The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Only trade for today entered now at Milan 2.10 on 77 mins.
Yup - could use a goal now...
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Only trade for today entered now at Milan 2.10 on 77 mins.
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Looking at your selections for today I'd say it was amber:
Australia A-league 24/07/2020 10:30:00 Central Coast Mariners Newcastle Jets
Finland Kakkonen Group A 24/07/2020 16:30:00 PEPO Honka Akatemia
Estonia Meistriliiga 24/07/2020 17:00:00 Tulevik Tammeka
Estonia Esiliiga 24/07/2020 17:00:00 Parnu JK Vaprus Levadia U21
Austria 2. Liga 24/07/2020 19:30:00 FC Juniors Liefering
Austria 2. Liga 24/07/2020 19:30:00 Dornbirn FK Austria ViennaAustralia should be avoided as not playing at normal venues
Estonia should be avoided as it's Estonia haha!
Finland Kakkonen is the lowest level in Finland and I would avoid (all these leagues with group C and Div 1 group 2 etc.....all regional and not worth bothering with in my opinion)
Dornbirn (odds crap)
Juniors (odds crap and goals way too early anyway)Could be a really good filter but think you should narrow down selections personally. Do it by odds, do it by HT scoreline (regardless of whether it's necessary, do you really want to trade 250 games a month?!? That's mental. 8 or 9 games a day!
Get rid of the really amateur leagues.
I've mentioned it many times over but you should take a look at oddsportal.com and check the odds for over 0.5 H2 across all bookmakers. Some of them are so blatantly short you may as well just remove and not think twice.
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@richard-latimer spot on
If your window for entry is later on in games like mine then it still all about value. If an overs market = 1.50 between 60-65 is what people on here think is a good base price then there is also a good base price for 70-75, dont just assume, use your tracked trades results to show your strike rate and see what type of odds are your minimum, id assume most of the swiss and austrian games might not have reached those prices tonight at 70-75 mins. Remember opinions are easy to find but data (tracking trades) is the key to backing that up. Opinions are rife in the markets, its the traders that take advantage of this and profit.
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@liam-willis depends when y go in only the 70th min
Comes down to exactly what I said. Just because you go in late and odds BETTER than they were, doesn't mean you have value. If they were crap at the start they were likely crap on 70 mins. All the Austrian games tonight looked to be crap odds for goals.
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@liam-willis and austria game was also on your list?
yes it was so what are you saying!!! every filter has bad days everyone has seen the results from it from the last 2 months im not asking anyone to use it. sounds to me like you are gloating.
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Another good day. 2x ELO lays and 1x H2 goal. Until tomorrow.
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@liam-willis depends when y go in only the 70th min
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not a good night for the filter but that was always gonna happen after me banging on about it earlier
. the important thing was i didnt get a big red as odds just never got to a stage i was comfortable with. im totally ok with this cos its the long term that counts. -
@liam-willis and austria game was also on your list?
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer even with the red and 2-1 down the odds to back both teams were about equal...crazy really
I saw. Horn could be laid at 1.5. I'd take that haha
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Missed penalty, Atalanta
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@gary-brown i left it alone after the red mate
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@richard-latimer even with the red and 2-1 down the odds to back both teams were about equal...crazy really
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@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
that ried game is mad, they went down to 10 men then went 2-1 down, they have now pulled it around and it is now 2-3 lol
Did you get a trade in John?
I missed this oje mate that you posted for a goal after 70minsI laid Horn at 1-1. once they went 2-1 up i took a red.
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
that ried game is mad, they went down to 10 men then went 2-1 down, they have now pulled it around and it is now 2-3 lol
I saw. Another ELO. Not currently doing those that take the lead first but it's a matter of time and when I do the red cards won't enter my thinking.
Leaving so much money on the table right now haha!
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
that ried game is mad, they went down to 10 men then went 2-1 down, they have now pulled it around and it is now 2-3 lol
Did you get a trade in John?
I missed this oje mate that you posted for a goal after 70mins -
that ried game is mad, they went down to 10 men then went 2-1 down, they have now pulled it around and it is now 2-3 lol
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thats me out I guess for nioght I missed out on the FHG in AC Milan game.
Its a Gary H selection.His FHG and SHG percentages very good.
Will come back for secondhalf to miss the SHG lol -
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
i think the best way to trade the goal markets when the odds are shite is to go for a late goal 75 mins onwards when the odds move quicker if a goal comes before so be it the value wasnt there
I disagree personally. When the odds are shite they will remain shite for the time left. Best to just move on to the next trade. Otherwise this seems the perfect example of engineering a trade.
Can't remember who said it but it's true. If the value isn't there initially it never will be.
totally get that if the odds dont get there move on. it depends what you feel is value enough for that trade. but yes a lot dont meet it
