v Juve
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will be backing a goal in the sh of udinese vs juve. Goal came too early in sh in the kalmar v sirius match so thats a no go now
edit: maybe not -
@liam-willis ok that is fine leave it for now
kalmar ltd and helsingburg sh goals and think gothenburg also -
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@liam-willis when y back drip from 1.3 you average odds will be arround 1.75
this all not coming from me but from databases in long run .... for that we drip backon the two goals market to increase your profits with 2 late goals between the 70 and 90 th min
but for get ityes i know that but dont know where you are coming from by saying you lose if you have 2 second half goals. i personally look after 70 mins but i have this drip back strategy running at the moment for one filter and it is massively in profit, at the end of the day does it matter what the average odds are if im making money everyday from that. if it was losing money then i would look to alter it. to me profit is profit.
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@liam-willis when y back drip from 1.3 you average odds will be arround 1.75
this all not coming from me but from databases in long run .... for that we drip backon the two goals market to increase your profits with 2 late goals between the 70 and 90 th min
but for get it -
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 how do you lose when you have 2 second half goals im backing to get 1 goal. also i have 500 games and its way in profit. stick to what works for you. its not the only strategy i have for that but its one that works.
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@liam-willis problem is y loose a lot when we have 2 sh goals and that happen 40% of the time average .............. normally i back over 2 sh 2.2/3.2/4.4/5.6 and when i need lay cs @ 1.5
or i put 8 bets each 0.125 point on the two goals market but always started when i have odds at least 2 and higherand on another trading site people have also next goal market sh , the test said that backing odds 1.7 is better then dripbacking overal
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@gary-brown hahaha now theres an idea. im finding a split stake at 50, 60, 70, 80 is working well for me. a lot of times you can get 1.3 at 50 1.5 at 60 2.0 at 70 and 3.0 at 80-81 not all time sometimes just under but basically if you can start above 1.2 with that strike rate you will be profitable. ive got 500 games on my 2nd half filter with an 87% strike rate and thats how it working out. it will work with garys too.
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@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@gary-brown its currently got an 87.5% strike rate for last few weeks
do you use it Liam?
im paper trading it alongside my own 2nd half filter at the moment if you can get in around the 50th min mark a lot of goals coming between 50 and 60 mins from what ive noticed
thanks Liam.
I am experimenting with getting in early above 1.5 from the current scoreline to try and figure out a way of being profitable with these annoying early goals.i may write to the FA to ask them to ban early goals in FH and SH but i am not sure they will listen to me. lol
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@Ryan-Carruthers I noticed on your bet green LTD strategy that you have Home scores first as a criteria but does this not miss the games where the fave is the away team and therefore more likely to score first? Or is that deliberate?
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@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
i think i was a different Gary but it maybe from an old filter i was using that was successful that i did talk to Ryan and Martin about and what i was looking into.
But i think it was a different Gary who was a member.
Gary Haigh isn't it
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i think i was a different Gary but it maybe from an old filter i was using that was successful that i did talk to Ryan and Martin about and what i was looking into.
But i think it was a different Gary who was a member.
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@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Hi guys maybe something for people to follow
I have noticed over last few weeks Gary's SHG filter has been performing really well.I would definitely take a look at this guys and paper trade it and if it continues how i have seen it perform then you may be onto a winning filter here alongside your own filters.
A bit of shameless self promotion there Gary
A different Gary made the filter I'm guessing. I always thought it was you.
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@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@gary-brown its currently got an 87.5% strike rate for last few weeks
do you use it Liam?
im paper trading it alongside my own 2nd half filter at the moment if you can get in around the 50th min mark a lot of goals coming between 50 and 60 mins from what ive noticed
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@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@gary-brown its currently got an 87.5% strike rate for last few weeks
do you use it Liam?
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@gary-brown its currently got an 87.5% strike rate for last few weeks
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Hi guys maybe something for people to follow
I have noticed over last few weeks Gary's SHG filter has been performing really well.I would definitely take a look at this guys and paper trade it and if it continues how i have seen it perform then you may be onto a winning filter here alongside your own filters.
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Just noticed this on Soccerstats- shows how often teams equalize. Might be handy for those that want to lay a dog but are unsure about success rate, could be useful to someone anyway.
You can do that on the filters as well.
In fact I had another idea today not on laying a specific team but on laying whoever takes the lead in a specific game. Or backing draw. I'm not touching it with money at the moment but it seems a nice simple idea.
If one team takes the lead and you can lay them at odds on, do that, if odds against still, back the draw. If the 2nd goal goes wrong way too lay winning team at odds on or again back the draw if odds against.
Keeping an eye on Akranes and Xamax tonight.
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Just noticed this on Soccerstats- shows how often teams equalize. Might be handy for those that want to lay a dog but are unsure about success rate, could be useful to someone anyway.
