The BTC Football Trading Thread

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@matt-wood i figured they would at least get one but didnt expect 2 goals that quickly. I went in at 1.5 and out at 7.2, good green did you get involved though mate or no?

Matt Wood

@john-hurst Well done I didnt have the balls

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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

have laid vegalta at 1.5

2-2 and out

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Today's FHG picks... There's more on my filter but will require watching in due to what's left in their season to play for

Russia Premier League 22/07/2020 17:00 Ural v Lokomotiv Moscow

Richard Latimer

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Laying under 0.5 in C-Osaka game. Here's hoping they can wait for a bit but actually manage to score a goal haha!!

Should be going in about 2.86

I’m also keeping an eye on this mate for a late U0.5 will see what odds are offered around 70-75 and in play.

I'm trying a new simplified method which won't see me miss goals forgetting and wiill allow me to brush it off should the goal come too early instead of thinking why didn't I just push the button 10 seconds earlier.

Putting my order in for half the price most traded @ HT. In this case that price was 4.7 so my entry will be 2.86.

James Woodroffe

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Laying under 0.5 in C-Osaka game. Here's hoping they can wait for a bit but actually manage to score a goal haha!!

Should be going in about 2.86

I’m also keeping an eye on this mate for a late U0.5 will see what odds are offered around 70-75 and in play.

Richard Latimer

@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@chris-osborne would you say the setup is a good thing mate or not?

Who knows but for me cup style and neutral venues puts me off. Far better traders than me may have a different view

Well you notice that @Martin-Futter isn't getting involved at all. Pretty ominous sign.

Simji

got lucky there. in the perth match.

Richard Latimer

Laying under 0.5 in C-Osaka game. Here's hoping they can wait for a bit but actually manage to score a goal haha!!

Should be going in about 2.86

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have laid vegalta at 1.5

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This post is deleted!

Daniel Cooper

@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@daniel-cooper It's an interesting thought. I know that most traders trade out/avoid matches with red cards, as they can be rather unpredictable. I think the only way to know if you have an edge or not is to follow and paper trade a good number of games. You could look at Flashscore for historic games and see how many matches had more goals after a red car etc., but it's a pretty tedious piece of work.

Good shout, probably tedious as hell but... worth it for science! I think I will look at this and see if it amounts to anything - any further feedback welcome!

Finn Kristensen

@daniel-cooper It's an interesting thought. I know that most traders trade out/avoid matches with red cards, as they can be rather unpredictable. I think the only way to know if you have an edge or not is to follow and paper trade a good number of games. You could look at Flashscore for historic games and see how many matches had more goals after a red car etc., but it's a pretty tedious piece of work.

Daniel Cooper

Open question for you all, interested in everyones opinions, thought I may have spotted something last night, no stats to back it up at this point.

Do you think there could be a profit to be made, backing the correct score in games where a red card has been given late first half onwards? We saw 3 cracking goals last night in the Milan game with a red card to finish the half off. No further goals were scored and to back the current score you got something like 13.00. You got 7.30 for the scoreline where Milan (favourites and red card against Sassuolo) scored just one more goal.

I’m not sure how you could easily produce stats on this, nor how you could alert yourself to where red cards happen in major games? Feel like it would be best to avoid minor league games where the teams panic post red card and stick to major leagues where the offenders will turtle the rest of the game.

Thoughts?

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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@chris-osborne would you say the setup is a good thing mate or not?

Who knows but for me cup style and neutral venues puts me off. Far better traders than me may have a different view

Richard Latimer

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

So tomorrow Central Coast are at home but on Saturday we are back to Western Sydney for a Double Header featuring no Sydney teams and a Melbourne Derby.

I'll bare that in mind, thanks.

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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@alan-steward what a joke already goal

How dare they ruin your potential trade. Selfish

James Woodroffe

So tomorrow Central Coast are at home but on Saturday we are back to Western Sydney for a Double Header featuring no Sydney teams and a Melbourne Derby.

James Woodroffe

@dean-adams said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Morning gentlemen, have entered for a FHG in the Yokohama derby at 2.0 ahhh 1-0.
Just a heads up if you didn’t see my post re the A League and might be unaware very few of the clubs are actually playing at home. It’s very much Hub based and Perth are definitely not playing at home. Once again they’ve got a home match in Western Sydney for those not watching. Good luck today guys and go green.

Nice volley if it wasn’t your own net I’ll take it either way

I just saw it was a own goal but yeah we’ll take it.

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Off topic I know but can you not search a match by just typing the Betfair ID into the search bar?