The BTC Football Trading Thread
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Put 0.5pts in @1.62 was waiting to see a bit from Ham-Kam before loading a whole point... Still 0.3pts green to start is ok... Now for Parma game
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Surprise, surprise FHG @ Ham-Kam... If I dare say it they appear to defend worse than my team lol
no suprise when i saw the ips
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Surprise, surprise FHG @ Ham-Kam... If I dare say it they appear to defend worse than my team lol
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ooh nice goal Baltija Panevezys 0-1 VMFD Zalgiris
over 1.5 in
2/2 -
@john-hurst goal 1-0 parma
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Just one for me today: Parma v Atalanta- Lay home if 1-0 (atalanta have come back in 6/7 away games) and a LCS if in play is good
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@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe Hi James , the Moroccan league i have found generally is a low scoring league. Infact on the stats software you can see that overall 57% of matches finish under 2.5 goals and only 68% of matches have over 1.5 goals. This could be down to the matches played at a slower pace due to the excessive heat ( the match yesterday kicked off at 10pm local time)
Will have to check goal times but a "Snowball" (UFT strat) backing the Unders/Laying the Over from kickoff and gradually trade out sounds like an opportunity.
Got to be careful with the unders market. Discipline is key. Something I keep messing Up and destroying any banks (especially thinking that they won't doctor 2 more quickly etc as the stats doesn't show that) market does take a while to recorrect itself unless you at more at an higher trade. also if the league has low scoring games the odds at kickoff will already have it factored in. And be lower big stake not much return?
Oh, I agree. I tend not to like dreading goals, I much prefer the opposite, and yes, the odds are likely making it uninteresting anyway, but it's always interesting to have a look at it, even if I won't just dive headfirst into trading it
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@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe Hi James , the Moroccan league i have found generally is a low scoring league. Infact on the stats software you can see that overall 57% of matches finish under 2.5 goals and only 68% of matches have over 1.5 goals. This could be down to the matches played at a slower pace due to the excessive heat ( the match yesterday kicked off at 10pm local time)
Will have to check goal times but a "Snowball" (UFT strat) backing the Unders/Laying the Over from kickoff and gradually trade out sounds like an opportunity.
Got to be careful with the unders market. Discipline is key. Something I keep messing Up and destroying any banks (especially thinking that they won't score 2 more quickly etc as the stats doesn't show that) market does take a while to recorrect itself unless you at more at an higher trade. also if the league has low scoring games the odds at kickoff will already have it factored in. And be lower big stake not much return?
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@finn-kristensen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer thought lithuanian league would have been similar quality to estonia, or am i way off there?
Thought so as well - I thought the 3 Baltic countries were pretty even, but having looked at the UEFA rankings, I stand corrected. Estonia is definitely lower quality:
Estonia: Rank 51
Latvia: Rank 37
Lithuania: Rank 35Lithuania seems to follow type more. Favourites win and high scoring teams score goals when expected haha
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer thought lithuanian league would have been similar quality to estonia, or am i way off there?
Thought so as well - I thought the 3 Baltic countries were pretty even, but having looked at the UEFA rankings, I stand corrected. Estonia is definitely lower quality:
Estonia: Rank 51
Latvia: Rank 37
Lithuania: Rank 35 -
@richard-latimer thought lithuanian league would have been similar quality to estonia, or am i way off there?
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Few to monitor today for 2HG’s
Trakai v Suduva Lithuania
Parma v Atalanta
Inter v Napoli
Ham Kam v Ranheim.
Here’s to a green day
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Slow day agan.
I can imagine Atalanta will want to finish the season in 2nd if they can so I still consider they have something to play for.
Morrocco is a league I've excluded prev after a couple of poor results but I'm going to leave it on there for now and see what the situation is if they fall behind before doing anything.
Agreed about Atalanta. Can't see them playing out a 0-0 (Hubris alert!).
Also, they could get 100 goals if they knock 4 past Parma. All depends on the team sheet. I think they will be motivated to reach 2nd as a traditionally "small" team. They have a Champions League match in August and some players may be trying to stake claims etc.
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If Ham Kam go 0-2 down I will be laying the away with a view to removing liability and securing small green on first goal. If it then goes 2-2 I will cash fully if there's still anything left on there.
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My potential H2 goal filter. Couple on there double with Lee's where he expect 2 goals:
Looking for a 0-0/1-1/0-1 HT scoreline at present and odds 1.15+ on oddsportal.com.
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe Hi James , the Moroccan league i have found generally is a low scoring league. Infact on the stats software you can see that overall 57% of matches finish under 2.5 goals and only 68% of matches have over 1.5 goals. This could be down to the matches played at a slower pace due to the excessive heat ( the match yesterday kicked off at 10pm local time)
Will have to check goal times but a "Snowball" (UFT strat) backing the Unders/Laying the Over from kickoff and gradually trade out sounds like an opportunity.
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@james-woodroffe said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer I was going to ask about Lithuania also. Do they like a goal?
Yeah, as much as any league. I don't exclude them for any strategy.
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@richard-latimer I was going to ask about Lithuania also. Do they like a goal?
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Games im looking for a SH goal or 2:
Do you not like Lithuania?
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0
