The BTC Football Trading Thread

Matt Wood

@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Laid U0.5 FHG Shimzu v Oita at 1.39 on 34 mins.

been watching this, laid @ 1.22

James Woodroffe

Laid U0.5 FHG Shimzu v Oita at 1.39 on 34 mins.

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@james-woodroffe Gotcha, cheers man

Simji

The champions League spots will be interesting. Wolves want Europa so if they can get a result against chelsea and United and Leicester draw Chelsea drop. Might look at laying Chelsea top 4 and get out if wolves take lead.

James Woodroffe

Not on my filters but also going to monitor the race to Europe for potential late goals at Leicester and Chelsea.

James Woodroffe

@john-hurst I have a filter for 2nd half total goals and total goals after 70 mins as well as 3 goals or more average. If the overall goals post 70 mins is equal or greater than 50% of the total 2nd half goals then it’s shortlisted. The home and away teams must also have scored a 2HG in 4 of their last 5 matches. It’s then a matter of watching the match and ascertaining if or when there’s value to enter the market. Given the volume of late goals I can leave it later than 70. I hope that helps.

Matt Wood

Morning all, fantastic day here, walked dogs for a couple of hours in the sun, sit down and see a bumper day of games.
Lets pick out the quality and get us some green

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@james-woodroffe morning mate, you know for the late goals, how do you decide which games are good for that?

James Woodroffe

Good morning gang,
A busy Sunday today let’s hope it’s a green one.
Watching these games from my shortlist today.

Post 70
Daejon vs Jeju United - Korea 2
Hacken v Goteborg - Sweden
Bodo v Molde - Norway
Start v Stabaek - Norway
Juve vs Sampdoria

2HG - O1.5 2nd Half
Daegu v Busan - Korea 1

FHG
Young Boys v Luzern

Will also even though not on my short list monitor
Arsenal v Watford
West Ham v Villa
(possibly) Everton v Bournemouth.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Most of my games on my filters today are dead rubber

I have these on my list for HT LTD if 0-0 @ HT. With active in play stats, I want to see shots, corners etc...

Country League Date Home Away
China Super League 26/07/2020 08:30:00 Dalian Yifang F.C. Shandong Luneng
Japan J1 League 26/07/2020 11:00:00 Kawasaki Frontale Shonan
Finland Ykkonen 26/07/2020 16:30:00 Jaro MyPa
Norway Eliteserien 26/07/2020 17:00:00 Start Stabaek

I'm on for Yifang too. Put my order in @2.66 to lay under 0.5.

Too early

Richard Latimer

@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Most of my games on my filters today are dead rubber

I have these on my list for HT LTD if 0-0 @ HT. With active in play stats, I want to see shots, corners etc...

Country League Date Home Away
China Super League 26/07/2020 08:30:00 Dalian Yifang F.C. Shandong Luneng
Japan J1 League 26/07/2020 11:00:00 Kawasaki Frontale Shonan
Finland Ykkonen 26/07/2020 16:30:00 Jaro MyPa
Norway Eliteserien 26/07/2020 17:00:00 Start Stabaek

I'm on for Yifang too. Put my order in @2.66 to lay under 0.5.

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@ryan-carruthers do you not find the HT LTD price for games involving clear favourites to be too high at that point mate?

Ryan

Most of my games on my filters today are dead rubber

I have these on my list for HT LTD if 0-0 @ HT. With active in play stats, I want to see shots, corners etc...

0_1595748390837_20956e76-1e23-47a2-bd40-3f32c1124f83-image.png Country League Date Home Away
China Super League 26/07/2020 08:30:00 Dalian Yifang F.C. Shandong Luneng
Japan J1 League 26/07/2020 11:00:00 Kawasaki Frontale Shonan
Finland Ykkonen 26/07/2020 16:30:00 Jaro MyPa
Norway Eliteserien 26/07/2020 17:00:00 Start Stabaek

Ryan

@richard-latimer Yep, everything looks worse slowed down as well!! It can look like handball when it wouldn't be at normal speed - they need some whizz kid to create a bot that can do it as an algorithm so at least its consistent lol

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@richard-latimer yeah when a goal comes u kinda puase and wait to see if ur gonna get rickrolled

James Woodroffe

@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Any teams with nothing to play for are now out of the equation:

Basel only have 2nd to play for but they within touching distance of St. Gallen and that's something I'd say they will go for. Trying to finish as high up the table as possible when close to the top is a little different to being stuck in mid table I believe. I read a preview of the game and the write up there says Basel are going for a strong end to the season.

Arsenal on the surface have nothing to play for last game but this time I would beg to differ. We've not finshed as low as 10th since 1995 so the idea of finishing that low is horrendous and will be for the players. 8th is bad enough!

Players will want to keep motivation going for the FA Cup Final in a weeks time and some will be playing for their places in that final. I am happy we will leave blood on the pitch tomorrow!

Also last result for Arsenal was bad, I think they will have motivation to perform today based on that too.

Don’t forget motivation won’t be short for Watford either.

Matt Wood

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Any teams with nothing to play for are now out of the equation:

Basel only have 2nd to play for but they within touching distance of St. Gallen and that's something I'd say they will go for. Trying to finish as high up the table as possible when close to the top is a little different to being stuck in mid table I believe. I read a preview of the game and the write up there says Basel are going for a strong end to the season.

Arsenal on the surface have nothing to play for last game but this time I would beg to differ. We've not finshed as low as 10th since 1995 so the idea of finishing that low is horrendous and will be for the players. 8th is bad enough!

Players will want to keep motivation going for the FA Cup Final in a weeks time and some will be playing for their places in that final. I am happy we will leave blood on the pitch tomorrow!

Also last result for Arsenal was bad, I think they will have motivation to perform today based on that too.

Richard Latimer

Sometimes s**t just isn't with you.

I waited until the pressure was ramping up in the game from nothing.
After that inplay stats were good
Shots on target
Shots off target
Corners
Woodwork hit
Big chance missed

H2H had only seen the 2 teams play 1x 0-0 and that was a friendly.

Took odds of 1.98 on around 63 minutes as well so can't complain there. Also, it was a match betfair screwed up on. Still had down as starting soon rather than inplay so it didn't suspend as soon as the match finished and I was able to cash out 5% of my loss haha!!

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Watching Leon & Louisville for a H2 goal. Inplay stats hopefully pick up. On my filter not posted yet.

Louisville too early but got in to Chivas game as it picked up. Nothing as yet.

Richard Latimer

Watching Leon & Louisville for a H2 goal. Inplay stats hopefully pick up. On my filter not posted yet.