The BTC Football Trading Thread
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odds seem ok in AC Milan game.
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@chris-osborne @liam-willis always nice to hear that lads
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@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Lausanne game its 62mins and odds for next goal were 1.25 how crap is that at 60mins
and would you beleive it another trade missed out on what is a winner but the odds are crap!!!
Exactly but even if it's 0-0 at 85 the odds would still be crap for 5 mins left.
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I am aiming for 5 winning trades what weren't to be due to poor odds.
got 4 down so far just need one more. lol -
@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
i think the best way to trade the goal markets when the odds are shite is to go for a late goal 75 mins onwards when the odds move quicker if a goal comes before so be it the value wasnt there
I disagree personally. When the odds are shite they will remain shite for the time left. Best to just move on to the next trade. Otherwise this seems the perfect example of engineering a trade.
Can't remember who said it but it's true. If the value isn't there initially it never will be.
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Lausanne game its 62mins and odds for next goal were 1.25 how crap is that at 60mins
and would you beleive it another trade missed out on what is a winner but the odds are crap!!!
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@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Is crappy odds like this normal for the end of season?
not sure Matt.
I reckon that has to be it.
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@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@liam-willis i trade late goals as my main strategy the markets panic from 70 mins onwards, which if you use the be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful you have great scope for finding value. The markets can jump from 1.7 to 2.0 in very short time in that window of 70-75mins.
I was the same reading your thread Darri re quality over quantity was a bit of a lightbulb moment for me -
@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@liam-willis i trade late goals as my main strategy the markets panic from 70 mins onwards, which if you use the be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful you have great scope for finding value. The markets can jump from 1.7 to 2.0 in very short time in that window of 70-75mins.
spot on mate you was one of the people i learnt that from on here.
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@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
i think the best way to trade the goal markets when the odds are shite is to go for a late goal 75 mins onwards when the odds move quicker if a goal comes before so be it the value wasnt there
Agreed may be best waiting - of course you may have a no trade which is fine alot better than getting creative on a trade that isn't there.
this has been my problem in the past. I have tried to 'engineer' a trade that is not really there. Learning to just leave games alone now. Much better, as you say, to have a no trade.
its one of the hardest things to master! not to trade
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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Anyone looking at the Lafnitz game for a SHG or is the opinion the odds are crappy there too?
I've used Ryan's Split Stake Strategy
was this a winner for you Chris?
I missed out I was waiting for 70mins lol -
@liam-willis i trade late goals as my main strategy the markets panic from 70 mins onwards, which if you use the be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful you have great scope for finding value. The markets can jump from 1.7 to 2.0 in very short time in that window of 70-75mins.
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will back a late goal in ried game should it be 1-1 around 70-75 min mark
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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
i think the best way to trade the goal markets when the odds are shite is to go for a late goal 75 mins onwards when the odds move quicker if a goal comes before so be it the value wasnt there
Agreed may be best waiting - of course you may have a no trade which is fine alot better than getting creative on a trade that isn't there.
this has been my problem in the past. I have tried to 'engineer' a trade that is not really there. Learning to just leave games alone now. Much better, as you say, to have a no trade.
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@liam-willis said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
i think the best way to trade the goal markets when the odds are shite is to go for a late goal 75 mins onwards when the odds move quicker if a goal comes before so be it the value wasnt there
Agreed may be best waiting - of course you may have a no trade which is fine alot better than getting creative on a trade that isn't there.
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around 60-65mins I would be wanting around 1,50 odds or above.
So every 3 trades I do I may have 1 losing trade and 2 winners and be in profit. -
i think the best way to trade the goal markets when the odds are shite is to go for a late goal 75 mins onwards when the odds move quicker if a goal comes before so be it the value wasnt there
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@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Anyone looking at the Lafnitz game for a SHG or is the opinion the odds are crappy there too?
I've used Ryan's Split Stake Strategy
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@gary-brown What would you normally expect the O0.5 to be around the 60min mark?
